Jefferson County, Florida: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+19%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 15,0912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,2122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 27.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34 in 1884MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hardeman County, TN · similarity 0.96
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | −34.4% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −34.4% |
| 1896 | +76.2% |
| 1900 | +65.7% |
| 1904 | +57.1% |
| 1908 | +52.5% |
| 1912 | +74.1% |
| 1916 | +71.4% |
| 1920 | +49.2% |
| 1924 | +73.4% |
| 1928 | +58.9% |
| 1932 | +89.2% |
| 1936 | +81.5% |
| 1940 | +73.6% |
| 1944 | +70.1% |
| 1948 | +41.3% |
| 1952 | +27.6% |
| 1956 | +38.0% |
| 1960 | +30.6% |
| 1964 | −5.6% |
| 1968 | +19.6% |
| 1972 | −33.2% |
| 1976 | +25.3% |
| 1980 | +18.0% |
| 1984 | −4.3% |
| 1988 | −6.2% |
| 1992 | +16.4% |
| 1996 | +14.4% |
| 2000 | +10.0% |
| 2004 | +11.2% |
| 2008 | +3.7% |
| 2012 | +1.8% |
| 2016 | −5.1% |
| 2020 | −6.9% |
| 2024 | −18.6% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,428 | 5,010 | 8,500 | ||
| R | 3,897 | 4,479 | 8,451 | ||
| R | 3,541 | 3,930 | 7,645 | ||
| D | 3,945 | 3,808 | 7,808 | ||
| D | 4,088 | 3,797 | 7,957 | ||
| D | 4,135 | 3,298 | 7,478 | ||
| D | 3,041 | 2,478 | 5,643 | ||
| D | 2,544 | 1,851 | 4,809 | ||
| D | 2,271 | 1,506 | 4,678 | ||
| R | 2,055 | 2,326 | 4,398 | ||
| R | 2,057 | 2,244 | 4,302 | ||
| D | 2,367 | 1,623 | 4,141 | ||
| D | 2,310 | 1,361 | 3,749 | ||
| R | 1,049 | 2,108 | 3,192 | ||
| O | 1,066 | 459 | 3,092 | ||
| R | 1,504 | 1,684 | 3,188 | ||
| D | 1,129 | 600 | 1,729 | ||
| D | 1,201 | 540 | 1,741 | ||
| D | 1,171 | 665 | 1,836 | ||
| D | 700 | 153 | 1,323 | ||
| D | 1,071 | 188 | 1,259 | ||
| D | 1,412 | 215 | 1,627 | ||
| D | 1,243 | 127 | 1,370 | ||
| D | 1,418 | 81 | 1,499 | ||
| D | 919 | 235 | 1,162 | ||
| D | 566 | 66 | 681 | ||
| D | 754 | 239 | 1,046 | ||
| D | 646 | 104 | 759 | ||
| D | 459 | 47 | 556 | ||
| D | 565 | 149 | 792 | ||
| D | 471 | 123 | 609 | ||
| D | 711 | 143 | 864 | ||
| D | 1,909 | 242 | 2,187 | ||
| R | 744 | 1,525 | 2,269 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 744 | 1,525 | 2,269 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Jefferson County sits between Tallahassee and the Gulf coast with a population under 13,000, yet its demographic split — roughly 40% Black residents alongside a white rural majority — produces presidential margins that have swung sharply rightward over the past decade.
The Democratic margin here reached eighty-nine points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved twelve points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nineteen points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $61,212 and a 21% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hardeman County and Mississippi County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jefferson County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
