- Lead
- 3,397
- Total
- 103,846
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- 71.3%
Saginaw County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.3% of 146,584 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 303
- Total
- 103,349
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- 70.1%
- Lead
- 1,073
- Total
- 94,780
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Turnout
- 63.8%
- Lead
- 11,661
- Total
- 98,292
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 18,051
- Total
- 104,090
- vs nation
- D+10.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,722
- Total
- 102,852
- vs nation
- D+10.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,673
- Total
- 93,756
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,002
- Total
- 87,794
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 188,6652024 5-year
- Population density
- 236 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 801 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,6222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lucas County, OH · twin score 96.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 71.3%104,576 participants ÷ 146,584 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 57.0%–59.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104,576 | 146,584 ± 682 | 71.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 82,239 | 147,511 ± 681 | 55.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 104,013 | 148,288 ± 633 | 70.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 82,149 | 148,827 ± 497 | 55.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 95,604 | 149,843 ± 427 | 63.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 98,292 | 151,284 | 65.0% | Derived | — | |
| 104,090 | 151,574 | 68.7% | Derived | — | |
| 102,852 | 151,864 extrapolated | 67.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 161 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
161 precincts · 103,846 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Frankenmuth, Precinct 1City of Frankenmuth, Precinct 1 | 1,097 | 2,251 | 51 | 3,399 | 32.3% | 66.2% | R+34.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Birch Run Township, Precinct 1Birch Run Township, Precinct 1 | 874 | 1,930 | 49 | 2,853 | 30.6% | 67.6% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -Taymouth Township, Precinct 1Taymouth Township, Precinct 1 | 881 | 1,739 | 21 | 2,641 | 33.4% | 65.8% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 12Saginaw Township, Precinct 12 | 1,174 | 1,236 | 61 | 2,471 | 47.5% | 50.0% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -Bridgeport Township, Precinct 2Bridgeport Township, Precinct 2 | 1,687 | 748 | 32 | 2,467 | 68.4% | 30.3% | D+38.1 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 15Saginaw Township, Precinct 15 | 958 | 1,139 | 35 | 2,132 | 44.9% | 53.4% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 13Saginaw Township, Precinct 13 | 1,112 | 839 | 47 | 1,998 | 55.7% | 42.0% | D+13.7 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 7Saginaw Township, Precinct 7 | 1,044 | 867 | 30 | 1,941 | 53.8% | 44.7% | D+9.1 |
| Precinct -Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 1Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 1 | 719 | 1,192 | 18 | 1,929 | 37.3% | 61.8% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 14Saginaw Township, Precinct 14 | 933 | 946 | 27 | 1,906 | 49.0% | 49.6% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 5Saginaw Township, Precinct 5 | 959 | 922 | 20 | 1,901 | 50.4% | 48.5% | D+1.9 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 16City of Saginaw, Precinct 16 | 1,190 | 648 | 28 | 1,866 | 63.8% | 34.7% | D+29.0 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 14City of Saginaw, Precinct 14 | 1,179 | 626 | 32 | 1,837 | 64.2% | 34.1% | D+30.1 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 10Saginaw Township, Precinct 10 | 990 | 822 | 24 | 1,836 | 53.9% | 44.8% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 6Saginaw Township, Precinct 6 | 917 | 863 | 20 | 1,800 | 50.9% | 47.9% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -Carrollton Township, Precinct 2Carrollton Township, Precinct 2 | 909 | 846 | 25 | 1,780 | 51.1% | 47.5% | D+3.5 |
| Precinct -St. Charles Township, Precinct 1St. Charles Township, Precinct 1 | 550 | 1,163 | 39 | 1,752 | 31.4% | 66.4% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -Maple Grove Township, Precinct 1Maple Grove Township, Precinct 1 | 602 | 1,113 | 19 | 1,734 | 34.7% | 64.2% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -Swan Creek Township, Precinct 1Swan Creek Township, Precinct 1 | 445 | 1,175 | 29 | 1,649 | 27.0% | 71.3% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 9Saginaw Township, Precinct 9 | 802 | 804 | 23 | 1,629 | 49.2% | 49.4% | R+0.1 |
| Precinct -Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 4Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 4 | 561 | 960 | 17 | 1,538 | 36.5% | 62.4% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -Bridgeport Township, Precinct 1Bridgeport Township, Precinct 1 | 634 | 867 | 20 | 1,521 | 41.7% | 57.0% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 11Saginaw Township, Precinct 11 | 877 | 580 | 29 | 1,486 | 59.0% | 39.0% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 15City of Saginaw, Precinct 15 | 972 | 473 | 25 | 1,470 | 66.1% | 32.2% | D+33.9 |
| Precinct -Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 2Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 2 | 475 | 963 | 18 | 1,456 | 32.6% | 66.1% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 2Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 1,269 | 165 | 17 | 1,451 | 87.5% | 11.4% | D+76.1 |
