Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic33.1%661TrumpRepublican66.0%1,316OtherAll other candidates0.9%17
R+32.8
Lead
655
Total
1,994
vs nation
R+31.4
BidenDemocratic31.7%648TrumpRepublican67.9%1,386OtherAll other candidates0.4%8
R+36.1
Lead
738
Total
2,042
vs nation
R+40.6
ClintonDemocratic28.8%516TrumpRepublican68.0%1,218OtherAll other candidates3.2%57
R+39.2
Lead
702
Total
1,791
vs nation
R+41.3
ObamaDemocratic24.5%502RomneyRepublican74.9%1,535OtherAll other candidates0.6%12
R+50.4
Lead
1,033
Total
2,049
vs nation
R+54.3
ObamaDemocratic28.8%488McCainRepublican70.7%1,197OtherAll other candidates0.5%8
R+41.9
Lead
709
Total
1,693
vs nation
R+49.2
KerryDemocratic25.2%392BushRepublican74.2%1,155OtherAll other candidates0.6%9
R+49.0
Lead
763
Total
1,556
vs nation
R+46.6
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+32.8MIT Election Lab
Population
2,6172024 5-year
Population density
1,377 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.9 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$143,2612024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.7%2024 5-year
Black
1.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+50.4 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
79.0%2,010 participants ÷ 2,543 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+24.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
54.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
74.1%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,010
2,543 ± 317
79.0%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,612
2,176 ± 291
74.1%
Audited
E/D
2,054
2,075 ± 332
99.0%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Pelican Marsh, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
33.1%
661 votes · R+32.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 31.7%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
74.9%
1,535 votes · R+50.4
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 74.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
661votes
33.1% of the vote · R+32.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 648 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
1,535votes
74.9% of the vote · R+50.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,386 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−31.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+32.8 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −40.6 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+54.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.4 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +49.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Pelican Marsh · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Collier County, Florida, the county containing Pelican Marsh — Pelican Marsh’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Pelican Marsh, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Pelican Marsh sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 50.4 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.8 points.
A population of 2,617, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $143,261 describe the city.
In 2024, Pelican Marsh, Florida voted Republican by 32.8 points (R+32.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,994 votes cast, 661 went Democratic and 1,316 went Republican.
How many people live in Pelican Marsh, Florida?
Pelican Marsh, Florida has a population of 2,617 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pelican Marsh, Florida?
Median household income in Pelican Marsh, Florida is $143,261 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Pelican Marsh, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Pelican Marsh, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
