Akashic

county

Prince William County, VA

Contests in this Place (88 available)

President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German8.2%10.1%12.5%

English7.7%12.0%9.5%

Irish7.3%9.1%9.4%

American3.9%8.4%5.3%

Italian3.6%3.9%4.8%

Polish1.6%1.6%2.2%

Scottish1.5%1.9%1.3%

French1.1%1.3%1.6%

Salvadoran8.5%2.1%0.7%

Mexican4.0%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican2.0%1.4%1.8%

Peruvian2.0%0.5%—

Guatemalan1.8%0.7%0.5%

Honduran1.5%0.7%0.3%

Bolivian1.2%0.4%—

Colombian0.6%0.3%0.4%

African American†13.7%15.6%9.9%

Ghanaian1.5%0.2%—

African1.3%0.9%0.5%

Ethiopian1.2%0.5%—

Jamaican0.4%0.3%0.4%

Nigerian0.3%0.2%0.2%

Somali0.2%——

Sierra Leonean0.2%——

Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.2%——

Asian Indian2.0%1.8%1.4%

Pakistani1.3%0.5%—

Filipino1.2%0.9%0.9%

Korean1.2%0.8%0.4%

Afghan0.9%0.2%—

Vietnamese0.8%0.7%0.6%

Chinese0.5%0.8%1.3%

Bangladeshi0.5%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Median age	36.3	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.9%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	11.3%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$131,402	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	6.2%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	44.9%	42.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Owner-occupied homes	74.3%	67.3%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	25.7%	32.7%	34.8%
Median home value	$530,100	$383,700	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$2,067	$1,579	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	50.9%	48.5%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	3.1%	8.7%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Mean commute	36.4 min	27.3 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	18.2%	8.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	65.7%	67.6%	68.8%
Takes public transit	2.5%	2.3%	3.2%
Works from home	19.1%	18.3%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	36.5%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	20.0%	7.9%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	5.5%	2.6%	2.0%
Arabic	1.5%	0.8%	0.4%
Other languages	3.8%	1.1%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	15.2%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	12.8%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	59.1%	54.3%	51.5%
Muslim	5.2%	2.0%	1.3%

Origins and service

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Foreign-born residents	26.3%	13.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	15.1%	7.4%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	11.2%	5.7%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	11.4%	9.4%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.386	0.471	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

2024 turnout 73.7% of 311,411 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic57.3%131,128TrumpRepublican39.4%90,203SteinIndependent1.8%4,148

D+17.9

Lead: 40,925
Total: 228,712
vs nation: D+19.4
Turnout: 73.7%

BidenDemocratic62.6%142,863TrumpRepublican35.6%81,222JorgensenLibertarian1.4%3,148

D+27.0

Lead: 61,641
Total: 228,056
vs nation: D+22.6
Turnout: 78.6%

ClintonDemocratic57.6%113,144TrumpRepublican36.5%71,721JohnsonLibertarian2.7%5,374

D+21.1

Lead: 41,423
Total: 196,442
vs nation: D+19.0
Turnout: 71.6%

ObamaDemocratic57.3%103,331RomneyRepublican41.3%74,458OtherAll other candidates1.3%2,406

D+16.0

Lead: 28,873
Total: 180,195
vs nation: D+12.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic57.5%93,435McCainRepublican41.6%67,621OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,390

D+15.9

Lead: 25,814
Total: 162,446
vs nation: D+8.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic46.4%61,271BushRepublican52.8%69,776OtherAll other candidates0.8%1,016

R+6.4

Lead: 8,505
Total: 132,063
vs nation: R+4.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic44.5%44,745BushRepublican52.5%52,788NaderGreen1.9%1,927

R+8.0

Lead: 8,043
Total: 100,511
vs nation: R+8.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic42.7%33,462DoleRepublican50.1%39,292PerotReform6.2%4,881

R+7.4

Lead: 5,830
Total: 78,443
vs nation: R+16.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+17.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 488,8802024 5-year
Population density: 1,458 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 335 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $131,4022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 37.9%2024 5-year
Black: 19.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 26.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+73.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+38.1 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Fairfax County, VA · twin score 93.7

Participation

Turnout and midterm durability

Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.

2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited

2024 turnout: 73.7%229,615 participants ÷ 311,411 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +28.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state: +4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026: 45.6%–52.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Participation by cycle

Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016

57.7%

50.4%

Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.

Cycle	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Series	Quality
	229,615	311,411 ± 3,107	73.7%	Audited	A/A
2022Mid	154,156	305,753 ± 2,959	50.4%	Audited	A/A
	229,515	292,178 ± 2,709	78.6%	Audited	A/A
2018Mid	163,846	283,920 ± 2,207	57.7%	Audited	C/A
	196,474	274,536 ± 2,087	71.6%	Audited	A/A
	180,195	247,065	72.9%	Derived	—
	162,446	215,867	75.3%	Derived	—
	132,063	184,669 extrapolated	71.5%	Derived	—

Sources and methods

Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.

2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.

Interactive election map

One map. Every available contest.

The map and local result cover Prince William County only. The complete district District 7 result is shown below for comparison.

