Baker County, Oregon
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 9,694 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -55 | 305 | 930 | 40 | 1,275 | 23.9% | 72.9% | R+49.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -44 | 299 | 831 | 47 | 1,177 | 25.4% | 70.6% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -33 | 301 | 698 | 36 | 1,035 | 29.1% | 67.4% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -22 | 307 | 608 | 32 | 947 | 32.4% | 64.2% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -11 | 260 | 642 | 32 | 934 | 27.8% | 68.7% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -2424 | 214 | 592 | 19 | 825 | 25.9% | 71.8% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -1313 | 127 | 596 | 9 | 732 | 17.3% | 81.4% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -2222 | 188 | 458 | 12 | 658 | 28.6% | 69.6% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -1717 | 96 | 482 | 19 | 597 | 16.1% | 80.7% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -1515 | 65 | 361 | 12 | 438 | 14.8% | 82.4% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -2525 | 64 | 252 | 6 | 322 | 19.9% | 78.3% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -1919 | 52 | 215 | 10 | 277 | 18.8% | 77.6% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -2121 | 25 | 137 | 7 | 169 | 14.8% | 81.1% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -2626 | 15 | 77 | 5 | 97 | 15.5% | 79.4% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -1818 | 3 | 72 | 3 | 78 | 3.8% | 92.3% | R+88.5 |
| Precinct -1414 | 3 | 70 | 0 | 73 | 4.1% | 95.9% | R+91.8 |
| Precinct -2020 | 19 | 39 | 2 | 60 | 31.7% | 65.0% | R+33.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −23.0% |
| 1896 | +31.9% |
| 1900 | +5.0% |
| 1904 | −31.6% |
| 1908 | −2.6% |
| 1912 | +20.3% |
| 1916 | +19.8% |
| 1920 | −22.2% |
| 1924 | −12.9% |
| 1928 | −32.8% |
| 1932 | +34.8% |
| 1936 | +45.1% |
| 1940 | +16.7% |
| 1944 | +11.0% |
| 1948 | +3.2% |
| 1952 | −24.7% |
| 1956 | −3.9% |
| 1960 | +3.0% |
| 1964 | +18.7% |
| 1968 | −13.5% |
| 1972 | −22.4% |
| 1976 | −0.5% |
| 1980 | −27.9% |
| 1984 | −33.4% |
| 1988 | −11.7% |
| 1992 | −6.2% |
| 1996 | −18.5% |
| 2000 | −41.5% |
| 2004 | −40.3% |
| 2008 | −32.4% |
| 2012 | −39.5% |
| 2016 | −50.4% |
| 2020 | −50.4% |
| 2024 | −48.7% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 29.4%2,531 | 68.5%5,902 | 8,621 |
| 2020 | R | 27.0%2,633 | 70.4%6,863 | 9,743 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Democratic.
13,211 registered voters · 2024 · up from 12,969 in 2022
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−6 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +795 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,172 in average income, against $64,329 for residents who stayed — 8% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+43.2 on average — 5.4 points more Democratic-leaning than Baker County, OR itself (R+48.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Union County, OR33R+40.0
- Canyon County, ID31R+46.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Union County, OR45
- Ada County, ID35
- Canyon County, ID21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −16 |
| 2012 | −55 |
| 2013 | +45 |
| 2014 | +29 |
| 2015 | −84 |
| 2016 | +136 |
| 2017 | +147 |
| 2018 | −25 |
| 2019 | +139 |
| 2021 | +256 |
| 2022 | +171 |
| 2023 | +92 |
| 2024 | −34 |
| 2025 | −6 |
Baker County's sparse high-desert ranching economy anchors one of the widest presidential margins in the state, with the 2024 gap exceeding 48 points despite a population under 17,000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 50.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.7 points.
A population of 16,840, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,936 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Harney County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Baker County, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/41001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.