Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut
Akashic| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 54.7% | 117,877 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 43.5% | 93,772 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.8% | 3,849 |
Precinct-level results (19 precincts) — table
| Precinct | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 140-Ansonia | Democratic | D+0.3 |
| 140-Beacon Falls | Republican | R+16.9 |
| 140-Bethlehem | Republican | R+22.2 |
| 140-Bristol | Republican | R+0.3 |
| 140-Cheshire | Democratic | D+11.0 |
| 140-Derby | Republican | R+2.8 |
| 140-Middlebury | Republican | R+12.0 |
| 140-Naugatuck | Republican | R+9.9 |
| 140-Oxford | Republican | R+21.3 |
| 140-Plymouth | Republican | R+25.5 |
| 140-Prospect | Republican | R+30.5 |
| 140-Seymour | Republican | R+17.7 |
| 140-Shelton | Republican | R+11.5 |
| 140-Southbury | Democratic | D+0.8 |
| 140-Thomaston | Republican | R+33.7 |
| 140-Waterbury | Democratic | D+10.8 |
| 140-Watertown | Republican | R+30.2 |
| 140-Wolcott | Republican | R+32.6 |
| 140-Woodbury | Republican | R+2.9 |
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 217,587 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -140-Waterbury140-Waterbury | 18,328 | 14,723 | 387 | 33,438 | 54.8% | 44.0% | D+10.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -140-Bristol140-Bristol | 14,125 | 14,218 | 394 | 28,737 | 49.2% | 49.5% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -140-Shelton140-Shelton | 10,282 | 12,985 | 324 | 23,591 | 43.6% | 55.0% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -140-Cheshire140-Cheshire | 9,390 | 7,498 | 345 | 17,233 | 54.5% | 43.5% | D+11.0 |
| Precinct -140-Naugatuck140-Naugatuck | 6,252 | 7,647 | 197 | 14,096 | 44.4% | 54.2% | R+9.9 |
| Precinct -140-Southbury140-Southbury | 6,315 | 6,207 | 198 | 12,720 | 49.6% | 48.8% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -140-Watertown140-Watertown | 4,307 | 8,102 | 167 | 12,576 | 34.2% | 64.4% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -140-Wolcott140-Wolcott | 3,189 | 6,343 | 146 | 9,678 | 33.0% | 65.5% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -140-Seymour140-Seymour | 3,680 | 5,296 | 145 | 9,121 | 40.3% | 58.1% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -140-Oxford140-Oxford | 3,327 | 5,160 | 101 | 8,588 | 38.7% | 60.1% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct -140-Ansonia140-Ansonia | 3,860 | 3,838 | 113 | 7,811 | 49.4% | 49.1% | D+0.3 |
| Precinct -140-Plymouth140-Plymouth | 2,354 | 4,001 | 107 | 6,462 | 36.4% | 61.9% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct -140-Woodbury140-Woodbury | 3,091 | 3,278 | 89 | 6,458 | 47.9% | 50.8% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -140-Prospect140-Prospect | 2,069 | 3,915 | 64 | 6,048 | 34.2% | 64.7% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -140-Derby140-Derby | 2,581 | 2,732 | 60 | 5,373 | 48.0% | 50.8% | R+2.8 |
| Precinct -140-Middlebury140-Middlebury | 2,209 | 2,820 | 83 | 5,112 | 43.2% | 55.2% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -140-Thomaston140-Thomaston | 1,436 | 2,922 | 54 | 4,412 | 32.5% | 66.2% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -140-Beacon Falls140-Beacon Falls | 1,533 | 2,169 | 59 | 3,761 | 40.8% | 57.7% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -140-Bethlehem140-Bethlehem | 909 | 1,436 | 27 | 2,372 | 38.3% | 60.5% | R+22.2 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +7.4% |
| 1880 | +3.7% |
| 1884 | +6.6% |
| 1888 | +4.4% |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | −30.1% |
| 1900 | −10.5% |
| 1904 | −19.8% |
| 1908 | −21.4% |
| 1912 | +3.3% |
| 1916 | −1.2% |
| 1920 | −27.5% |
| 1924 | −30.1% |
| 1928 | −4.1% |
| 1932 | +0.9% |
| 1936 | +16.9% |
| 1940 | +7.7% |
| 1944 | +4.8% |
| 1948 | −1.6% |
| 1952 | −11.5% |
| 1956 | −27.4% |
| 1960 | +11.7% |
| 1964 | +37.2% |
| 1968 | +7.3% |
| 1972 | −18.5% |
| 1976 | −5.5% |
| 1980 | −10.6% |
| 1984 | −21.4% |
| 1988 | −4.5% |
| 1992 | +5.0% |
| 1996 | +19.2% |
| 2000 | +18.7% |
| 2004 | +8.8% |
| 2008 | +21.3% |
| 2012 | +18.2% |
| 2016 | +10.7% |
| 2020 | +16.5% |
| 2024 | +11.2% |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 8.8 points more Republican.
307,778 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+175 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +4,650 over 2021–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,896 in average income, against $89,273 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.2 on average — 7.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT itself (D+11.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Capitol Planning Region, CT1,821D+20.1
- South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT1,655D+11.9
- Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT1,640D+19.6
- Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT1,208D+18.0
- Bronx County, NY539D+45.1
- Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT489R+5.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Capitol Planning Region, CT2,057
- South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT1,515
- Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT807
- Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT648
- Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT622
- Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT303
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2021 | +2,481 |
| 2022 | +182 |
| 2023 | +925 |
| 2024 | +887 |
| 2025 | +175 |
Naugatuck Valley Planning Region sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 30.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.
A population of 454,969, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,191 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of South Central Connecticut Planning Region and Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/09140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.