combined metro areaCape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+24.2
2008R+14.4
2012R+21.0
2016R+22.3
2020R+21.3
2024R+30.4
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.5% of 930,363 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
216,278
407,215
4,148
627,641
930,363
67.5%
2020
241,630
373,885
4,335
619,850
869,074
71.3%
2016
191,879
306,165
14,633
512,677
772,167
66.4%
2012
168,209
258,382
2,861
429,452
697,799
61.5%
2008
180,530
241,705
3,266
425,501
643,693
66.1%
2004
143,430
236,007
3,876
383,313
589,587†
65.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupCape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FLFloridaUnited States
German12.2%8.9%12.5%
Irish10.6%8.2%9.4%
English9.3%8.2%9.5%
American8.5%7.7%5.3%
Italian7.6%5.6%4.8%
Polish3.1%2.1%2.2%
French2.0%1.7%1.6%
Scottish1.6%1.3%1.3%
Mexican7.4%3.3%11.3%
Cuban7.1%7.3%0.7%
Puerto Rican3.6%5.6%1.8%
Guatemalan1.9%—0.5%
Colombian1.2%2.1%0.4%
Dominican1.1%1.3%0.7%
Honduran0.9%0.6%0.3%
Nicaraguan0.4%0.6%—
African American†3.9%9.5%9.9%
Haitian2.4%2.3%0.3%
Jamaican0.6%1.5%0.4%
African0.3%0.5%0.5%
Chinese0.4%0.5%1.3%
Filipino0.4%0.5%0.9%
Asian Indian0.3%0.9%1.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL
Florida
United States
Median age
49.9
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
7.0%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
29.9%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL
Florida
United States
Median household income
$79,519
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.0%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
33.2%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
28.8%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
21.9%
22.6%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
2.7%
2.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
1.6%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL
Florida
United States
Catholic
24.0%
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
16.5%
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
51.9%
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+96.2%
1896
+47.4%
1900
+69.9%
1904
+36.9%
1908
+36.4%
1912
+55.2%
1916
+51.6%
1920
+18.4%
1924
+28.7%
1928
−18.8%
1932
+52.1%
1936
+47.1%
1940
+44.0%
1944
+34.9%
1948
+2.4%
1952
−9.9%
1956
−20.6%
1960
−23.4%
1964
−11.3%
1968
−21.0%
1972
−59.6%
1976
−12.2%
1980
−36.1%
1984
−49.6%
1988
−39.7%
1992
−16.0%
1996
−13.7%
2000
−22.6%
2004
−24.2%
2008
−14.4%
2012
−21.0%
2016
−22.3%
2020
−21.3%
2024
−30.4%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
34.5%Harris216,278
64.9%Trump407,215
0.2%Oliver1,542 +5
R+30.4
R+9.1
R+28.9
627,641
All 8 candidates in 2024 · 6 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican64.9%407,215
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic34.5%216,278
Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%1,542
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%1,487
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%468
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%368
Randall TerryIndependent0.0%263
OtherAll other candidates0.0%20
R
39.0%Biden241,630
60.3%Trump373,885
0.7%
R+21.3
D+1.0
R+25.8
619,850
R
37.4%Clinton191,879
59.7%Trump306,165
2.9%
R+22.3
R+1.3
R+24.4
512,677
R
39.2%Obama168,209
60.2%Romney258,382
0.7%
R+21.0
R+6.6
R+24.9
429,452
R
42.4%Obama180,530
56.8%McCain241,705
0.8%
R+14.4
D+9.8
R+21.6
425,501
R
37.4%Kerry143,430
61.6%Bush236,007
1.0%
R+24.2
R+1.6
R+21.7
383,313
R
37.6%Gore108,192
60.1%Bush173,206
2.3%
R+22.6
R+8.8
R+23.1
288,106
R
37.6%Clinton94,299
51.3%Dole128,707
11.1%
R+13.7
D+2.3
R+22.2
250,798
R
30.7%Clinton76,452
46.7%Bush116,348
22.7%
R+16.0
D+23.7
R+21.6
249,336
R
29.8%Dukakis56,564
69.5%Bush131,735
0.7%
R+39.7
D+9.9
R+31.9
