Upshur County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 19,887 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 172 | 1,892 | 13 | 2,077 | 8.3% | 91.1% | R+82.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 264 | 1,693 | 4 | 1,961 | 13.5% | 86.3% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 179 | 1,717 | 16 | 1,912 | 9.4% | 89.8% | R+80.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15APrecinct 15A | 138 | 1,422 | 13 | 1,573 | 8.8% | 90.4% | R+81.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 354 | 1,108 | 6 | 1,468 | 24.1% | 75.5% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 201 | 1,167 | 15 | 1,383 | 14.5% | 84.4% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 193 | 1,174 | 4 | 1,371 | 14.1% | 85.6% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 166 | 1,054 | 5 | 1,225 | 13.6% | 86.0% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 137 | 924 | 9 | 1,070 | 12.8% | 86.4% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 245 | 809 | 10 | 1,064 | 23.0% | 76.0% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 142 | 836 | 8 | 986 | 14.4% | 84.8% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 98 | 593 | 7 | 698 | 14.0% | 85.0% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 86 | 500 | 2 | 588 | 14.6% | 85.0% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 66 | 489 | 3 | 558 | 11.8% | 87.6% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 108 | 421 | 1 | 530 | 20.4% | 79.4% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 90 | 417 | 6 | 513 | 17.5% | 81.3% | R+63.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 92 | 295 | 4 | 391 | 23.5% | 75.4% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 78 | 292 | 2 | 372 | 21.0% | 78.5% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 11 | 136 | 0 | 147 | 7.5% | 92.5% | R+85.0 |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +49.9% |
| 1912 | +60.1% |
| 1916 | +68.5% |
| 1920 | +26.0% |
| 1924 | +80.8% |
| 1928 | +40.9% |
| 1932 | +91.2% |
| 1936 | +74.9% |
| 1940 | +74.1% |
| 1944 | +57.1% |
| 1948 | +49.4% |
| 1952 | +11.9% |
| 1956 | −15.6% |
| 1960 | +17.8% |
| 1964 | +28.8% |
| 1968 | +14.0% |
| 1972 | −43.1% |
| 1976 | +19.9% |
| 1980 | +0.6% |
| 1984 | −22.6% |
| 1988 | −6.6% |
| 1992 | +2.2% |
| 1996 | −1.3% |
| 2000 | −33.3% |
| 2004 | −41.4% |
| 2008 | −49.0% |
| 2012 | −59.7% |
| 2016 | −67.6% |
| 2020 | −68.4% |
| 2024 | −71.0% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 27,915 |
| 2018 | 27,528 |
| 2020 | 28,619 |
| 2022 | 28,969 |
| 2024 | 30,374 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+424 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,692 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,873 in average income, against $69,901 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+41.1 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Upshur County, TX itself (R+71.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Gregg County, TX466R+42.2
- Smith County, TX120R+45.1
- Harrison County, TX87R+50.6
- Wood County, TX55R+69.7
- Camp County, TX37R+53.6
- Dallas County, TX37D+22.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Gregg County, TX379
- Smith County, TX108
- Harrison County, TX83
- Wood County, TX79
- Dallas County, TX30
- Marion County, TX29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +260 |
| 2012 | +127 |
| 2013 | −266 |
| 2014 | +475 |
| 2015 | +44 |
| 2016 | +436 |
| 2017 | +340 |
| 2018 | +121 |
| 2019 | +566 |
| 2021 | +951 |
| 2022 | +730 |
| 2023 | +900 |
| 2024 | +584 |
| 2025 | +424 |
Upshur County delivered a 71-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting the heavily Republican realignment that has reshaped rural East Texas over the past two decades. Its economy centers on timber, agriculture, and oil-field services.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 71.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 71.0 points.
A population of 42,567, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,208 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Van Zandt County and Grady County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Upshur County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48459/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.