Baker County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 15,011 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -5A-GLEN ST MARY5A-GLEN ST MARY | 248 | 2,974 | 27 | 3,249 | 7.6% | 91.5% | R+83.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -3A-NORTH MACCLENNY3A-NORTH MACCLENNY | 396 | 2,510 | 26 | 2,932 | 13.5% | 85.6% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -2A-SOUTH MACCLENNY2A-SOUTH MACCLENNY | 511 | 2,331 | 22 | 2,864 | 17.8% | 81.4% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -4C-MACEDONIA4C-MACEDONIA | 185 | 1,817 | 7 | 2,009 | 9.2% | 90.4% | R+81.2 |
| Precinct -1A-SANDERSON1A-SANDERSON | 471 | 1,445 | 12 | 1,928 | 24.4% | 74.9% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -4D-CUYLER4D-CUYLER | 58 | 948 | 3 | 1,009 | 5.7% | 94.0% | R+88.2 |
| Precinct -4B-TAYLOR4B-TAYLOR | 39 | 551 | 5 | 595 | 6.6% | 92.6% | R+86.1 |
| Precinct -6A-OLUSTEE6A-OLUSTEE | 59 | 177 | 0 | 236 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -4A-BAXTER4A-BAXTER | 15 | 173 | 1 | 189 | 7.9% | 91.5% | R+83.6 |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | +31.4% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | +25.7% |
| 1908 | +14.3% |
| 1912 | +39.6% |
| 1916 | +68.9% |
| 1920 | +45.5% |
| 1924 | +24.0% |
| 1928 | −46.5% |
| 1932 | +87.3% |
| 1936 | +86.1% |
| 1940 | +84.4% |
| 1944 | +79.9% |
| 1948 | +62.7% |
| 1952 | +55.9% |
| 1956 | +59.5% |
| 1960 | +57.4% |
| 1964 | +0.7% |
| 1968 | +7.0% |
| 1972 | −67.3% |
| 1976 | +45.9% |
| 1980 | +6.6% |
| 1984 | −43.2% |
| 1988 | −43.1% |
| 1992 | −21.3% |
| 1996 | −21.3% |
| 2000 | −39.5% |
| 2004 | −55.8% |
| 2008 | −57.4% |
| 2012 | −58.6% |
| 2016 | −64.8% |
| 2020 | −70.2% |
| 2024 | −73.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 25 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 15,279 | 5,735 | 7,887 | 1,607 | 50 |
| 2018 | 15,446 | 5,226 | 8,509 | 1,651 | 60 |
| 2019 | 15,895 | 5,024 | 8,960 | 1,830 | 81 |
| 2020 | 17,166 | 4,461 | 10,598 | 1,954 | 153 |
| 2021 | 17,439 | 4,253 | 10,844 | 2,153 | 189 |
| 2023 | 18,150 | 3,751 | 11,767 | 2,350 | 282 |
| 2024 | 19,278 | 3,623 | 12,843 | 2,393 | 419 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+155 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,306 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,835 in average income, against $69,603 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+15.6 on average — 57 points more Democratic-leaning than Baker County, FL itself (R+73.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Duval County, FL267R+1.5
- Clay County, FL86R+39.3
- Columbia County, FL27R+50.2
- Nassau County, FL26R+46.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Duval County, FL188
- Clay County, FL53
- Nassau County, FL33
- Columbia County, FL27
- Charlton County, GA22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −157 |
| 2012 | −123 |
| 2013 | −116 |
| 2014 | −68 |
| 2015 | +151 |
| 2016 | +409 |
| 2017 | +250 |
| 2018 | +61 |
| 2019 | +802 |
| 2021 | +548 |
| 2022 | −972 |
| 2023 | +671 |
| 2024 | +695 |
| 2025 | +155 |
A rural county in the state's northeastern corner, Baker recorded an R+73.1 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in Florida—reflecting a predominantly white, small-town population with little competitive electoral history.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 73.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 73.1 points.
A population of 28,430, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,836 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brantley County and Pike County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Baker County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.