- Lead
- 161,875
- Total
- 372,858
- vs nation
- R+41.9
Illinois 12th Congressional District
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 163,986
- Total
- 384,515
- vs nation
- R+47.1
- Lead
- 156,259
- Total
- 367,179
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Lead
- 89,072
- Total
- 351,199
- vs nation
- R+29.2
- Lead
- 39,058
- Total
- 369,495
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Lead
- 75,878
- Total
- 368,048
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Lead
- 41,678
- Total
- 337,245
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Lead
- 16,420
- Total
- 323,605
- vs nation
- R+3.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 753,6382024 5-year
- Population density
- 54 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 14,016 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,5402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 15, IL · twin score 98.5
presidential history
Party record book
Illinois 12th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
59.1%
202,871 votes · D+20.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 58.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
70.9%
264,371 votes · R+43.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
208,415votes
52.5% of the vote · D+7.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 203,201 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
270,231votes
70.3% of the vote · R+42.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 264,371 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+13.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+11.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · +6.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+47.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +44.6 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
On the ballot
Republican Mike Bost holds the seat and is contesting it.
Primary held March 17, 2026. Akashic does not yet carry the nominees for this contest.
How the seat has run
| Year | U.S. House | President | Ran ahead |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R+48.4Mike Bost | R+43.4 | +5.0 |
| 2022 | R+50.0Mike Bost | — | — |
| 2020 | R+20.9Mike Bost | R+42.6 | — |
| 2018 | R+6.2Mike Bost | — | — |
“Ran ahead” is how far the winning party’s House candidate ran ahead of that party’s presidential margin in the same district. A dash means the House race and the presidential figure were measured on different district lines, so the two cannot be subtracted — both are still shown unchanged.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Illinois 12th Congressional District sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 43.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.4 points.
A population of 753,638, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,540 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 15 and Congressional District 8.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Illinois 12th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1712/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.