† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSaginawMichiganUnited States
African American†42.9%12.2%9.9%
African1.7%0.5%0.5%
German14.0%17.7%12.5%
Irish5.4%9.9%9.4%
English4.8%10.5%9.5%
Polish3.9%7.2%2.2%
French2.0%3.0%1.6%
American2.0%4.2%5.3%
Italian1.5%4.2%4.8%
Scottish1.0%—1.3%
Mexican13.3%4.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.9%0.5%1.8%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Saginaw
Michigan
United States
Median age
35.5
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.4%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.0%
18.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Saginaw
Michigan
United States
Median household income
$38,579
$72,875
$84,427
Poverty rate
34.0%
13.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
13.3%
32.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Saginaw
Michigan
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.7%
10.4%
22.3%
Spanish
3.3%
3.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Saginaw
Michigan
United States
Catholic
—
14.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
60.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Saginaw, Michigan
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+54.1%
2008
+60.6%
2012
+70.8%
2016
+55.0%
2020
+54.1%
2024
+50.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
74.6%Harris13,402
24.0%Trump4,319
1.4%
D+50.5
R+3.6
D+52.0
17,970
D
76.4%Biden14,210
22.3%Trump4,150
1.3%
D+54.1
R+0.9
D+49.7
18,593
D
75.7%Clinton13,527
20.7%Trump3,704
3.6%
D+55.0
R+15.8
D+52.9
17,870
D
84.8%Obama14,439
14.0%Romney2,387
1.2%
D+70.8
D+10.2
D+66.9
17,032
D
79.5%Obama18,580
18.9%McCain4,418
1.6%
D+60.6
D+6.5
D+53.3
23,378
D
76.2%Kerry16,911
22.1%Bush4,912
1.6%
D+54.1
—
D+56.5
22,188
Saginaw's population has fallen sharply from its mid-century manufacturing peak, leaving a majority-Black city with persistently lower turnout rates that can swing Saginaw County results by several percentage points in close statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.8 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.5 points.
A population of 43,536, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $38,579 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flint and Gary.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Saginaw, Michigan voted Democratic by 50.5 points (D+50.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 17,970 votes cast, 13,402 went Democratic and 4,319 went Republican.
How many people live in Saginaw, Michigan?
Saginaw, Michigan has a population of 43,536 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saginaw, Michigan?
Median household income in Saginaw, Michigan is $38,579 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Saginaw, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Saginaw, Michigan from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
