Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic44.7%1,117TrumpRepublican53.9%1,346OtherAll other candidates1.4%34
R+9.2
Lead
229
Total
2,497
vs nation
R+7.7
BidenDemocratic49.8%1,362TrumpRepublican49.4%1,351OtherAll other candidates0.8%22
D+0.4
Lead
11
Total
2,735
vs nation
R+4.1
ClintonDemocratic44.9%994TrumpRepublican52.1%1,155OtherAll other candidates3.0%66
R+7.3
Lead
161
Total
2,215
vs nation
R+9.4
ObamaDemocratic45.7%979RomneyRepublican53.2%1,138OtherAll other candidates1.1%23
R+7.4
Lead
159
Total
2,140
vs nation
R+11.3
ObamaDemocratic43.6%953McCainRepublican55.4%1,211OtherAll other candidates0.9%20
R+11.8
Lead
258
Total
2,184
vs nation
R+19.1
KerryDemocratic41.4%885BushRepublican57.7%1,234OtherAll other candidates0.8%18
R+16.3
Lead
349
Total
2,137
vs nation
R+13.9
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+9.2MIT Election Lab
Population
4,8292024 5-year
Population density
3,715 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.3 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$127,6252024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
48.2%2024 5-year
Black
1.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+0.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+16.3 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
80.4%2,580 participants ÷ 3,207 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+33.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+0.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
47.2%–58.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
55.3%
52.0%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,580
3,207 ± 356
80.4%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,637
3,150 ± 319
52.0%
Audited
E/D
2,761
3,241 ± 347
85.2%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,877
3,396 ± 254
55.3%
Audited
E/A
2,245
3,394 ± 219
66.1%
Audited
E/A
2,140
3,109
68.8%
Derived
—
2,184
2,961
73.8%
Derived
—
2,137
2,813 extrapolated
76.0%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Northvale, NJ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
49.8%
1,362 votes · D+0.4
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 45.7%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
57.7%
1,234 votes · R+16.3
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 55.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,362votes
49.8% of the vote · D+0.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,117 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,351votes
49.4% of the vote · D+0.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,346 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
−4.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.4 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −7.7 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+19.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+11.8 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +13.9 pts
presidential primaries
Nominating contests
Northvale · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Bergen County, New Jersey, the county containing Northvale — Northvale’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Northvale, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Northvale sits in the northeastern tip of Bergen County, a dense suburban pocket where presidential margins have shifted noticeably over successive cycles despite a population under 5,000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 0.4 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 16.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.2 points.
A population of 4,829, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $127,625 describe the city.
In 2024, Northvale, New Jersey voted Republican by 9.2 points (R+9.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,497 votes cast, 1,117 went Democratic and 1,346 went Republican.
When did Northvale, New Jersey last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Northvale, New Jersey voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Northvale, New Jersey?
Northvale, New Jersey has a population of 4,829 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Northvale, New Jersey?
Median household income in Northvale, New Jersey is $127,625 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Northvale, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Northvale, New Jersey from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
