Jefferson County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 8,532 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0808 | 343 | 446 | 11 | 800 | 42.9% | 55.8% | R+12.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0505 | 515 | 268 | 8 | 791 | 65.1% | 33.9% | D+31.2 |
| Precinct -0909 | 287 | 497 | 7 | 791 | 36.3% | 62.8% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -1111 | 258 | 513 | 9 | 780 | 33.1% | 65.8% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -1010 | 303 | 453 | 16 | 772 | 39.2% | 58.7% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -0404 | 226 | 472 | 3 | 701 | 32.2% | 67.3% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -0707 | 294 | 361 | 7 | 662 | 44.4% | 54.5% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -1212 | 209 | 439 | 6 | 654 | 32.0% | 67.1% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -1515 | 179 | 369 | 2 | 550 | 32.5% | 67.1% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -0101 | 179 | 359 | 3 | 541 | 33.1% | 66.4% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -0606 | 260 | 274 | 7 | 541 | 48.1% | 50.6% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -0202 | 102 | 225 | 7 | 334 | 30.5% | 67.4% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -0303 | 103 | 146 | 1 | 250 | 41.2% | 58.4% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -1313 | 45 | 90 | 5 | 140 | 32.1% | 64.3% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -1414 | 87 | 50 | 0 | 137 | 63.5% | 36.5% | D+27.0 |
| Precinct -1616 | 39 | 49 | 0 | 88 | 44.3% | 55.7% | R+11.4 |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | −34.4% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −34.4% |
| 1896 | +76.2% |
| 1900 | +65.7% |
| 1904 | +57.1% |
| 1908 | +52.5% |
| 1912 | +74.1% |
| 1916 | +71.4% |
| 1920 | +49.2% |
| 1924 | +73.4% |
| 1928 | +58.9% |
| 1932 | +89.2% |
| 1936 | +81.5% |
| 1940 | +73.6% |
| 1944 | +70.1% |
| 1948 | +41.3% |
| 1952 | +27.6% |
| 1956 | +38.0% |
| 1960 | +30.6% |
| 1964 | −5.6% |
| 1968 | +19.6% |
| 1972 | −33.2% |
| 1976 | +25.3% |
| 1980 | +18.0% |
| 1984 | −4.3% |
| 1988 | −6.2% |
| 1992 | +16.4% |
| 1996 | +14.4% |
| 2000 | +10.0% |
| 2004 | +11.2% |
| 2008 | +3.7% |
| 2012 | +1.8% |
| 2016 | −5.1% |
| 2020 | −6.9% |
| 2024 | −18.6% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 9,508 | 5,608 | 2,816 | 1,060 | 24 |
| 2018 | 9,785 | 5,355 | 3,282 | 1,109 | 39 |
| 2019 | 9,710 | 5,113 | 3,433 | 1,113 | 51 |
| 2020 | 10,231 | 5,148 | 3,847 | 1,178 | 58 |
| 2021 | 9,531 | 4,571 | 3,788 | 1,106 | 66 |
| 2023 | 9,574 | 4,134 | 4,174 | 1,168 | 98 |
| 2024 | 10,031 | 4,091 | 4,578 | 1,198 | 164 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+121 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,508 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,258 in average income, against $72,745 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+16.4 on average — 35 points more Democratic-leaning than Jefferson County, FL itself (R+18.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Leon County, FL195D+21.8
- Madison County, FL23R+28.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Leon County, FL146
- Madison County, FL21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −183 |
| 2012 | −289 |
| 2013 | +5 |
| 2014 | −128 |
| 2015 | +77 |
| 2016 | −120 |
| 2017 | +248 |
| 2018 | +176 |
| 2019 | −56 |
| 2021 | +180 |
| 2022 | +596 |
| 2023 | +470 |
| 2024 | +411 |
| 2025 | +121 |
Jefferson County sits between Tallahassee and the Gulf coast with a population under 13,000, yet its demographic split — roughly 40% Black residents alongside a white rural majority — produces presidential margins that have swung sharply rightward over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 89.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 34.4 points in 1884. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 11.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.6 points.
A population of 15,091, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,212 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lee County and Monroe County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jefferson County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.