- Lead
- 10,041
- Total
- 16,122
- vs nation
- R+60.8
- Turnout
- 62.6%
Lawrence County, AL
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.6% of 25,821 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,760
- Total
- 16,031
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Turnout
- 62.8%
- Lead
- 7,206
- Total
- 14,710
- vs nation
- R+51.1
- Turnout
- 57.5%
- Lead
- 3,805
- Total
- 14,112
- vs nation
- R+30.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,113
- Total
- 14,680
- vs nation
- R+35.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,575
- Total
- 14,001
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 625
- Total
- 12,185
- vs nation
- D+4.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,361
- Total
- 10,143
- vs nation
- D+4.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,2762024 5-year
- Population density
- 48 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 691 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,0712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.2 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Colbert County, AL · twin score 91.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 62.6%16,173 participants ÷ 25,821 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 42.5%–47.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16,173 | 25,821 ± 142 | 62.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 10,967 | 25,716 ± 158 | 42.6% | Audited | C/A |
| 16,086 | 25,618 ± 132 | 62.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 12,111 | 25,719 ± 155 | 47.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 14,941 | 25,993 ± 184 | 57.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 14,112 | 25,982 | 54.3% | Derived | — | |
| 14,680 | 25,951 | 56.6% | Derived | — | |
| 14,001 | 25,920 extrapolated | 54.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Lawrence County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Lawrence County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 29 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 16,122 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BOARD OF ED 25-1BOARD OF ED 25-1 | 151 | 1,081 | 7 | 1,239 | 12.2% | 87.2% | R+75.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CADDO FIRE DEPT_ 33-1CADDO FIRE DEPT_ 33-1 | 126 | 1,087 | 10 | 1,223 | 10.3% | 88.9% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -CADDO SR_ CTR_ 34-1CADDO SR_ CTR_ 34-1 | 115 | 858 | 10 | 983 | 11.7% | 87.3% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -HATTON CH OF CHRIST 13-1HATTON CH OF CHRIST 13-1 | 109 | 864 | 8 | 981 | 11.1% | 88.1% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCE HEALTH DEPT19-1LAWRENCE HEALTH DEPT19-1 | 162 | 754 | 8 | 924 | 17.5% | 81.6% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -CHALYBEATE FIRE DEPT17-1CHALYBEATE FIRE DEPT17-1 | 76 | 766 | 3 | 845 | 9.0% | 90.7% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -KITCHENS MILL 29-1 35-1KITCHENS MILL 29-1 35-1 | 79 | 720 | 6 | 805 | 9.8% | 89.4% | R+79.6 |
| Precinct -SPEAKE FIRE DEPT_ 28-1SPEAKE FIRE DEPT_ 28-1 | 92 | 705 | 7 | 804 | 11.4% | 87.7% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -HILLSBORO CITY HALL 1-1HILLSBORO CITY HALL 1-1 | 322 | 363 | 2 | 687 | 46.9% | 52.8% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -MT MORIAH METH_15-1 21-1MT MORIAH METH_15-1 21-1 | 55 | 580 | 2 | 637 | 8.6% | 91.1% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT GRV 14 20 23 27PLEASANT GRV 14 20 23 27 | 59 | 569 | 2 | 630 | 9.4% | 90.3% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -PINE GROVE CH 36-1PINE GROVE CH 36-1 | 61 | 546 | 4 | 611 | 10.0% | 89.4% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -MT HOPE BAPT_ FELLOW 9-1MT HOPE BAPT_ FELLOW 9-1 | 30 | 569 | 1 | 600 | 5.0% | 94.8% | R+89.8 |
| Precinct -PILGRAM MISS_ BAPT_ 18-1PILGRAM MISS_ BAPT_ 18-1 | 44 | 528 | 7 | 579 | 7.6% | 91.2% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -LANDERSVILLE METH_ 12-1LANDERSVILLE METH_ 12-1 | 57 | 397 | 6 | 460 | 12.4% | 86.3% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -WOLF SPRING BAPT_ 10-1WOLF SPRING BAPT_ 10-1 | 53 | 391 | 9 | 453 | 11.7% | 86.3% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -DONALD BAPT_ CH 7-1 8-1DONALD BAPT_ CH 7-1 8-1 | 82 | 361 | 1 | 444 | 18.5% | 81.3% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -N_ COUTLAND SR_ CTR_ 2-1N_ COUTLAND SR_ CTR_ 2-1 | 360 | 32 | 2 | 394 | 91.4% | 8.1% | D+83.2 |
