Saginaw County, Michigan: Farm Belt county. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 188,6652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,6222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Erie County, PA · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Saginaw CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Saginaw County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +5.7% |
| 1896 | +2.5% |
| 1900 | −4.8% |
| 1904 | −28.8% |
| 1908 | −14.0% |
| 1912 | +4.5% |
| 1916 | −6.0% |
| 1920 | −52.2% |
| 1924 | −60.7% |
| 1928 | −31.9% |
| 1932 | +11.7% |
| 1936 | +17.1% |
| 1940 | −9.1% |
| 1944 | −14.3% |
| 1948 | −14.6% |
| 1952 | −29.3% |
| 1956 | −25.6% |
| 1960 | −11.6% |
| 1964 | +23.3% |
| 1968 | −7.5% |
| 1972 | −23.6% |
| 1976 | −12.5% |
| 1980 | −3.8% |
| 1984 | −14.5% |
| 1988 | +3.6% |
| 1992 | +12.1% |
| 1996 | +18.2% |
| 2000 | +10.3% |
| 2004 | +7.5% |
| 2008 | +17.3% |
| 2012 | +11.9% |
| 2016 | −1.1% |
| 2020 | +0.3% |
| 2024 | −3.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 49,515 | 52,912 | 104,000 | ||
| D | 51,088 | 50,785 | 103,349 | ||
| R | 44,396 | 45,469 | 94,780 | ||
| D | 54,381 | 42,720 | 98,292 | ||
| D | 60,276 | 42,225 | 104,090 | ||
| D | 54,887 | 47,165 | 102,852 | ||
| D | 50,825 | 41,152 | 93,756 | ||
| D | 47,579 | 31,577 | 87,794 | ||
| D | 43,819 | 32,103 | 96,905 | ||
| D | 45,616 | 42,401 | 88,566 | ||
| R | 38,420 | 51,495 | 90,416 | ||
| R | 41,650 | 45,233 | 93,799 | ||
| R | 36,280 | 46,765 | 84,071 | ||
| R | 29,424 | 47,920 | 78,521 | ||
| R | 32,266 | 38,070 | 77,423 | ||
| D | 45,309 | 28,146 | 73,582 | ||
| R | 32,715 | 41,351 | 74,272 | ||
| R | 25,681 | 43,470 | 69,361 | ||
| R | 20,983 | 38,604 | 60,100 | ||
| R | 16,995 | 22,923 | 40,733 | ||
| R | 20,383 | 27,289 | 48,402 | ||
| R | 22,490 | 27,042 | 49,753 | ||
| D | 22,592 | 15,527 | 41,410 | ||
| D | 22,643 | 17,794 | 41,414 | ||
| R | 11,555 | 22,467 | 34,242 | ||
| R | 3,600 | 17,435 | 22,780 | ||
| R | 4,566 | 14,938 | 19,879 | ||
| R | 8,434 | 9,544 | 18,461 | ||
| O | 5,845 | 5,032 | 18,007 | ||
| R | 7,019 | 9,447 | 17,364 | ||
| R | 5,330 | 10,146 | 16,727 | ||
| R | 7,610 | 8,413 | 16,769 | ||
| D | 8,792 | 8,361 | 17,447 | ||
| D | 7,601 | 6,737 | 15,182 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.9%
Irish
9.6%
English
8.6%
Polish
7.0%
French
3.6%
American
3.5%
Italian
2.7%
African American
14.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,622
Saginaw County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Saginaw County$60,622
Michigan$72,875
United States$80,734
Saginaw County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.2%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1827.2%
Working age (18–64)16.1%
Seniors (65+)12.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.4%
speak English only
Spanish2.3%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Saginaw County's legacy of UAW-organized auto manufacturing built a durable Democratic base, but population loss and deindustrialization have steadily compressed that margin, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide working-class shifts.
The Republican margin here reached sixty-one points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was three points.
A population of 188,665, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,622 describe an agricultural county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Erie County and Lorain County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Saginaw County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26145/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More farm belt counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Saginaw County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Saginaw County, Michigan voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 104,000 votes cast, 49,515 went Democratic and 52,912 went Republican.
What is Saginaw County, Michigan's political typology?
Akashic places Saginaw County, Michigan in the "Farm Belt" typology — Rural Plains and Midwest farm counties — Republican, with modest recent movement. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 20 times, and other 1 times.
When did Saginaw County, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Saginaw County, Michigan voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Saginaw County, Michigan?
Saginaw County, Michigan has a population of 188,665 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Saginaw County, Michigan?
Median household income in Saginaw County, Michigan is $60,622 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Saginaw County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Saginaw County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The county's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.