Baker City, Oregon
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −39.1% |
| 2008 | −30.4% |
| 2012 | −39.5% |
| 2016 | −45.7% |
| 2020 | −45.6% |
| 2024 | −41.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 27.4%Harris1,471 | 69.1%Trump3,706 | 3.5% | R+41.7 | D+3.9 | R+40.2 | 5,364 | |
| R | 25.8%Biden1,413 | 71.4%Trump3,909 | 2.8% | R+45.6 | D+0.1 | R+50.1 | 5,473 | |
| R | 22.4%Clinton1,071 | 68.1%Trump3,259 | 9.5% | R+45.7 | R+6.3 | R+47.8 | 4,783 | |
| R | 28.0%Obama1,436 | 67.5%Romney3,457 | 4.5% | R+39.5 | R+9.1 | R+43.3 | 5,122 | |
| R | 33.1%Obama1,635 | 63.5%McCain3,134 | 3.4% | R+30.4 | D+8.7 | R+37.6 | 4,936 | |
| R | 29.6%Kerry1,508 | 68.7%Bush3,498 | 1.7% | R+39.1 | — | R+36.6 | 5,091 |
Baker City anchors Baker County, one of Oregon's most reliably Republican-leaning jurisdictions, where extractive industries and rural land-use politics consistently drive voter priorities well above statewide trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 45.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.7 points.
A population of 10,210, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,580 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cañon City and Camp Verde.
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Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Baker City, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4103650/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.