Marion County, Florida: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+32%. Democratic peak: D+72 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 400,0782024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,0102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Madison County, TN · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | −14.7% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +67.3% |
| 1896 | +40.1% |
| 1900 | +57.9% |
| 1904 | +59.3% |
| 1908 | +39.8% |
| 1912 | +59.9% |
| 1916 | +46.6% |
| 1920 | +30.9% |
| 1924 | +56.2% |
| 1928 | −1.7% |
| 1932 | +53.9% |
| 1936 | +72.0% |
| 1940 | +65.1% |
| 1944 | +54.6% |
| 1948 | +34.6% |
| 1952 | −2.3% |
| 1956 | −2.0% |
| 1960 | +1.1% |
| 1964 | −8.8% |
| 1968 | −7.3% |
| 1972 | −56.5% |
| 1976 | +2.4% |
| 1980 | −20.6% |
| 1984 | −39.9% |
| 1988 | −33.3% |
| 1992 | −5.3% |
| 1996 | −4.8% |
| 2000 | −10.2% |
| 2004 | −17.2% |
| 2008 | −11.6% |
| 2012 | −16.2% |
| 2016 | −26.2% |
| 2020 | −25.9% |
| 2024 | −31.6% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 72,424 | 140,168 | 214,089 | ||
| R | 74,858 | 127,826 | 204,376 | ||
| R | 62,041 | 107,833 | 174,700 | ||
| R | 66,831 | 93,043 | 161,385 | ||
| R | 70,839 | 89,628 | 162,022 | ||
| R | 57,271 | 81,283 | 139,677 | ||
| R | 44,674 | 55,146 | 102,971 | ||
| R | 37,045 | 41,409 | 90,171 | ||
| R | 30,829 | 35,442 | 86,989 | ||
| R | 20,685 | 41,501 | 62,520 | ||
| R | 16,225 | 37,815 | 54,046 | ||
| R | 15,400 | 23,743 | 40,592 | ||
| D | 16,963 | 16,163 | 33,679 | ||
| R | 5,397 | 19,505 | 24,948 | ||
| O | 5,798 | 7,468 | 22,866 | ||
| R | 9,112 | 10,879 | 19,991 | ||
| D | 7,206 | 7,043 | 14,249 | ||
| R | 6,114 | 6,362 | 12,476 | ||
| R | 5,854 | 6,134 | 11,988 | ||
| D | 4,650 | 1,829 | 8,156 | ||
| D | 5,597 | 1,642 | 7,239 | ||
| D | 6,127 | 1,297 | 7,424 | ||
| D | 4,664 | 760 | 5,424 | ||
| D | 3,208 | 962 | 4,170 | ||
| R | 1,863 | 1,927 | 3,873 | ||
| D | 1,528 | 359 | 2,081 | ||
| D | 2,436 | 1,232 | 3,902 | ||
| D | 1,567 | 462 | 2,369 | ||
| D | 1,165 | 179 | 1,647 | ||
| D | 1,352 | 482 | 2,186 | ||
| D | 1,091 | 230 | 1,452 | ||
| D | 1,132 | 264 | 1,499 | ||
| D | 1,230 | 480 | 1,871 | ||
| D | 1,133 | 0 | 1,683 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 1,494 | 2,007 | 3,501 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Marion County's population has nearly doubled since 2000, driven by retiree migration to Ocala's horse-country suburbs, and its presidential margins have widened steadily rightward over the same period, reaching R+31.6 in 2024.
The Democratic margin here once reached seventy-two points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-two points.
A population of 400,078, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,010 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Madison County and Highlands County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marion County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