YearOfficeParty / contestMap detailShowing

Prince William County result

0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes

Doug A. Ollivant0—

Philip A. Harding0—

Rick S. Smithers0—

District District 7 result

Loading the complete contest result…

Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 201 precincts

Precinct data

Results by precinct

201 precincts · 228,712 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Prince William County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -409-Tyler409-Tyler	2,108	1,672	115	3,895	54.1%	42.9%	D+11.2
Precinct -112-Burke-Nickens112-Burke-Nickens	1,868	1,638	111	3,617	51.6%	45.3%	D+6.4
Precinct -407-Heritage Hunt407-Heritage Hunt	1,873	1,614	49	3,536	53.0%	45.6%	D+7.3
Precinct -402-Gravely402-Gravely	1,485	1,956	88	3,529	42.1%	55.4%	R+13.3
Precinct -410-Mountain View410-Mountain View	1,650	1,658	96	3,404	48.5%	48.7%	R+0.2
Precinct -104-Nokesville104-Nokesville	1,347	1,887	80	3,314	40.6%	56.9%	R+16.3
Precinct -111-Limestone111-Limestone	1,683	1,493	125	3,301	51.0%	45.2%	D+5.8
Precinct -114-Bristow Run114-Bristow Run	1,737	1,449	115	3,301	52.6%	43.9%	D+8.7
Precinct -203-Bennett203-Bennett	1,769	1,326	116	3,211	55.1%	41.3%	D+13.8
Precinct -107-Marsteller107-Marsteller	1,672	1,272	84	3,028	55.2%	42.0%	D+13.2
Precinct -406-Alvey406-Alvey	1,511	1,402	79	2,992	50.5%	46.9%	D+3.6
Precinct -103-Glenkirk103-Glenkirk	1,492	1,351	128	2,971	50.2%	45.5%	D+4.7
Precinct -509-McCoart509-McCoart	1,601	1,266	87	2,954	54.2%	42.9%	D+11.3
Precinct -511-Westridge511-Westridge	1,782	1,031	114	2,927	60.9%	35.2%	D+25.7
Precinct -110-Buckland Mills110-Buckland Mills	1,489	1,317	113	2,919	51.0%	45.1%	D+5.9
Precinct -413-Reagan413-Reagan	1,368	1,446	88	2,902	47.1%	49.8%	R+2.7
Precinct -513-Woodbridge513-Woodbridge	1,653	1,108	140	2,901	57.0%	38.2%	D+18.8
Precinct -501-Springwoods501-Springwoods	1,732	983	106	2,821	61.4%	34.8%	D+26.6
Precinct -108-Victory108-Victory	1,577	1,167	70	2,814	56.0%	41.5%	D+14.6
Precinct -210-Yates Ford210-Yates Ford	1,298	1,407	82	2,787	46.6%	50.5%	R+3.9
Precinct -316-Potomac Shores316-Potomac Shores	1,977	730	75	2,782	71.1%	26.2%	D+44.8
Precinct -206-Coles206-Coles	1,329	1,368	77	2,774	47.9%	49.3%	R+1.4
Precinct -109-Chris Yung109-Chris Yung	1,473	1,148	120	2,741	53.7%	41.9%	D+11.9
Precinct -401-Evergreen401-Evergreen	1,131	1,545	58	2,734	41.4%	56.5%	R+15.1
Precinct -505-Lake Ridge505-Lake Ridge	1,661	974	99	2,734	60.8%	35.6%	D+25.1
Precinct -608-Enterprise608-Enterprise	1,658	982	93	2,733	60.7%	35.9%	D+24.7
Precinct -507-Chinn507-Chinn	1,747	806	112	2,665	65.6%	30.2%	D+35.3
Precinct -514-Antietam514-Antietam	1,630	929	87	2,646	61.6%	35.1%	D+26.5
Precinct -602-Beville602-Beville	1,633	864	146	2,643	61.8%	32.7%	D+29.1
Precinct -403-Bull Run403-Bull Run	1,382	1,147	90	2,619	52.8%	43.8%	D+9.0
Precinct -214-Lucasville214-Lucasville	1,155	1,384	65	2,604	44.4%	53.1%	R+8.8
Precinct -313-Cardinal313-Cardinal	1,613	874	102	2,589	62.3%	33.8%	D+28.5
Precinct -101-Brentsville101-Brentsville	763	1,770	55	2,588	29.5%	68.4%	R+38.9
Precinct -508-Purcell508-Purcell	1,284	1,224	79	2,587	49.6%	47.3%	D+2.3
Precinct -701-Belmont701-Belmont	1,630	884	72	2,586	63.0%	34.2%	D+28.8
Precinct -706-Rippon706-Rippon	1,580	889	77	2,546	62.1%	34.9%	D+27.1
Precinct -312-Triangle312-Triangle	1,657	805	82	2,544	65.1%	31.6%	D+33.5
Precinct -113-Lakes113-Lakes	1,336	1,087	84	2,507	53.3%	43.4%	D+9.9
Precinct -105-Piney Branch105-Piney Branch	1,254	1,134	93	2,481	50.5%	45.7%	D+4.8
Precinct -702-Library702-Library	1,775	615	66	2,456	72.3%	25.0%	D+47.2
Precinct -708-River Oaks708-River Oaks	1,768	601	72	2,441	72.4%	24.6%	D+47.8
Precinct -305-Forest Park305-Forest Park	1,407	965	66	2,438	57.7%	39.6%	D+18.1
Precinct -207-Spriggs207-Spriggs	1,431	915	79	2,425	59.0%	37.7%	D+21.3
Precinct -712-Leesylvania712-Leesylvania	1,479	824	86	2,389	61.9%	34.5%	D+27.4
Precinct -306-Four Seasons306-Four Seasons	1,499	827	55	2,381	63.0%	34.7%	D+28.2
Precinct -201-Hylton201-Hylton	1,432	866	80	2,378	60.2%	36.4%	D+23.8
Precinct -611-Neabsco611-Neabsco	1,526	777	75	2,378	64.2%	32.7%	D+31.5
Precinct -610-Fitzgerald610-Fitzgerald	1,535	702	80	2,317	66.2%	30.3%	D+36.0
Precinct -315-Williams315-Williams	1,667	562	71	2,300	72.5%	24.4%	D+48.0
Precinct -502-Occoquan502-Occoquan	1,405	788	88	2,281	61.6%	34.5%	D+27.0
Precinct -614-Rosa Parks614-Rosa Parks	1,434	747	98	2,279	62.9%	32.8%	D+30.1
Precinct -215-Saunders215-Saunders	1,444	694	115	2,253	64.1%	30.8%	D+33.3
Precinct -302-Potomac302-Potomac	1,571	564	112	2,247	69.9%	25.1%	D+44.8
Precinct -102-Cedar Point102-Cedar Point	1,172	1,005	54	2,231	52.5%	45.0%	D+7.5
Precinct -515-Marshall515-Marshall	1,087	1,049	51	2,187	49.7%	48.0%	D+1.7
Precinct -710-Powells Creek710-Powells Creek	1,581	517	89	2,187	72.3%	23.6%	D+48.7
Precinct -311-Swans Creek311-Swans Creek	1,501	602	78	2,181	68.8%	27.6%	D+41.2
Precinct -411-Mullen411-Mullen	1,414	709	53	2,176	65.0%	32.6%	D+32.4
Precinct -307-Henderson307-Henderson	1,232	848	63	2,143	57.5%	39.6%	D+17.9
Precinct -711-Grayson711-Grayson	1,362	717	54	2,133	63.9%	33.6%	D+30.2
Precinct -603-Hampton603-Hampton	1,384	662	66	2,112	65.5%	31.3%	D+34.2
Precinct -704-Porter704-Porter	1,433	576	88	2,097	68.3%	27.5%	D+40.9
Precinct -310-PW Forest Park310-PW Forest Park	1,377	637	66	2,080	66.2%	30.6%	D+35.6
Precinct -606-Bel Air606-Bel Air	1,171	828	57	2,056	57.0%	40.3%	D+16.7
Precinct -412-Catharpin412-Catharpin	787	1,221	36	2,044	38.5%	59.7%	R+21.2
Precinct -314-Cabin Branch314-Cabin Branch	1,248	732	60	2,040	61.2%	35.9%	D+25.3
Precinct -707-Kilby707-Kilby	1,215	735	69	2,019	60.2%	36.4%	D+23.8
Precinct -506-Old Bridge506-Old Bridge	1,198	725	74	1,997	60.0%	36.3%	D+23.7
Precinct -209-Independent Hill209-Independent Hill	710	1,230	51	1,991	35.7%	61.8%	R+26.1
Precinct -205-Buckhall205-Buckhall	968	947	73	1,988	48.7%	47.6%	D+1.1
Precinct -601-Dale601-Dale	1,263	622	81	1,966	64.2%	31.6%	D+32.6
Precinct -309-Ashland309-Ashland	1,160	745	48	1,953	59.4%	38.1%	D+21.2
Precinct -301-Dumfries301-Dumfries	1,300	588	57	1,945	66.8%	30.2%	D+36.6
Precinct -709-Freedom709-Freedom	1,380	482	83	1,945	71.0%	24.8%	D+46.2
Precinct -212-Yorkshire212-Yorkshire	950	924	48	1,922	49.4%	48.1%	D+1.4
Precinct -405-Ben Lomond405-Ben Lomond	1,143	702	44	1,889	60.5%	37.2%	D+23.3
Precinct -504-Rockledge504-Rockledge	1,147	632	53	1,832	62.6%	34.5%	D+28.1
Precinct -604-Gar-Field604-Gar-Field	1,202	546	43	1,791	67.1%	30.5%	D+36.6
Precinct -213-Parkside213-Parkside	888	790	69	1,747	50.8%	45.2%	D+5.6
Precinct -609-King609-King	974	585	140	1,699	57.3%	34.4%	D+22.9
Precinct -512-York512-York	1,171	470	54	1,695	69.1%	27.7%	D+41.4
Precinct -204-Ellis204-Ellis	915	717	34	1,666	54.9%	43.0%	D+11.9
Precinct -208-Colgan208-Colgan	753	804	35	1,592	47.3%	50.5%	R+3.2
Precinct -414-Seymour414-Seymour	978	548	58	1,584	61.7%	34.6%	D+27.1
Precinct -408-Sudley408-Sudley	750	749	32	1,531	49.0%	48.9%	D+0.1
Precinct -211-Signal Hill211-Signal Hill	885	597	42	1,524	58.1%	39.2%	D+18.9
Precinct -705-Potomac View705-Potomac View	847	623	44	1,514	55.9%	41.1%	D+14.8
Precinct -503-Mohican503-Mohican	933	495	39	1,467	63.6%	33.7%	D+29.9
Precinct -607-Hillendale607-Hillendale	851	559	45	1,455	58.5%	38.4%	D+20.1
Precinct -308-Montclair308-Montclair	832	576	36	1,444	57.6%	39.9%	D+17.7
Precinct -703-Lynn703-Lynn	1,000	391	45	1,436	69.6%	27.2%	D+42.4
Precinct -605-Minnieville605-Minnieville	841	541	44	1,426	59.0%	37.9%	D+21.0
Precinct -303-Graham Park303-Graham Park	955	425	38	1,418	67.3%	30.0%	D+37.4
Precinct -612-Elm Farm612-Elm Farm	849	509	59	1,417	59.9%	35.9%	D+24.0
Precinct -404-Unity Braxton404-Unity Braxton	787	541	50	1,378	57.1%	39.3%	D+17.9
Precinct -202-West Gate202-West Gate	765	515	29	1,309	58.4%	39.3%	D+19.1
