Flint-Saginaw-Bay City · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Year
Total registered
2016
886,802
2018
878,690
2020
936,159
2022
945,958
2024
963,423
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,020 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −48,796 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−7,762
2012
−9,333
2013
−7,615
2014
−8,356
2015
−6,149
2016
−5,007
2017
−3,481
2018
−3,888
2019
−2,565
2021
+838
2022
+523
2023
+1,500
2024
+1,479
2025
+1,020
This mid-Michigan media market anchors Genesee, Saginaw, and Bay counties, where decades of auto-industry contraction have reshaped an electorate that swung between parties by single digits in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.0 points.
A population of 1,123,771, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,412 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Toledo and Davenport-Rock Island-Moline.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/513/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan voted Republican by 11.0 points (R+11.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 632,806 votes cast, 277,075 went Democratic and 346,720 went Republican.
When did Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan has a population of 1,123,771 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Median household income in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan is $62,412 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.