| Precinct -Chesaning Township, Precinct 2Chesaning Township, Precinct 2 | 527 | 905 | 17 | 1,449 | 36.4% | 62.5% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -Kochville Township, Precinct 1Kochville Township, Precinct 1 | 601 | 829 | 14 | 1,444 | 41.6% | 57.4% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct -Bridgeport Township, Precinct 3Bridgeport Township, Precinct 3 | 472 | 902 | 20 | 1,394 | 33.9% | 64.7% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 1Saginaw Township, Precinct 1 | 795 | 555 | 14 | 1,364 | 58.3% | 40.7% | D+17.6 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 3Thomas Township, Precinct 3 | 441 | 890 | 27 | 1,358 | 32.5% | 65.5% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -Frankenmuth Township, Precinct 1Frankenmuth Township, Precinct 1 | 393 | 944 | 20 | 1,357 | 29.0% | 69.6% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 10City of Saginaw, Precinct 10 | 843 | 490 | 17 | 1,350 | 62.4% | 36.3% | D+26.1 |
| Precinct -Richland Township, Precinct 1Richland Township, Precinct 1 | 397 | 935 | 15 | 1,347 | 29.5% | 69.4% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 2Saginaw Township, Precinct 2 | 700 | 623 | 20 | 1,343 | 52.1% | 46.4% | D+5.7 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 13City of Saginaw, Precinct 13 | 893 | 418 | 20 | 1,331 | 67.1% | 31.4% | D+35.7 |
| Precinct -Richland Township, Precinct 2Richland Township, Precinct 2 | 369 | 919 | 12 | 1,300 | 28.4% | 70.7% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 2Thomas Township, Precinct 2 | 466 | 817 | 12 | 1,295 | 36.0% | 63.1% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -Blumfield Township, Precinct 1Blumfield Township, Precinct 1 | 275 | 997 | 22 | 1,294 | 21.3% | 77.0% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 3Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 1,123 | 152 | 15 | 1,290 | 87.1% | 11.8% | D+75.3 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 3Saginaw Township, Precinct 3 | 706 | 573 | 8 | 1,287 | 54.9% | 44.5% | D+10.3 |
| Precinct -Fremont Township, Precinct 1Fremont Township, Precinct 1 | 345 | 916 | 22 | 1,283 | 26.9% | 71.4% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Chesaning Township, Precinct 1Chesaning Township, Precinct 1 | 603 | 629 | 29 | 1,261 | 47.8% | 49.9% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 11City of Saginaw, Precinct 11 | 779 | 422 | 20 | 1,221 | 63.8% | 34.6% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -Carrollton Township, Precinct 1Carrollton Township, Precinct 1 | 646 | 547 | 21 | 1,214 | 53.2% | 45.1% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct -James Township, Precinct 1James Township, Precinct 1 | 354 | 835 | 18 | 1,207 | 29.3% | 69.2% | R+39.9 |
| Precinct -Brady Township, Precinct 1Brady Township, Precinct 1 | 387 | 781 | 18 | 1,186 | 32.6% | 65.9% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 1Thomas Township, Precinct 1 | 384 | 768 | 21 | 1,173 | 32.7% | 65.5% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -Albee Township, Precinct 1Albee Township, Precinct 1 | 349 | 790 | 18 | 1,157 | 30.2% | 68.3% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -Brant Township, Precinct 1Brant Township, Precinct 1 | 292 | 844 | 14 | 1,150 | 25.4% | 73.4% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 1City of Saginaw, Precinct 1 | 1,091 | 47 | 10 | 1,148 | 95.0% | 4.1% | D+90.9 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 12City of Saginaw, Precinct 12 | 763 | 352 | 16 | 1,131 | 67.5% | 31.1% | D+36.3 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 8Saginaw Township, Precinct 8 | 541 | 560 | 11 | 1,112 | 48.7% | 50.4% | R+1.7 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 7Thomas Township, Precinct 7 | 401 | 702 | 8 | 1,111 | 36.1% | 63.2% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -Spaulding Township, Precinct 1Spaulding Township, Precinct 1 | 460 | 611 | 12 | 1,083 | 42.5% | 56.4% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 7City of Saginaw, Precinct 7 | 984 | 92 | 5 | 1,081 | 91.0% | 8.5% | D+82.5 |
| Precinct -Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 3Tittabawassee Township, Precinct 3 | 334 | 727 | 16 | 1,077 | 31.0% | 67.5% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 5Thomas Township, Precinct 5 | 428 | 614 | 14 | 1,056 | 40.5% | 58.1% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -Saginaw Township, Precinct 4Saginaw Township, Precinct 4 | 458 | 525 | 11 | 994 | 46.1% | 52.8% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 9City of Saginaw, Precinct 9 | 643 | 342 | 6 | 991 | 64.9% | 34.5% | D+30.4 |
| Precinct -Jonesfield Township, Precinct 1Jonesfield Township, Precinct 1 | 315 | 661 | 15 | 991 | 31.8% | 66.7% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 6Thomas Township, Precinct 6 | 389 | 578 | 9 | 976 | 39.9% | 59.2% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -Thomas Township, Precinct 4Thomas Township, Precinct 4 | 274 | 668 | 10 | 952 | 28.8% | 70.2% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 3City of Saginaw, Precinct 3 | 842 | 96 | 6 | 944 | 89.2% | 10.2% | D+79.0 |
| Precinct -City of Zilwaukee, Precinct 1City of Zilwaukee, Precinct 1 | 371 | 529 | 13 | 913 | 40.6% | 57.9% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 8City of Saginaw, Precinct 8 | 822 | 50 | 8 | 880 | 93.4% | 5.7% | D+87.7 |