Precinct -516-Kerrydale516-Kerrydale	602	353	44	999	60.3%	35.3%	D+24.9
Precinct -106-Unity Reed106-Unity Reed	453	297	17	767	59.1%	38.7%	D+20.3
Precinct -616-Markham616-Markham	513	129	9	651	78.8%	19.8%	D+59.0
Precinct -510-County Center510-County Center	445	129	32	606	73.4%	21.3%	D+52.1
Precinct -613-Hoadly613-Hoadly	407	165	33	605	67.3%	27.3%	D+40.0
Precinct -304-Quantico304-Quantico	191	235	14	440	43.4%	53.4%	R+10.0
Precinct -615-Commons615-Commons	197	45	5	247	79.8%	18.2%	D+61.5
Alvey51153000406	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Antietam51153000514	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ashland51153000309	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Battlefield51153000402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bel Air51153000606	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Belmont51153000701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ben Lomond51153000404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bennett51153000203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bethel51153000506	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Beville51153000602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Brentsville51153000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bristow Run51153000111	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckhall51153000205	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckland Mills (CD 01)51153000110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckland Mills (CD 10)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bull Run51153000403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Burke-Nickens (CD 01)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Burke-Nickens (CD 10)51153000112	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cabin Branch51153000314	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cardinal51153000313	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Catharpin51153000412	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cedar Point51153000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chinn51153000507	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chris Yung51153000109	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Coles51153000206	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dale51153000601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dumfries51153000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ellis51153000204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Enterprise51153000608	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Evergreen51153000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Fitzgerald51153000610	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Forest Park51153000310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Freedom51153000709	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Gideon51153000604	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Glenkirk51153000103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Graham Park51153000303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Grayson51153000711	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hampton51153000603	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Henderson51153000307	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Heritage Hunt51153000407	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hylton51153000208	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Independent Hill51153000209	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kerrydale51153000607	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kilby51153000707	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
King (CD 01)51153000609	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
King (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lake Ridge51153000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Leesylvania51153000712	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Library51153000702	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Limestone51153000105	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lucasville51153000214	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lynn51153000703	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lynnwood51153000513	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Marshall51153000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Marsteller51153000107	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
McCoart51153000509	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Minnieville51153000605	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mohican51153000505	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Montclair51153000308	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mountain View51153000410	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mullen51153000411	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Neabsco51153000611	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Nokesville51153000104	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Occoquan51153000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Old Bridge51153000503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Pattie51153000305	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Penn (CD 01)51153000210	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Penn (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Piney Branch51153000114	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Porter51153000704	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Potomac51153000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Potomac View51153000705	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Powells Creek51153000710	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Quantico51153000304	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Reagan51153000413	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rippon51153000706	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
River Oaks51153000708	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rockledge51153000504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rosa Parks51153000215	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Saratoga51153000213	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Saunders51153000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Signal Hill51153000211	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Spriggs51153000207	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Springwoods51153000508	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Sudley51153000408	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Swans Creek51153000311	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Triangle (CD 01)51153000312	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Triangle (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Tyler51153000409	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Unity Braxton51153000405	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Victory51153000108	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Washington-Reid51153000306	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Westgate51153000106	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Westridge51153000511	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Williams51153000315	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yates Ford51153000510	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
York51153000512	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yorkshire51153000212	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Party record book