189,544
R
25.2%Mondale42,177
74.8%Reagan125,154
0.0%
R+49.6
R+13.5
R+31.4
167,366
R
29.1%Carter39,610
65.2%Reagan88,734
5.6%
R+36.1
R+23.9
R+26.4
136,029
R
43.1%Carter42,979
55.3%Ford55,148
1.6%
R+12.2
D+47.4
R+14.3
99,718
R
20.1%McGovern13,597
79.7%Nixon54,021
0.2%
R+59.6
R+38.6
R+36.5
67,776
R
24.4%Humphrey11,229
45.4%Nixon20,899
30.2%
R+21.0
R+9.7
R+20.3
46,059
R
44.4%Johnson14,874
55.6%Goldwater18,658
0.0%
R+11.3
D+12.2
R+33.9
33,532
R
38.3%Kennedy8,945
61.7%Nixon14,422
0.0%
R+23.4
R+2.9
R+23.6
23,367
R
39.7%Stevenson7,166
60.3%Eisenhower10,879
0.0%
R+20.6
R+10.6
R+5.2
18,045
R
45.0%Stevenson6,385
55.0%Eisenhower7,796
0.0%
R+9.9
R+12.4
D+0.8
14,181
D
37.7%Truman3,218
35.3%Dewey3,013
26.9%
D+2.4
R+32.5
R+2.1
8,529
D
67.5%Roosevelt5,299
32.5%Dewey2,556
0.0%
D+34.9
R+9.0
D+27.4
7,855
D
72.0%Roosevelt5,844
28.0%Willkie2,275
0.0%
D+44.0
R+3.2
D+34.0
8,119
D
73.6%Roosevelt4,715
26.4%Landon1,694
0.0%
D+47.1
R+4.9
D+22.9
6,409
D
76.0%Roosevelt4,192
24.0%Hoover1,321
0.0%
D+52.1
D+70.8
D+34.3
5,513
R
39.9%Smith1,957
58.7%Hoover2,877
1.4%
R+18.8
R+47.5
R+1.3
4,904
D
57.6%Davis1,337
28.9%Coolidge671
13.5%
D+28.7
D+10.3
D+53.9
2,321
D
55.4%Cox938
37.0%Harding626
7.7%
D+18.4
R+33.2
D+44.6
1,694
D
66.3%Wilson751
14.8%Hughes167
18.9%
D+51.6
R+3.6
D+48.4
1,132
D
60.5%Wilson432
5.3%Taft38
34.2%
D+55.2
D+18.8
D+35.6
714
D
49.9%Bryan266
13.5%Taft72
36.6%
D+36.4
R+0.5
D+46.0
533
D
54.0%Parker266
17.0%Roosevelt84
29.0%
D+36.9
R+33.0
D+56.6
493
D
81.3%Bryan278
11.4%McKinley39
7.3%
D+69.9
D+22.4
D+77.4
342
D
71.2%Bryan222
23.7%McKinley74
5.1%
D+47.4
R+48.8
D+53.5
312
D
96.2%Cleveland153
0.0%Harrison0
3.8%
D+96.2
—
D+94.6
159
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
31.4%194,510
67.5%418,557
619,758
2022
R
30.3%136,530
68.9%310,207
450,213
2018
R
38.0%173,945
62.0%283,552
457,545
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+28.1
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+30.4
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.3 points.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
655,096
174,354
298,031
180,168
2,543
2018
693,394
184,598
312,424
191,516
4,856
2019
689,779
182,593
310,809
190,106
6,271
2020
763,801
203,429
346,933
202,677
10,762
2021
771,734
197,336
350,849
211,104
12,445
2023
748,738
170,651
366,365
195,274
16,448
2024
797,105
173,892
397,969
202,322
22,922
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+7,257 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +270,501 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+10,018
2012
+11,223
2013
+17,060
2014
+21,173
2015
+25,286
2016
+25,691
2017
+18,851
2018
+15,807
2019
+20,827
2021
+39,897
2022
+38,277
2023
+13,506
2024
+5,628
2025
+7,257
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.2 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 59.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 9.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.4 points.
A population of 1,270,902, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,519 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of North Port-Bradenton, FL and Myrtle Beach-Conway, SC.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/163/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida voted Republican by 30.4 points (R+30.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 627,641 votes cast, 216,278 went Democratic and 407,215 went Republican.
When did Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida?
Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida has a population of 1,270,902 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida is $79,519 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Cape Coral-Fort Myers-Naples, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.