| Precinct -Birch Run Township, Precinct 2Birch Run Township, Precinct 2 | 326 | 525 | 12 | 863 | 37.8% | 60.8% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 6City of Saginaw, Precinct 6 | 767 | 52 | 9 | 828 | 92.6% | 6.3% | D+86.4 |
| Precinct -Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 1Buena Vista Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 327 | 436 | 8 | 771 | 42.4% | 56.5% | R+14.1 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 4City of Saginaw, Precinct 4 | 608 | 101 | 8 | 717 | 84.8% | 14.1% | D+70.7 |
| Precinct -Lakefield Township, Precinct 1Lakefield Township, Precinct 1 | 167 | 425 | 7 | 599 | 27.9% | 71.0% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 5City of Saginaw, Precinct 5 | 523 | 58 | 6 | 587 | 89.1% | 9.9% | D+79.2 |
| Precinct -City of Saginaw, Precinct 2City of Saginaw, Precinct 2 | 501 | 52 | 4 | 557 | 89.9% | 9.3% | D+80.6 |
| Precinct -Chapin Township, Precinct 1Chapin Township, Precinct 1 | 127 | 362 | 3 | 492 | 25.8% | 73.6% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -Marion Township, Precinct 1Marion Township, Precinct 1 | 96 | 355 | 2 | 453 | 21.2% | 78.4% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -Zilwaukee Township, Precinct 1Zilwaukee Township, Precinct 1 | 7 | 34 | 0 | 41 | 17.1% | 82.9% | R+65.9 |
| Albee Township 00001145-00920-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Birch Run Township 00001145-08560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Birch Run Township 00002145-08560-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Birch Run Township 00003145-08560-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blumfield Township 00001145-09400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brady Township 00001145-09940-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brant Township 00001145-10100-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bridgeport Charter Township 00001145-10460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bridgeport Charter Township 00002145-10460-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bridgeport Charter Township 00003145-10460-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bridgeport Charter Township 00004145-10460-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bridgeport Charter Township 00005145-10460-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buena Vista Charter Township 00001145-11560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buena Vista Charter Township 00002145-11560-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buena Vista Charter Township 00003145-11560-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buena Vista Charter Township 00004145-11560-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buena Vista Charter Township 00005145-11560-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carrollton Township 00001145-13540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carrollton Township 00002145-13540-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chapin Township 00001145-14660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chesaning Township 00001145-15160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chesaning Township 00002145-15160-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Frankenmuth City 00001145-30200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Frankenmuth City 00002145-30200-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Frankenmuth Township 00001145-30220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fremont Township 00001145-30720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| James Township 00001145-41480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jonesfield Township 00001145-41900-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kochville Township 00001145-43800-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakefield Township 00001145-44560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maple Grove Township 00001145-51060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marion Township 00001145-51700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richland Township 00001145-68340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richland Township 00002145-68340-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00001145-70540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00002145-70540-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00003145-70540-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00004145-70540-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00005145-70540-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00006145-70540-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00007145-70540-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00008145-70540-00008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00009145-70540-00009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00010145-70540-00010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00011145-70540-00011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00012145-70540-00012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00013145-70540-00013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00014145-70540-00014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00015145-70540-00015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw Charter Township 