Prince William County, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Woodrow Wilson1912

81.4%

814 votes · D+73.2

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 79.4%

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

68.9%

34,992 votes · R+38.1

Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 66.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

142,863votes

62.6% of the vote · D+27.0

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 131,128 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

90,203votes

39.4% of the vote · D+17.9

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81,222 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+74.6pts D vs U.S.

Place D+49.4 · U.S. R+25.2

Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +71.4 pts

Republican

Barry Goldwater1964

+48.0pts R vs U.S.

Place R+25.4 · U.S. D+22.6

Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +26.7 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DMark WarnerU.S. Senate-0.21

DTim KaineU.S. Senate-0.23

DEugene VindmanU.S. House · VA-07-0.17

DSuhas SubramanyamU.S. House · VA-10-0.24

DJeremy McPikeState Senate · 29

DDanica RoemState Senate · 30

DJennifer Carroll FoyState Senate · 33

DJosh ThomasState House · 21

DLiz GuzmánState House · 22

DMargaret FranklinState House · 23

DLuke TorianState House · 24

DBriana SewellState House · 25

Seats representing Prince William County, VA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 3 state senate and 5 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	58.4%134,715	41.6%95,893	230,608
2020	D	65.6%112,212	34.4%58,786	170,998
2018	D	63.1%102,595	36.9%59,998	162,593

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Prince William County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	273,775
2018	284,100
2020	306,784
2022	316,642
2024	333,225

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−3,093 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −17,616 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $76,484 in average income, against $104,607 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+27.7 on average — 9.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Prince William County, VA itself (D+17.9).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Fairfax County, VA4,212D+34.7
Manassas city, VA709D+14.8
Alexandria city, VA692D+57.1
Loudoun County, VA671D+16.2
Stafford County, VA582D+0.8
Arlington County, VA442D+58.1

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Fairfax County, VA2,805
Stafford County, VA1,370
Manassas city, VA687
Fauquier County, VA609
Loudoun County, VA609
Spotsylvania County, VA576

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Prince William County, VA in Prince William County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+6,335
2012	+2,988
2013	+1,432
2014	−1,479
2015	−764
2016	−2,063
2017	−718
2018	−2,702
2019	−1,529
2021	−2,492
2022	−5,800
2023	−4,119
2024	−3,612
2025	−3,093

Prince William's rapid demographic transformation — driven by a surge in immigrant and college-educated residents along the I-95 corridor — has shifted its presidential margin from single digits to D+18 in roughly two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 38.1 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.9 points.

A population of 488,880, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $131,402 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fairfax County and Loudoun County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Fairfax County

Virginia

93.7twin score

median income2016–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity

Loudoun County

Virginia

93.6twin score

median income2016–2024 trajectory≠ college share

Arapahoe County

Colorado

93.2twin score

2016–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Prince William County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently asked questions

How did Prince William County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Prince William County, Virginia voted Democratic by 17.9 points (D+17.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 228,712 votes cast, 131,128 went Democratic and 90,203 went Republican.

When did Prince William County, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Prince William County, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Prince William County, Virginia?

Prince William County, Virginia has a population of 488,880 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Prince William County, Virginia?

