Warren, Ohio
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +48.2% |
| 2008 | +46.4% |
| 2012 | +50.2% |
| 2016 | +28.7% |
| 2020 | +23.8% |
| 2024 | +17.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 58.0%Harris7,742 | 41.0%Trump5,478 | 1.0% | D+17.0 | R+6.9 | D+18.4 | 13,349 | |
| D | 61.2%Biden9,164 | 37.4%Trump5,598 | 1.3% | D+23.8 | R+4.9 | D+19.4 | 14,964 | |
| D | 62.3%Clinton9,436 | 33.5%Trump5,082 | 4.2% | D+28.7 | R+21.5 | D+26.6 | 15,155 | |
| D | 73.8%Obama12,697 | 23.5%Romney4,053 | 2.7% | D+50.2 | D+3.8 | D+46.4 | 17,215 | |
| D | 72.0%Obama13,476 | 25.6%McCain4,794 | 2.4% | D+46.4 | R+1.8 | D+39.1 | 18,715 | |
| D | 73.8%Kerry14,045 | 25.6%Bush4,877 | 0.6% | D+48.2 | — | D+50.6 | 19,038 |
Warren's population has declined by more than half since its 1960s peak, and the city's working-class, majority-Democratic electorate reflects the broader deindustrialization story that has reshuffled partisan alignments across the Mahoning Valley.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.2 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.0 points.
A population of 38,912, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $37,887 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Canton and Youngstown.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Warren, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3980892/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.