00016145-70540-00016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00001145-70520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00002145-70520-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00003145-70520-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00004145-70520-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00005145-70520-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00006145-70520-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00007145-70520-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00008145-70520-00008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00009145-70520-00009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00010145-70520-00010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00011145-70520-00011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00012145-70520-00012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00013145-70520-00013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00014145-70520-00014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00015145-70520-00015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saginaw City 00016145-70520-00016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spaulding Township 00001145-75480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Charles Township 00001145-70660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Charles Township 00002145-70660-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Swan Creek Township 00001145-77660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taymouth Township 00001145-79100-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taymouth Township 00002145-79100-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomas Township 00001145-79520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomas Township 00002145-79520-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomas Township 00003145-79520-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomas Township 00004145-79520-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomas Township 00005145-79520-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomas Township 00006145-79520-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thomas Township 00007145-79520-00007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tittabawassee Township 00001145-79840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tittabawassee Township 00002145-79840-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tittabawassee Township 00003145-79840-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tittabawassee Township 00004145-79840-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zilwaukee City 00001145-89320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zilwaukee Township 00001145-89340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Saginaw County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
61.6%
45,309 votes · D+23.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.9%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
76.5%
17,435 votes · R+60.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 75.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
60,276votes
57.9% of the vote · D+17.3
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 54,887 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
52,912votes
51.0% of the vote · R+3.3
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 51,495 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+11.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+3.6 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +10.1 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+35.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +26.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Saginaw County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 3 state senate and 4 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 53.1%51,840 | 46.9%45,779 | 97,619 |
| 2020 | R | 48.7%47,620 | 51.3%50,082 | 97,702 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 150,018 |
| 2018 | 148,679 |
| 2020 | 156,776 |
| 2022 | 157,436 |
| 2024 | 160,169 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+177 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −12,908 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,227 in average income, against $67,762 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+10.6 on average — 7.3 points more Republican-leaning than Saginaw County, MI itself (R+3.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bay County, MI480R+14.7
- Genesee County, MI405D+4.2
- Midland County, MI243R+15.2
- Tuscola County, MI181R+43.0
- Oakland County, MI152D+10.6
- Shiawassee County, MI119R+23.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bay County, MI502
- Genesee County, MI414
- Midland County, MI315
- Oakland County, MI173
- Tuscola County, MI151
- Kent County, MI132
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,373 |
| 2012 | −1,133 |
| 2013 | −2,066 |
| 2014 | −2,103 |
| 2015 | −2,237 |
| 2016 | −1,140 |
| 2017 | −801 |
| 2018 | −1,378 |
| 2019 | −421 |
| 2021 | +222 |
| 2022 | −506 |
| 2023 | −327 |
| 2024 | +178 |
| 2025 | +177 |
Saginaw County's legacy of UAW-organized auto manufacturing built a durable Democratic base, but population loss and deindustrialization have steadily compressed that margin, making it a reliable bellwether for statewide working-class shifts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 60.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.3 points.
A population of 188,665, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,622 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lucas County and Genesee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Saginaw County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26145/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.