† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
13 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFlint-Saginaw-Bay CityMichiganUnited States
German22.6%17.7%12.5%
English11.8%10.5%9.5%
Irish11.1%9.9%9.4%
Polish7.3%7.2%2.2%
American4.6%4.2%5.3%
French3.9%3.0%1.6%
Italian2.6%4.2%4.8%
Scottish2.0%—1.3%
African American†10.0%12.2%9.9%
African0.3%0.5%0.5%
Mexican3.7%4.0%11.3%
Cuban0.3%0.2%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.5%1.8%
Asian Indian0.2%1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.2%0.5%1.3%
Filipino0.1%0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Michigan
United States
Median age
41.9
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.1%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.4%
18.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Michigan
United States
Median household income
$62,412
$72,875
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.6%
13.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
23.5%
32.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Michigan
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.7%
10.4%
22.3%
Spanish
1.5%
3.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Michigan
United States
Catholic
12.5%
14.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
15.6%
12.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
60.8%
60.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−3.2%
1896
−1.9%
1900
−17.3%
1904
−41.2%
1908
−27.9%
1912
−2.7%
1916
−10.3%
1920
−51.1%
1924
−61.8%
1928
−46.6%
1932
+9.7%
1936
+17.3%
1940
−10.7%
1944
−12.5%
1948
−12.3%
1952
−25.3%
1956
−25.1%
1960
−12.0%
1964
+28.4%
1968
−5.8%
1972
−16.7%
1976
−4.9%
1980
−5.2%
1984
−15.8%
1988
+4.4%
1992
+15.1%
1996
+20.0%
2000
+10.9%
2004
+7.0%
2008
+17.9%
2012
+10.8%
2016
−7.2%
2020
−7.0%
2024
−11.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
43.8%Harris277,075
54.8%Trump346,720
0.5%Kennedy3,134 +9
R+11.0
R+4.0
R+9.5
632,806
All 12 candidates in 2024 · 10 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican54.8%346,720
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic43.8%277,075
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.5%3,134
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%2,239
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%1,971
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%747
Cornel WestIndependent0.1%487
Joseph KishoreIndependent0.0%315
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%89
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%26
Cherunda Lynn FoxIndependent0.0%2
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.0%1
R
45.7%Biden283,582
52.7%Trump327,226
1.5%
R+7.0
D+0.2
R+11.5
620,410
R
43.5%Clinton239,601
50.7%Trump279,306
5.8%
R+7.2
R+18.1
R+9.3
550,599
D
54.7%Obama304,936
43.9%Romney244,471
1.4%
D+10.8
R+7.1
D+7.0
557,370
D
58.1%Obama347,989
40.2%McCain240,632
1.7%
D+17.9
D+10.9
D+10.7
598,881
D
53.1%Kerry311,668
46.0%Bush270,503
0.9%
D+7.0
R+3.9
D+9.5
587,430
D
54.3%Gore285,557
43.4%Bush228,350
2.4%
D+10.9
R+9.1
D+10.3
526,331
D
54.2%Clinton264,818
34.3%Dole167,393
11.5%
D+20.0
D+4.8
D+11.4
488,279
D
45.8%Clinton248,187
30.7%Bush166,306
23.5%
D+15.1
D+10.7
D+9.5
542,056
D
51.9%Dukakis249,998
47.5%Bush228,989
0.6%
D+4.4
D+20.1
D+12.1
481,983
R
41.9%Mondale204,190
57.6%Reagan281,047
0.5%
R+15.8
R+10.6
D+2.5
487,848
R
43.2%Carter218,800
48.4%Reagan245,074
8.4%
R+5.2
R+0.3
D+4.6
506,629
R
46.9%Carter216,563
51.8%Ford239,339
1.3%
R+4.9
D+11.7
R+7.0
462,115
R
40.7%McGovern174,155
57.3%Nixon245,528
2.0%
R+16.7
R+10.9
D+6.5
428,180
R
41.5%Humphrey169,113
47.3%Nixon192,577
11.2%
R+5.8
R+34.1
R+5.1
407,140
D
64.1%Johnson245,127
35.7%Goldwater136,639
0.2%
D+28.4
D+40.4
D+5.8
382,364
R
43.9%Kennedy170,510
55.9%Nixon217,055
0.3%
R+12.0
D+13.2
R+12.1
388,548
R
37.3%Stevenson134,188
62.5%Eisenhower224,574
0.2%
R+25.1
D+0.1
R+9.7
359,574
R
37.0%Stevenson117,820
62.3%Eisenhower198,203
0.7%
R+25.3
R+12.9
R+14.5
318,166
R
42.6%Truman99,135
55.0%Dewey127,838
2.4%
R+12.3
D+0.2
R+16.8
232,628
R
43.4%Roosevelt112,609
55.9%Dewey145,128
0.7%
R+12.5
R+1.9
R+20.0
259,616
R
44.5%Roosevelt115,191
55.1%Willkie142,800
0.4%
R+10.7
R+28.0
R+20.6
259,147
D
55.2%Roosevelt120,324
37.8%Landon82,549
7.0%
D+17.3
D+7.6
R+6.9
218,144
D
53.6%Roosevelt113,901
43.9%Hoover93,285
2.6%
D+9.7
D+56.2
R+8.1
212,636
R
26.5%Smith46,418
73.0%Hoover127,976
0.5%
R+46.6
D+15.3
R+29.1
175,190
R
15.1%Davis22,572
76.9%Coolidge114,951
8.0%
R+61.8
R+10.7
R+36.6
149,448
R
23.1%Cox30,836
74.2%Harding98,934
2.7%
R+51.1
R+40.7
R+24.9
133,327
R
43.2%Wilson40,890
53.5%Hughes50,681
3.3%
R+10.3
R+7.6
R+13.5
94,695
O
25.6%Wilson21,703
28.3%Taft24,013
46.1%
Roosevelt +17.8
D+25.2
R+22.3
84,840
R
33.2%Bryan26,982
61.1%Taft49,619
5.6%
R+27.9
D+13.3
R+18.3
81,149
R
26.6%Parker21,392
67.8%Roosevelt54,536
5.6%
R+41.2
R+23.9
R+21.5
80,454
R
39.5%Bryan33,610
56.8%McKinley48,316
3.7%
R+17.3
R+15.4
R+9.7
85,046
R
47.9%Bryan41,627
49.9%McKinley43,313
2.2%
R+1.9
D+1.3
D+4.1
86,860
R
43.0%Cleveland31,096
46.2%Harrison33,426
10.9%
R+3.2
—
R+4.9
72,384
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Year
Total registered
2016
886,802
2018
878,690
2020
936,159
2022
945,958
2024
963,423
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,020 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −48,796 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−7,762
2012
−9,333
2013
−7,615
2014
−8,356
2015
−6,149
2016
−5,007
2017
−3,481
2018
−3,888
2019
−2,565
2021
+838
2022
+523
2023
+1,500
2024
+1,479
2025
+1,020
This mid-Michigan media market anchors Genesee, Saginaw, and Bay counties, where decades of auto-industry contraction have reshaped an electorate that swung between parties by single digits in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.0 points.
A population of 1,123,771, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,412 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Toledo and Davenport-Rock Island-Moline.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/513/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan voted Republican by 11.0 points (R+11.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 632,806 votes cast, 277,075 went Democratic and 346,720 went Republican.
When did Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan has a population of 1,123,771 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Median household income in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan is $62,412 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, Michigan from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.
