Baker County, Oregon: Stable Rural Right county. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+50 in 2020.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 16,8402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,9362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Idaho County, ID · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Baker CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Baker County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −23.0% |
| 1896 | +31.9% |
| 1900 | +5.0% |
| 1904 | −31.6% |
| 1908 | −2.6% |
| 1912 | +20.3% |
| 1916 | +19.8% |
| 1920 | −22.2% |
| 1924 | −12.9% |
| 1928 | −32.8% |
| 1932 | +34.8% |
| 1936 | +45.1% |
| 1940 | +16.7% |
| 1944 | +11.0% |
| 1948 | +3.2% |
| 1952 | −24.7% |
| 1956 | −3.9% |
| 1960 | +3.0% |
| 1964 | +18.7% |
| 1968 | −13.5% |
| 1972 | −22.4% |
| 1976 | −0.5% |
| 1980 | −27.9% |
| 1984 | −33.4% |
| 1988 | −11.7% |
| 1992 | −6.2% |
| 1996 | −18.5% |
| 2000 | −41.5% |
| 2004 | −40.3% |
| 2008 | −32.4% |
| 2012 | −39.5% |
| 2016 | −50.4% |
| 2020 | −50.4% |
| 2024 | −48.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,343 | 7,060 | 9,694 | ||
| R | 2,346 | 7,352 | 9,932 | ||
| R | 1,797 | 6,218 | 8,779 | ||
| R | 2,369 | 5,702 | 8,448 | ||
| R | 2,805 | 5,650 | 8,777 | ||
| R | 2,616 | 6,253 | 9,034 | ||
| R | 2,195 | 5,618 | 8,258 | ||
| R | 2,547 | 3,975 | 7,703 | ||
| R | 2,395 | 2,862 | 7,530 | ||
| R | 2,896 | 3,696 | 6,826 | ||
| R | 2,591 | 5,204 | 7,812 | ||
| R | 2,515 | 4,747 | 8,013 | ||
| R | 3,306 | 3,340 | 6,919 | ||
| R | 2,047 | 3,441 | 6,220 | ||
| R | 2,464 | 3,311 | 6,255 | ||
| D | 3,903 | 2,670 | 6,585 | ||
| D | 3,734 | 3,514 | 7,251 | ||
| R | 3,431 | 3,706 | 7,137 | ||
| R | 2,562 | 4,253 | 6,838 | ||
| D | 3,035 | 2,841 | 6,040 | ||
| D | 3,116 | 2,494 | 5,641 | ||
| D | 4,353 | 3,101 | 7,493 | ||
| D | 4,991 | 1,768 | 7,151 | ||
| D | 4,420 | 2,097 | 6,674 | ||
| R | 1,861 | 3,721 | 5,679 | ||
| R | 2,004 | 2,803 | 6,172 | ||
| R | 2,171 | 3,495 | 5,961 | ||
| D | 3,897 | 2,541 | 6,838 | ||
| O | 1,395 | 648 | 3,686 | ||
| R | 1,596 | 1,689 | 3,610 | ||
| R | 938 | 1,990 | 3,330 | ||
| D | 1,615 | 1,458 | 3,160 | ||
| D | 1,860 | 951 | 2,852 | ||
| R | 355 | 755 | 1,741 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.9%
German
16.6%
Irish
11.4%
American
5.8%
Scottish
5.7%
Italian
2.9%
French
1.9%
African American
1.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 47.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,936
Baker County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Baker County$60,936
Oregon$83,011
United States$80,734
Baker County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
14.9%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.7%
Working age (18–64)15.5%
Seniors (65+)14.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.7%
speak English only
Spanish1.8%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Baker County's sparse high-desert ranching economy anchors one of the widest presidential margins in the state, with the 2024 gap exceeding 48 points despite a population under 17,000.
The Republican margin here reached fifty points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-nine points.
A population of 16,840, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,936 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Idaho County and Logan County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Baker County, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/41001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Oregon
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Frequently asked questions
How did Baker County, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Baker County, Oregon voted Republican by 48.7 points (R+49), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,694 votes cast, 2,343 went Democratic and 7,060 went Republican.
What is Baker County, Oregon's political typology?
Akashic places Baker County, Oregon in the "Stable Rural Right" typology — Mountain, Plains, and rural Republican counties already near their ceiling, with little further room to swing. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Baker County, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Baker County, Oregon voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Baker County, Oregon?
Baker County, Oregon has a population of 16,840 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baker County, Oregon?
Median household income in Baker County, Oregon is $60,936 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Baker County, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baker County, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The county's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.