Dayton, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −37.1% |
| 2008 | −45.9% |
| 2012 | −50.8% |
| 2016 | −52.3% |
| 2020 | −54.4% |
| 2024 | −57.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 21.1%Harris511 | 78.6%Trump1,904 | 0.3% | R+57.5 | R+3.1 | R+56.0 | 2,422 | |
| R | 22.6%Biden670 | 77.0%Trump2,286 | 0.4% | R+54.4 | R+2.1 | R+58.9 | 2,969 | |
| R | 22.7%Clinton557 | 75.1%Trump1,839 | 2.2% | R+52.3 | R+1.6 | R+54.4 | 2,449 | |
| R | 24.1%Obama497 | 74.9%Romney1,543 | 1.0% | R+50.8 | R+4.9 | R+54.6 | 2,060 | |
| R | 26.6%Obama505 | 72.5%McCain1,376 | 0.8% | R+45.9 | R+8.8 | R+53.2 | 1,897 | |
| R | 31.1%Kerry577 | 68.2%Bush1,265 | 0.7% | R+37.1 | — | R+34.6 | 1,855 |
Dayton sits on the Houston exurban fringe, where population growth driven by refinery and industrial workers has outpaced municipal infrastructure and pushed local elections toward debates over development pace and road capacity.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 57.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.5 points.
A population of 9,058, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,691 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Liberty and Athens.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Dayton, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4819432/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.