Gainesville, Florida
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +33.5% |
| 2008 | +40.8% |
| 2012 | +37.8% |
| 2016 | +44.2% |
| 2020 | +50.7% |
| 2024 | +44.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 70.9%Harris41,824 | 26.7%Trump15,723 | 2.4% | D+44.3 | R+6.4 | D+45.7 | 58,981 | |
| D | 74.4%Biden48,472 | 23.7%Trump15,456 | 1.9% | D+50.7 | D+6.5 | D+46.2 | 65,153 | |
| D | 68.9%Clinton42,998 | 24.7%Trump15,406 | 6.4% | D+44.2 | D+6.5 | D+42.1 | 62,396 | |
| D | 68.1%Obama38,808 | 30.3%Romney17,281 | 1.6% | D+37.8 | R+3.0 | D+33.9 | 56,999 | |
| D | 69.7%Obama43,569 | 28.9%McCain18,062 | 1.4% | D+40.8 | D+7.3 | D+33.5 | 62,492 | |
| D | 66.1%Kerry36,060 | 32.6%Bush17,788 | 1.2% | D+33.5 | — | D+36.0 | 54,529 |
Home to the University of Florida, Gainesville skews younger and more college-educated than most Florida cities, producing voting patterns that diverge sharply from the surrounding rural county and making it a reliable Democratic anchor in an otherwise competitive region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.7 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 145,702, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,195 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Athens-Clarke County unified government (balance) and Tallahassee.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Gainesville, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1225175/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.