Median household income in Prince William County, Virginia is $131,402 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Prince William County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Prince William County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.

Akashic

county

Prince William County, VA

Contests in this Place (88 available)

President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped

▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German8.2%10.1%12.5%

English7.7%12.0%9.5%

Irish7.3%9.1%9.4%

American3.9%8.4%5.3%

Italian3.6%3.9%4.8%

Polish1.6%1.6%2.2%

Scottish1.5%1.9%1.3%

French1.1%1.3%1.6%

Salvadoran8.5%2.1%0.7%

Mexican4.0%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican2.0%1.4%1.8%

Peruvian2.0%0.5%—

Guatemalan1.8%0.7%0.5%

Honduran1.5%0.7%0.3%

Bolivian1.2%0.4%—

Colombian0.6%0.3%0.4%

African American†13.7%15.6%9.9%

Ghanaian1.5%0.2%—

African1.3%0.9%0.5%

Ethiopian1.2%0.5%—

Jamaican0.4%0.3%0.4%

Nigerian0.3%0.2%0.2%

Somali0.2%——

Sierra Leonean0.2%——

Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.2%——

Asian Indian2.0%1.8%1.4%

Pakistani1.3%0.5%—

Filipino1.2%0.9%0.9%

Korean1.2%0.8%0.4%

Afghan0.9%0.2%—

Vietnamese0.8%0.7%0.6%

Chinese0.5%0.8%1.3%

Bangladeshi0.5%——

Age and life stage

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Median age	36.3	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.9%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	11.3%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$131,402	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	6.2%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	44.9%	42.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Owner-occupied homes	74.3%	67.3%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	25.7%	32.7%	34.8%
Median home value	$530,100	$383,700	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$2,067	$1,579	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	50.9%	48.5%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	3.1%	8.7%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Mean commute	36.4 min	27.3 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	18.2%	8.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	65.7%	67.6%	68.8%
Takes public transit	2.5%	2.3%	3.2%
Works from home	19.1%	18.3%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	36.5%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	20.0%	7.9%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	5.5%	2.6%	2.0%
Arabic	1.5%	0.8%	0.4%
Other languages	3.8%	1.1%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	15.2%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	12.8%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	59.1%	54.3%	51.5%
Muslim	5.2%	2.0%	1.3%

Origins and service

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Foreign-born residents	26.3%	13.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	15.1%	7.4%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	11.2%	5.7%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	11.4%	9.4%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.386	0.471	0.483

President results by year

2024 turnout 73.7% of 311,411 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic57.3%131,128TrumpRepublican39.4%90,203SteinIndependent1.8%4,148

D+17.9

Lead: 40,925
Total: 228,712
vs nation: D+19.4
Turnout: 73.7%

BidenDemocratic62.6%142,863TrumpRepublican35.6%81,222JorgensenLibertarian1.4%3,148

D+27.0

Lead: 61,641
Total: 228,056
vs nation: D+22.6
Turnout: 78.6%

ClintonDemocratic57.6%113,144TrumpRepublican36.5%71,721JohnsonLibertarian2.7%5,374

D+21.1

Lead: 41,423
Total: 196,442
vs nation: D+19.0
Turnout: 71.6%

ObamaDemocratic57.3%103,331RomneyRepublican41.3%74,458OtherAll other candidates1.3%2,406

D+16.0

Lead: 28,873
Total: 180,195
vs nation: D+12.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic57.5%93,435McCainRepublican41.6%67,621OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,390

D+15.9

Lead: 25,814
Total: 162,446
vs nation: D+8.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic46.4%61,271BushRepublican52.8%69,776OtherAll other candidates0.8%1,016

R+6.4

Lead: 8,505
Total: 132,063
vs nation: R+4.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic44.5%44,745BushRepublican52.5%52,788NaderGreen1.9%1,927

R+8.0

Lead: 8,043
Total: 100,511
vs nation: R+8.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic42.7%33,462DoleRepublican50.1%39,292PerotReform6.2%4,881

R+7.4

Lead: 5,830
Total: 78,443
vs nation: R+16.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+17.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 488,8802024 5-year
Population density: 1,458 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 335 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $131,4022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 37.9%2024 5-year
Black: 19.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 26.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+73.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+38.1 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Fairfax County, VA · twin score 93.7

Participation

Turnout and midterm durability

2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited

2024 turnout: 73.7%229,615 participants ÷ 311,411 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +28.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state: +4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026: 45.6%–52.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Participation by cycle

Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016

57.7%

50.4%

Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.

Cycle	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Series	Quality
	229,615	311,411 ± 3,107	73.7%	Audited	A/A
2022Mid	154,156	305,753 ± 2,959	50.4%	Audited	A/A
	229,515	292,178 ± 2,709	78.6%	Audited	A/A
2018Mid	163,846	283,920 ± 2,207	57.7%	Audited	C/A
	196,474	274,536 ± 2,087	71.6%	Audited	A/A
	180,195	247,065	72.9%	Derived	—
	162,446	215,867	75.3%	Derived	—
	132,063	184,669 extrapolated	71.5%	Derived	—

Sources and methods

2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.

Interactive election map

One map. Every available contest.

The map and local result cover Prince William County only. The complete district District 7 result is shown below for comparison.

