Nassau County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 65,934 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -2323 | 2,083 | 4,625 | 90 | 6,798 | 30.6% | 68.0% | R+37.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -4141 | 671 | 4,657 | 40 | 5,368 | 12.5% | 86.8% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -1212 | 2,207 | 3,050 | 98 | 5,355 | 41.2% | 57.0% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -5353 | 660 | 4,641 | 38 | 5,339 | 12.4% | 86.9% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -2121 | 1,832 | 2,938 | 87 | 4,857 | 37.7% | 60.5% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct -1313 | 1,783 | 2,910 | 66 | 4,759 | 37.5% | 61.1% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -3333 | 986 | 3,498 | 61 | 4,545 | 21.7% | 77.0% | R+55.3 |
| Precinct -2222 | 1,141 | 3,134 | 61 | 4,336 | 26.3% | 72.3% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -5151 | 1,153 | 2,810 | 62 | 4,025 | 28.6% | 69.8% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -3232 | 873 | 2,354 | 49 | 3,276 | 26.6% | 71.9% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -4343 | 256 | 2,807 | 25 | 3,088 | 8.3% | 90.9% | R+82.6 |
| Precinct -3131 | 736 | 2,197 | 42 | 2,975 | 24.7% | 73.8% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -1111 | 1,181 | 1,329 | 57 | 2,567 | 46.0% | 51.8% | R+5.8 |
| Precinct -5252 | 279 | 1,879 | 9 | 2,167 | 12.9% | 86.7% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -1414 | 523 | 1,330 | 21 | 1,874 | 27.9% | 71.0% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -3434 | 550 | 1,261 | 25 | 1,836 | 30.0% | 68.7% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -4242 | 76 | 1,329 | 8 | 1,413 | 5.4% | 94.1% | R+88.7 |
| Precinct -4444 | 153 | 1,196 | 7 | 1,356 | 11.3% | 88.2% | R+76.9 |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | −8.5% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | +45.9% |
| 1908 | +60.2% |
| 1912 | +75.8% |
| 1916 | +54.6% |
| 1920 | +49.6% |
| 1924 | +66.8% |
| 1928 | −31.5% |
| 1932 | +60.6% |
| 1936 | +63.8% |
| 1940 | +63.5% |
| 1944 | +56.4% |
| 1948 | +35.5% |
| 1952 | +18.4% |
| 1956 | +23.4% |
| 1960 | +32.7% |
| 1964 | −6.0% |
| 1968 | +4.5% |
| 1972 | −59.2% |
| 1976 | +30.2% |
| 1980 | −3.4% |
| 1984 | −39.5% |
| 1988 | −33.6% |
| 1992 | −21.3% |
| 1996 | −23.0% |
| 2000 | −39.7% |
| 2004 | −46.5% |
| 2008 | −43.8% |
| 2012 | −48.6% |
| 2016 | −50.2% |
| 2020 | −45.9% |
| 2024 | −46.9% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.9 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 64,406 | 14,182 | 37,013 | 12,802 | 409 |
| 2018 | 67,394 | 14,558 | 38,788 | 13,342 | 706 |
| 2019 | 68,881 | 14,646 | 39,521 | 13,790 | 924 |
| 2020 | 73,239 | 15,117 | 42,544 | 14,183 | 1,395 |
| 2021 | 72,557 | 14,408 | 42,101 | 14,482 | 1,566 |
| 2023 | 72,733 | 12,994 | 43,512 | 14,151 | 2,076 |
| 2024 | 78,997 | 13,628 | 47,594 | 14,997 | 2,778 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,578 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +31,677 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $143,315 in average income, against $112,572 for residents who stayed — 27% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.2 on average — 39 points more Democratic-leaning than Nassau County, FL itself (R+46.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Duval County, FL1,077R+1.5
- Camden County, GA133R+35.7
- Clay County, FL107R+39.3
- St. Johns County, FL105R+31.3
- Broward County, FL51D+17.0
- Palm Beach County, FL49D+0.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Duval County, FL815
- Camden County, GA177
- Clay County, FL79
- Charlton County, GA63
- St. Johns County, FL59
- Hillsborough County, FL33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +533 |
| 2012 | +247 |
| 2013 | +833 |
| 2014 | +832 |
| 2015 | +1,683 |
| 2016 | +2,017 |
| 2017 | +2,886 |
| 2018 | +3,044 |
| 2019 | +2,813 |
| 2021 | +3,944 |
| 2022 | +3,570 |
| 2023 | +3,781 |
| 2024 | +2,916 |
| 2025 | +2,578 |
A fast-growing coastal county wedged between Jacksonville and the Georgia line, Nassau delivered a nearly 47-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a rural-exurban electorate that has trended sharply rightward over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 59.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.9 points.
A population of 97,859, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,804 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bedford County and Baldwin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Nassau County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.