- Lead
- 11,507
- Total
- 19,084
- vs nation
- R+58.8
- Turnout
- 74.2%
Effingham County, IL
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.2% of 25,948 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 11,290
- Total
- 19,083
- vs nation
- R+63.6
- Turnout
- 74.2%
- Lead
- 10,552
- Total
- 17,609
- vs nation
- R+62.0
- Turnout
- 67.9%
- Lead
- 8,640
- Total
- 16,613
- vs nation
- R+55.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,061
- Total
- 16,835
- vs nation
- R+43.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,386
- Total
- 16,278
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,630
- Total
- 14,485
- vs nation
- R+39.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,871
- Total
- 14,204
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+60.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,5222024 5-year
- Population density
- 72 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 479 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,4042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Auglaize County, OH · twin score 91.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 74.2%19,266 participants ÷ 25,948 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -10.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 62.1%–62.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,266 | 25,948 ± 151 | 74.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 16,109 | 25,955 ± 190 | 62.1% | Audited | C/A |
| 19,083 | 25,727 ± 185 | 74.2% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,728 | 25,743 ± 200 | 57.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,609 | 25,947 ± 146 | 67.9% | Audited | C/A | |
| 16,613 | 25,716 | 64.6% | Derived | — | |
| 16,835 | 25,335 | 66.4% | Derived | — | |
| 16,278 | 24,954 extrapolated | 65.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Effingham County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Effingham County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 75 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
75 precincts · 18,807 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BISHOPBISHOP | 124 | 887 | 34 | 1,045 | 11.9% | 84.9% | R+73.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 114 | 647 | 10 | 771 | 14.8% | 83.9% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -ST FRANCISST FRANCIS | 96 | 654 | 13 | 763 | 12.6% | 85.7% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -TEUTOPOLIS 2TEUTOPOLIS 2 | 102 | 582 | 11 | 695 | 14.7% | 83.7% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -MASONMASON | 85 | 570 | 20 | 675 | 12.6% | 84.4% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -MOUND 2MOUND 2 | 101 | 538 | 19 | 658 | 15.3% | 81.8% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -WATSON 1WATSON 1 | 105 | 525 | 8 | 638 | 16.5% | 82.3% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -MOUND 1MOUND 1 | 112 | 503 | 20 | 635 | 17.6% | 79.2% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -WATSON 3WATSON 3 | 86 | 519 | 8 | 613 | 14.0% | 84.7% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 06DOUGLAS 06 | 160 | 416 | 30 | 606 | 26.4% | 68.6% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 1SUMMIT 1 | 113 | 470 | 22 | 605 | 18.7% | 77.7% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 4SUMMIT 4 | 134 | 441 | 28 | 603 | 22.2% | 73.1% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 3SUMMIT 3 | 139 | 433 | 12 | 584 | 23.8% | 74.1% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -TEUTOPOLIS 3TEUTOPOLIS 3 | 98 | 460 | 18 | 576 | 17.0% | 79.9% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 14DOUGLAS 14 | 142 | 417 | 13 | 572 | 24.8% | 72.9% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 01DOUGLAS 01 | 73 | 443 | 16 | 532 | 13.7% | 83.3% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -MOUND 3MOUND 3 | 94 | 412 | 23 | 529 | 17.8% | 77.9% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -WATSON 2WATSON 2 | 79 | 436 | 13 | 528 | 15.0% | 82.6% | R+67.6 |
| Precinct -TEUTOPOLIS 1TEUTOPOLIS 1 | 98 | 402 | 20 | 520 | 18.8% | 77.3% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 03DOUGLAS 03 | 122 | 375 | 17 | 514 | 23.7% | 73.0% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 07DOUGLAS 07 | 147 | 350 | 16 | 513 | 28.7% | 68.2% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 04DOUGLAS 04 | 127 | 331 | 20 | 478 | 26.6% | 69.2% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 2SUMMIT 2 | 107 | 358 | 8 | 473 | 22.6% | 75.7% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 05DOUGLAS 05 | 127 | 322 | 18 | 467 | 27.2% | 69.0% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 13DOUGLAS 13 | 117 | 303 | 18 | 438 | 26.7% | 69.2% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 12DOUGLAS 12 | 110 | 293 | 10 | 413 | 26.6% | 70.9% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -LIBERTYLIBERTY | 58 | 316 | 7 | 381 | 15.2% | 82.9% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 11DOUGLAS 11 | 124 | 235 | 12 | 371 | 33.4% | 63.3% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 02DOUGLAS 02 | 79 | 269 | 11 | 359 | 22.0% | 74.9% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 08DOUGLAS 08 | 90 | 245 | 15 | 350 | 25.7% | 70.0% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -WESTWEST | 46 | 265 | 5 | 316 | 14.6% | 83.9% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -MOCCASINMOCCASIN | 38 | 268 | 5 | 311 | 12.2% | 86.2% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -LUCASLUCAS | 20 | 280 | 6 | 306 | 6.5% | 91.5% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -BANNERBANNER | 37 | 238 | 0 | 275 | 13.5% | 86.5% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 09DOUGLAS 09 | 75 | 162 | 6 | 243 | 30.9% | 66.7% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -SUMMIT 5SUMMIT 5 | 36 | 184 | 6 | 226 | 15.9% | 81.4% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -DOUGLAS 10DOUGLAS 10 | 62 | 159 | 4 | 225 | 27.6% | 70.7% | R+43.1 |
