Buckhall, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −29.3% |
| 2008 | −7.8% |
| 2012 | −13.4% |
| 2016 | −6.7% |
| 2020 | +5.9% |
| 2024 | +4.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 50.5%Harris6,344 | 46.5%Trump5,843 | 3.1% | D+4.0 | R+1.9 | D+5.5 | 12,574 | |
| D | 52.1%Biden6,389 | 46.2%Trump5,663 | 1.8% | D+5.9 | D+12.6 | D+1.5 | 12,270 | |
| R | 43.3%Clinton4,654 | 50.0%Trump5,374 | 6.8% | R+6.7 | D+6.7 | R+8.8 | 10,756 | |
| R | 42.6%Obama4,247 | 56.0%Romney5,582 | 1.3% | R+13.4 | R+5.6 | R+17.3 | 9,960 | |
| R | 45.7%Obama3,630 | 53.5%McCain4,247 | 0.8% | R+7.8 | D+21.5 | R+15.0 | 7,942 | |
| R | 35.0%Kerry2,385 | 64.3%Bush4,385 | 0.8% | R+29.3 | — | R+26.9 | 6,823 |
Buckhall is an unincorporated census-designated place in Prince William County, where rapid suburban expansion over the past two decades has steadily shifted a once reliably red precinct cluster toward competitive margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 5.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 29.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.0 points.
A population of 21,602, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $180,021 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Linton Hall and Aquia Harbour.
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Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Buckhall, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5110776/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.