Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
72.4%3,866 participants ÷ 5,340 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+29.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+5.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
43.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
60.9%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
3,866
5,340 ± 572
72.4%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
2,835
4,656 ± 497
60.9%
Audited
E/D
3,732
4,148 ± 454
90.0%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Rainbow Springs, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
38.5%
1,290 votes · R+21.3
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 36.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68.6%
2,637 votes · R+38.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 67.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,290votes
38.5% of the vote · R+21.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,198 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,637votes
68.6% of the vote · R+38.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,488 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−24.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+27.1 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −28.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+39.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.3 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +39.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Rainbow Springs · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Marion County, Florida, the county containing Rainbow Springs — Rainbow Springs’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Rainbow Springs, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Nestled in north-central Florida's spring country, Rainbow Springs CDP draws heavily from retirement-age residents, a demographic that consistently posts above-average participation rates in both primary and general elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 38.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.2 points.
A population of 6,082, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,161 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sugarmill Woods and Pine Ridge.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Rainbow Springs, Florida voted Republican by 38.2 points (R+38.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,844 votes cast, 1,169 went Democratic and 2,637 went Republican.
How many people live in Rainbow Springs, Florida?
Rainbow Springs, Florida has a population of 6,082 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rainbow Springs, Florida?
Median household income in Rainbow Springs, Florida is $57,161 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Rainbow Springs, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Rainbow Springs, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