| BANNER Voting District17_1704900801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BISHOP Voting District17_1704901401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 1 Voting District17_1704901101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 10 Voting District17_1704901110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 11 Voting District17_1704901111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 12 Voting District17_1704901112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 13 Voting District17_1704901113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 14 Voting District17_1704901114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 2 Voting District17_1704901102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 3 Voting District17_1704901103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 4 Voting District17_1704901104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 5 Voting District17_1704901105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 6 Voting District17_1704901106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 7 Voting District17_1704901107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 8 Voting District17_1704901108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DOUGLAS 9 Voting District17_1704901109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON Voting District17_1704900601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY Voting District17_1704900401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LUCAS Voting District17_1704901301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MASON 1 Voting District17_1704900501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MASON 2 Voting District17_1704900502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOCCASIN Voting District17_1704900301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUND 1 Voting District17_1704900201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUND 2 Voting District17_1704900202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MOUND 3 Voting District17_1704900203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -UNION NUNION N | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST FRANCIS 1 Voting District17_1704901501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST FRANCIS 2 Voting District17_1704901502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUMMIT 1 Voting District17_1704900701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SUMMIT 2 Voting District17_1704900702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEUTOPOLIS 1 Voting District17_1704901201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEUTOPOLIS 2 Voting District17_1704901202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TEUTOPOLIS 3 Voting District17_1704901203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION Voting District17_1704901001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATSON 1 Voting District17_1704900901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATSON 2 Voting District17_1704900902 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATSON 3 Voting District17_1704900903 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST Voting District17_1704900101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Effingham County, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
68.0%
6,503 votes · D+37.3
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 61.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
79.2%
15,124 votes · R+60.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
6,782votes
57.3% of the vote · D+14.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 6,503 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,124votes
79.2% of the vote · R+60.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 15,006 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+33.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +30.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+63.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +62.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Effingham County, IL. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 3 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.2%3,417 | 81.8%15,397 | 18,814 |
| 2020 | R | 19.5%3,592 | 80.5%14,870 | 18,462 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,454 |
| 2018 | 24,648 |
| 2020 | 24,997 |
| 2022 | 24,771 |
| 2024 | 25,493 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−55 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,595 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,845 in average income, against $96,879 for residents who stayed — 46% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+57.1 on average — 3.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Effingham County, IL itself (R+60.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fayette County, IL75R+64.7
- Shelby County, IL59R+60.2
- Coles County, IL53R+28.4
- Clay County, IL37R+67.3
- Cumberland County, IL36R+61.8
- Jasper County, IL28R+65.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fayette County, IL66
- Shelby County, IL59
- Coles County, IL52
- Jasper County, IL29
- Clay County, IL26
- Cumberland County, IL24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −53 |
| 2012 | −99 |
| 2013 | −135 |
| 2014 | −220 |
| 2015 | +5 |
| 2016 | −146 |
| 2017 | −201 |
| 2018 | −52 |
| 2019 | −273 |
| 2021 | −170 |
| 2022 | −212 |
| 2023 | +10 |
| 2024 | +6 |
| 2025 | −55 |
Effingham County, anchored by its small city of the same name at the crossroads of I-57 and I-70, delivered a 60-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the widest gaps in a state whose statewide results ran in the opposite direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.3 points.
A population of 34,522, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,404 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Auglaize County and Nemaha County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Effingham County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.