YearOfficeParty / contestMap detailShowing

Prince William County result

0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes

Doug A. Ollivant0—

Philip A. Harding0—

Rick S. Smithers0—

District District 7 result

Loading the complete contest result…

Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 201 precincts

Precinct data

Results by precinct

201 precincts · 228,712 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Prince William County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -409-Tyler409-Tyler	2,108	1,672	115	3,895	54.1%	42.9%	D+11.2
Precinct -112-Burke-Nickens112-Burke-Nickens	1,868	1,638	111	3,617	51.6%	45.3%	D+6.4
Precinct -407-Heritage Hunt407-Heritage Hunt	1,873	1,614	49	3,536	53.0%	45.6%	D+7.3
Precinct -402-Gravely402-Gravely	1,485	1,956	88	3,529	42.1%	55.4%	R+13.3
Precinct -410-Mountain View410-Mountain View	1,650	1,658	96	3,404	48.5%	48.7%	R+0.2
Precinct -104-Nokesville104-Nokesville	1,347	1,887	80	3,314	40.6%	56.9%	R+16.3
Precinct -111-Limestone111-Limestone	1,683	1,493	125	3,301	51.0%	45.2%	D+5.8
Precinct -114-Bristow Run114-Bristow Run	1,737	1,449	115	3,301	52.6%	43.9%	D+8.7
Precinct -203-Bennett203-Bennett	1,769	1,326	116	3,211	55.1%	41.3%	D+13.8
Precinct -107-Marsteller107-Marsteller	1,672	1,272	84	3,028	55.2%	42.0%	D+13.2
Precinct -406-Alvey406-Alvey	1,511	1,402	79	2,992	50.5%	46.9%	D+3.6
Precinct -103-Glenkirk103-Glenkirk	1,492	1,351	128	2,971	50.2%	45.5%	D+4.7
Precinct -509-McCoart509-McCoart	1,601	1,266	87	2,954	54.2%	42.9%	D+11.3
Precinct -511-Westridge511-Westridge	1,782	1,031	114	2,927	60.9%	35.2%	D+25.7
Precinct -110-Buckland Mills110-Buckland Mills	1,489	1,317	113	2,919	51.0%	45.1%	D+5.9
Precinct -413-Reagan413-Reagan	1,368	1,446	88	2,902	47.1%	49.8%	R+2.7
Precinct -513-Woodbridge513-Woodbridge	1,653	1,108	140	2,901	57.0%	38.2%	D+18.8
Precinct -501-Springwoods501-Springwoods	1,732	983	106	2,821	61.4%	34.8%	D+26.6
Precinct -108-Victory108-Victory	1,577	1,167	70	2,814	56.0%	41.5%	D+14.6
Precinct -210-Yates Ford210-Yates Ford	1,298	1,407	82	2,787	46.6%	50.5%	R+3.9
Precinct -316-Potomac Shores316-Potomac Shores	1,977	730	75	2,782	71.1%	26.2%	D+44.8
Precinct -206-Coles206-Coles	1,329	1,368	77	2,774	47.9%	49.3%	R+1.4
Precinct -109-Chris Yung109-Chris Yung	1,473	1,148	120	2,741	53.7%	41.9%	D+11.9
Precinct -401-Evergreen401-Evergreen	1,131	1,545	58	2,734	41.4%	56.5%	R+15.1
Precinct -505-Lake Ridge505-Lake Ridge	1,661	974	99	2,734	60.8%	35.6%	D+25.1
Precinct -608-Enterprise608-Enterprise	1,658	982	93	2,733	60.7%	35.9%	D+24.7
Precinct -507-Chinn507-Chinn	1,747	806	112	2,665	65.6%	30.2%	D+35.3
Precinct -514-Antietam514-Antietam	1,630	929	87	2,646	61.6%	35.1%	D+26.5
Precinct -602-Beville602-Beville	1,633	864	146	2,643	61.8%	32.7%	D+29.1
Precinct -403-Bull Run403-Bull Run	1,382	1,147	90	2,619	52.8%	43.8%	D+9.0
Precinct -214-Lucasville214-Lucasville	1,155	1,384	65	2,604	44.4%	53.1%	R+8.8
Precinct -313-Cardinal313-Cardinal	1,613	874	102	2,589	62.3%	33.8%	D+28.5
Precinct -101-Brentsville101-Brentsville	763	1,770	55	2,588	29.5%	68.4%	R+38.9
Precinct -508-Purcell508-Purcell	1,284	1,224	79	2,587	49.6%	47.3%	D+2.3
Precinct -701-Belmont701-Belmont	1,630	884	72	2,586	63.0%	34.2%	D+28.8
Precinct -706-Rippon706-Rippon	1,580	889	77	2,546	62.1%	34.9%	D+27.1
Precinct -312-Triangle312-Triangle	1,657	805	82	2,544	65.1%	31.6%	D+33.5
Precinct -113-Lakes113-Lakes	1,336	1,087	84	2,507	53.3%	43.4%	D+9.9
Precinct -105-Piney Branch105-Piney Branch	1,254	1,134	93	2,481	50.5%	45.7%	D+4.8
Precinct -702-Library702-Library	1,775	615	66	2,456	72.3%	25.0%	D+47.2
Precinct -708-River Oaks708-River Oaks	1,768	601	72	2,441	72.4%	24.6%	D+47.8
Precinct -305-Forest Park305-Forest Park	1,407	965	66	2,438	57.7%	39.6%	D+18.1
Precinct -207-Spriggs207-Spriggs	1,431	915	79	2,425	59.0%	37.7%	D+21.3
Precinct -712-Leesylvania712-Leesylvania	1,479	824	86	2,389	61.9%	34.5%	D+27.4
Precinct -306-Four Seasons306-Four Seasons	1,499	827	55	2,381	63.0%	34.7%	D+28.2
Precinct -201-Hylton201-Hylton	1,432	866	80	2,378	60.2%	36.4%	D+23.8
Precinct -611-Neabsco611-Neabsco	1,526	777	75	2,378	64.2%	32.7%	D+31.5
Precinct -610-Fitzgerald610-Fitzgerald	1,535	702	80	2,317	66.2%	30.3%	D+36.0
Precinct -315-Williams315-Williams	1,667	562	71	2,300	72.5%	24.4%	D+48.0
Precinct -502-Occoquan502-Occoquan	1,405	788	88	2,281	61.6%	34.5%	D+27.0
Precinct -614-Rosa Parks614-Rosa Parks	1,434	747	98	2,279	62.9%	32.8%	D+30.1
Precinct -215-Saunders215-Saunders	1,444	694	115	2,253	64.1%	30.8%	D+33.3
Precinct -302-Potomac302-Potomac	1,571	564	112	2,247	69.9%	25.1%	D+44.8
Precinct -102-Cedar Point102-Cedar Point	1,172	1,005	54	2,231	52.5%	45.0%	D+7.5
Precinct -515-Marshall515-Marshall	1,087	1,049	51	2,187	49.7%	48.0%	D+1.7
Precinct -710-Powells Creek710-Powells Creek	1,581	517	89	2,187	72.3%	23.6%	D+48.7
Precinct -311-Swans Creek311-Swans Creek	1,501	602	78	2,181	68.8%	27.6%	D+41.2
Precinct -411-Mullen411-Mullen	1,414	709	53	2,176	65.0%	32.6%	D+32.4
Precinct -307-Henderson307-Henderson	1,232	848	63	2,143	57.5%	39.6%	D+17.9
Precinct -711-Grayson711-Grayson	1,362	717	54	2,133	63.9%	33.6%	D+30.2
Precinct -603-Hampton603-Hampton	1,384	662	66	2,112	65.5%	31.3%	D+34.2
Precinct -704-Porter704-Porter	1,433	576	88	2,097	68.3%	27.5%	D+40.9
Precinct -310-PW Forest Park310-PW Forest Park	1,377	637	66	2,080	66.2%	30.6%	D+35.6
Precinct -606-Bel Air606-Bel Air	1,171	828	57	2,056	57.0%	40.3%	D+16.7
Precinct -412-Catharpin412-Catharpin	787	1,221	36	2,044	38.5%	59.7%	R+21.2
Precinct -314-Cabin Branch314-Cabin Branch	1,248	732	60	2,040	61.2%	35.9%	D+25.3
Precinct -707-Kilby707-Kilby	1,215	735	69	2,019	60.2%	36.4%	D+23.8
Precinct -506-Old Bridge506-Old Bridge	1,198	725	74	1,997	60.0%	36.3%	D+23.7
Precinct -209-Independent Hill209-Independent Hill	710	1,230	51	1,991	35.7%	61.8%	R+26.1
Precinct -205-Buckhall205-Buckhall	968	947	73	1,988	48.7%	47.6%	D+1.1
Precinct -601-Dale601-Dale	1,263	622	81	1,966	64.2%	31.6%	D+32.6
Precinct -309-Ashland309-Ashland	1,160	745	48	1,953	59.4%	38.1%	D+21.2
Precinct -301-Dumfries301-Dumfries	1,300	588	57	1,945	66.8%	30.2%	D+36.6
Precinct -709-Freedom709-Freedom	1,380	482	83	1,945	71.0%	24.8%	D+46.2
Precinct -212-Yorkshire212-Yorkshire	950	924	48	1,922	49.4%	48.1%	D+1.4
Precinct -405-Ben Lomond405-Ben Lomond	1,143	702	44	1,889	60.5%	37.2%	D+23.3
Precinct -504-Rockledge504-Rockledge	1,147	632	53	1,832	62.6%	34.5%	D+28.1
Precinct -604-Gar-Field604-Gar-Field	1,202	546	43	1,791	67.1%	30.5%	D+36.6
Precinct -213-Parkside213-Parkside	888	790	69	1,747	50.8%	45.2%	D+5.6
Precinct -609-King609-King	974	585	140	1,699	57.3%	34.4%	D+22.9
Precinct -512-York512-York	1,171	470	54	1,695	69.1%	27.7%	D+41.4
Precinct -204-Ellis204-Ellis	915	717	34	1,666	54.9%	43.0%	D+11.9
Precinct -208-Colgan208-Colgan	753	804	35	1,592	47.3%	50.5%	R+3.2
Precinct -414-Seymour414-Seymour	978	548	58	1,584	61.7%	34.6%	D+27.1
Precinct -408-Sudley408-Sudley	750	749	32	1,531	49.0%	48.9%	D+0.1
Precinct -211-Signal Hill211-Signal Hill	885	597	42	1,524	58.1%	39.2%	D+18.9
Precinct -705-Potomac View705-Potomac View	847	623	44	1,514	55.9%	41.1%	D+14.8
Precinct -503-Mohican503-Mohican	933	495	39	1,467	63.6%	33.7%	D+29.9
Precinct -607-Hillendale607-Hillendale	851	559	45	1,455	58.5%	38.4%	D+20.1
Precinct -308-Montclair308-Montclair	832	576	36	1,444	57.6%	39.9%	D+17.7
Precinct -703-Lynn703-Lynn	1,000	391	45	1,436	69.6%	27.2%	D+42.4
Precinct -605-Minnieville605-Minnieville	841	541	44	1,426	59.0%	37.9%	D+21.0
Precinct -303-Graham Park303-Graham Park	955	425	38	1,418	67.3%	30.0%	D+37.4
Precinct -612-Elm Farm612-Elm Farm	849	509	59	1,417	59.9%	35.9%	D+24.0
Precinct -404-Unity Braxton404-Unity Braxton	787	541	50	1,378	57.1%	39.3%	D+17.9
Precinct -202-West Gate202-West Gate	765	515	29	1,309	58.4%	39.3%	D+19.1