| Precinct -MCCARLEY CTR_ 6-1MCCARLEY CTR_ 6-1 | 122 | 262 | 2 | 386 | 31.6% | 67.9% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -HILLBORO FIRE DEPT_ 4-1HILLBORO FIRE DEPT_ 4-1 | 162 | 212 | 5 | 379 | 42.7% | 55.9% | R+13.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN CREEK COM_ CTR_ 5-1TOWN CREEK COM_ CTR_ 5-1 | 191 | 154 | 2 | 347 | 55.0% | 44.4% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -NEW LIBERTY GROVE 16-1NEW LIBERTY GROVE 16-1 | 45 | 276 | 4 | 325 | 13.8% | 84.9% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -RED BANK FIRE DEPT_ 3-1RED BANK FIRE DEPT_ 3-1 | 224 | 76 | 2 | 302 | 74.2% | 25.2% | D+49.0 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELD CH 22-1 30-1FAIRFIELD CH 22-1 30-1 | 25 | 250 | 1 | 276 | 9.1% | 90.6% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -NEW ZION BAPT_ 11-1NEW ZION BAPT_ 11-1 | 17 | 227 | 1 | 245 | 6.9% | 92.7% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -MOULTON CITY HALL 24-1MOULTON CITY HALL 24-1 | 14 | 173 | 0 | 187 | 7.5% | 92.5% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -FREEMAN TAB 26-1FREEMAN TAB 26-1 | 121 | 42 | 0 | 163 | 74.2% | 25.8% | D+48.5 |
| Precinct -PINEY GROVE CH 32-1PINEY GROVE CH 32-1 | 15 | 129 | 1 | 145 | 10.3% | 89.0% | R+78.6 |
| Precinct -LINDSEY HALL CH 31-1LINDSEY HALL CH 31-1 | 14 | 52 | 2 | 68 | 20.6% | 76.5% | R+55.9 |
presidential history
Party record book
Lawrence County, AL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
86.5%
1,920 votes · D+73.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 85.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.8%
13,024 votes · R+62.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
6,810votes
82.2% of the vote · D+65.1
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 6,364 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,024votes
80.8% of the vote · R+62.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,322 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+79.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+82.2 · U.S. D+3.1
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · +63.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+72.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.0 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +60.8 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Lawrence County, AL. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 24,452 |
| 2020 | 25,471 |
| 2022 | 25,342 |
| 2024 | 25,906 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+288 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +365 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,516 in average income, against $62,128 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.0 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Lawrence County, AL itself (R+62.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Morgan County, AL310R+52.4
- Colbert County, AL70R+46.3
- Madison County, AL49R+8.9
- Limestone County, AL30R+43.7
- Cullman County, AL22R+80.3
- Franklin County, AL22R+73.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Morgan County, AL253
- Madison County, AL57
- Colbert County, AL40
- Lauderdale County, AL32
- Limestone County, AL32
- Cullman County, AL28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −215 |
| 2012 | −236 |
| 2013 | −210 |
| 2014 | −64 |
| 2015 | −266 |
| 2016 | +121 |
| 2017 | −144 |
| 2018 | −61 |
| 2019 | +69 |
| 2021 | +200 |
| 2022 | +270 |
| 2023 | +407 |
| 2024 | +206 |
| 2025 | +288 |
Lawrence County, a rural stretch of the Tennessee River valley, delivered a 62-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deep realignment of working-class white voters across the rural South over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.2 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 62.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.3 points.
A population of 33,276, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,071 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Colbert County and Giles County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lawrence County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.