Precinct -516-Kerrydale516-Kerrydale	602	353	44	999	60.3%	35.3%	D+24.9
Precinct -106-Unity Reed106-Unity Reed	453	297	17	767	59.1%	38.7%	D+20.3
Precinct -616-Markham616-Markham	513	129	9	651	78.8%	19.8%	D+59.0
Precinct -510-County Center510-County Center	445	129	32	606	73.4%	21.3%	D+52.1
Precinct -613-Hoadly613-Hoadly	407	165	33	605	67.3%	27.3%	D+40.0
Precinct -304-Quantico304-Quantico	191	235	14	440	43.4%	53.4%	R+10.0
Precinct -615-Commons615-Commons	197	45	5	247	79.8%	18.2%	D+61.5
Alvey51153000406	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Antietam51153000514	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ashland51153000309	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Battlefield51153000402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bel Air51153000606	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Belmont51153000701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ben Lomond51153000404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bennett51153000203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bethel51153000506	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Beville51153000602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Brentsville51153000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bristow Run51153000111	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckhall51153000205	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckland Mills (CD 01)51153000110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckland Mills (CD 10)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bull Run51153000403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Burke-Nickens (CD 01)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Burke-Nickens (CD 10)51153000112	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cabin Branch51153000314	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cardinal51153000313	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Catharpin51153000412	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cedar Point51153000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chinn51153000507	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chris Yung51153000109	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Coles51153000206	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dale51153000601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dumfries51153000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ellis51153000204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Enterprise51153000608	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Evergreen51153000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Fitzgerald51153000610	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Forest Park51153000310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Freedom51153000709	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Gideon51153000604	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Glenkirk51153000103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Graham Park51153000303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Grayson51153000711	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hampton51153000603	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Henderson51153000307	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Heritage Hunt51153000407	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hylton51153000208	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Independent Hill51153000209	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kerrydale51153000607	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kilby51153000707	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
King (CD 01)51153000609	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
King (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lake Ridge51153000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Leesylvania51153000712	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Library51153000702	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Limestone51153000105	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lucasville51153000214	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lynn51153000703	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lynnwood51153000513	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Marshall51153000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Marsteller51153000107	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
McCoart51153000509	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Minnieville51153000605	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mohican51153000505	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Montclair51153000308	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mountain View51153000410	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mullen51153000411	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Neabsco51153000611	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Nokesville51153000104	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Occoquan51153000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Old Bridge51153000503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Pattie51153000305	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Penn (CD 01)51153000210	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Penn (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Piney Branch51153000114	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Porter51153000704	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Potomac51153000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Potomac View51153000705	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Powells Creek51153000710	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Quantico51153000304	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Reagan51153000413	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rippon51153000706	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
River Oaks51153000708	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rockledge51153000504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rosa Parks51153000215	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Saratoga51153000213	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Saunders51153000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Signal Hill51153000211	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Spriggs51153000207	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Springwoods51153000508	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Sudley51153000408	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Swans Creek51153000311	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Triangle (CD 01)51153000312	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Triangle (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Tyler51153000409	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Unity Braxton51153000405	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Victory51153000108	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Washington-Reid51153000306	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Westgate51153000106	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Westridge51153000511	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Williams51153000315	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yates Ford51153000510	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
York51153000512	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yorkshire51153000212	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Party record book

Prince William County, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Woodrow Wilson1912

81.4%

814 votes · D+73.2

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 79.4%

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

68.9%

34,992 votes · R+38.1

Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 66.7%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

142,863votes

62.6% of the vote · D+27.0

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 131,128 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

90,203votes

39.4% of the vote · D+17.9

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81,222 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+74.6pts D vs U.S.

Place D+49.4 · U.S. R+25.2

Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +71.4 pts

Republican

Barry Goldwater1964

+48.0pts R vs U.S.

Place R+25.4 · U.S. D+22.6

Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +26.7 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

DMark WarnerU.S. Senate-0.21

DTim KaineU.S. Senate-0.23

DEugene VindmanU.S. House · VA-07-0.17

DSuhas SubramanyamU.S. House · VA-10-0.24

DJeremy McPikeState Senate · 29

DDanica RoemState Senate · 30

DJennifer Carroll FoyState Senate · 33

DJosh ThomasState House · 21

DLiz GuzmánState House · 22

DMargaret FranklinState House · 23

DLuke TorianState House · 24

DBriana SewellState House · 25

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	58.4%134,715	41.6%95,893	230,608
2020	D	65.6%112,212	34.4%58,786	170,998
2018	D	63.1%102,595	36.9%59,998	162,593

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Prince William County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	273,775
2018	284,100
2020	306,784
2022	316,642
2024	333,225

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−3,093 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −17,616 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $76,484 in average income, against $104,607 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+27.7 on average — 9.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Prince William County, VA itself (D+17.9).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Fairfax County, VA4,212D+34.7
Manassas city, VA709D+14.8
Alexandria city, VA692D+57.1
Loudoun County, VA671D+16.2
Stafford County, VA582D+0.8
Arlington County, VA442D+58.1

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Fairfax County, VA2,805
Stafford County, VA1,370
Manassas city, VA687
Fauquier County, VA609
Loudoun County, VA609
Spotsylvania County, VA576

Domestic migration in Prince William County, VA in Prince William County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+6,335
2012	+2,988
2013	+1,432
2014	−1,479
2015	−764
2016	−2,063
2017	−718
2018	−2,702
2019	−1,529
2021	−2,492
2022	−5,800
2023	−4,119
2024	−3,612
2025	−3,093

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Fairfax County

Virginia

93.7twin score

median income2016–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity

Loudoun County

Virginia

93.6twin score

median income2016–2024 trajectory≠ college share

Arapahoe County

Colorado

93.2twin score

2016–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ median income

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Prince William County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently asked questions

How did Prince William County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Prince William County, Virginia voted Democratic by 17.9 points (D+17.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 228,712 votes cast, 131,128 went Democratic and 90,203 went Republican.

When did Prince William County, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Prince William County, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Prince William County, Virginia?

Prince William County, Virginia has a population of 488,880 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Prince William County, Virginia?

Median household income in Prince William County, Virginia is $131,402 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Prince William County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Prince William County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Prince William County result

District District 7 result

Results by precinct

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Prince William County result

District District 7 result

Results by precinct

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

Current officeholders

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions