- Lead
- 6,133
- Total
- 25,092
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- 67.0%
Henry County, IL
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.0% of 37,817 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,503
- Total
- 25,701
- vs nation
- R+25.9
- Turnout
- 68.5%
- Lead
- 5,114
- Total
- 24,643
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Turnout
- 65.5%
- Lead
- 749
- Total
- 24,405
- vs nation
- R+0.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,918
- Total
- 24,785
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,335
- Total
- 25,241
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,025
- Total
- 23,470
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,808
- Total
- 21,897
- vs nation
- D+4.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 48,6432024 5-year
- Population density
- 59 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 823 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,9112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.8 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mercer County, IL · twin score 91.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 67.0%25,346 participants ÷ 37,817 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -6.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 51.1%–52.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,346 | 37,817 ± 231 | 67.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 20,059 | 38,093 ± 215 | 52.7% | Audited | C/A |
| 25,878 | 37,761 ± 242 | 68.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 19,909 | 37,845 ± 236 | 52.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 24,643 | 37,601 ± 207 | 65.5% | Audited | C/A | |
| 24,405 | 37,766 | 64.6% | Derived | — | |
| 24,785 | 37,365 | 66.3% | Derived | — | |
| 25,241 | 36,964 extrapolated | 68.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Henry County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Henry County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 104 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
104 precincts · 25,346 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -COLONA 1COLONA 1 | 423 | 642 | 32 | 1,097 | 38.6% | 58.5% | R+20.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -GENESEO 4GENESEO 4 | 365 | 619 | 43 | 1,027 | 35.5% | 60.3% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -PHENIXPHENIX | 341 | 649 | 25 | 1,015 | 33.6% | 63.9% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -GENESEO 1GENESEO 1 | 374 | 493 | 29 | 896 | 41.7% | 55.0% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -COLONA 5COLONA 5 | 363 | 470 | 15 | 848 | 42.8% | 55.4% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -GENESEO 5GENESEO 5 | 353 | 438 | 18 | 809 | 43.6% | 54.1% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -HANNA 1HANNA 1 | 244 | 510 | 17 | 771 | 31.6% | 66.1% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -GENESEO 2GENESEO 2 | 264 | 415 | 28 | 707 | 37.3% | 58.7% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -HANNA 2HANNA 2 | 226 | 453 | 20 | 699 | 32.3% | 64.8% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -OXFORDOXFORD | 219 | 457 | 19 | 695 | 31.5% | 65.8% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -WESTERN 3WESTERN 3 | 189 | 472 | 18 | 679 | 27.8% | 69.5% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -GENESEO 6GENESEO 6 | 189 | 436 | 33 | 658 | 28.7% | 66.3% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -ATKINSONATKINSON | 249 | 364 | 22 | 635 | 39.2% | 57.3% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -CAMBRIDGE 1CAMBRIDGE 1 | 192 | 421 | 18 | 631 | 30.4% | 66.7% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -COLONA 2COLONA 2 | 242 | 372 | 15 | 629 | 38.5% | 59.1% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct -ANNAWANANNAWAN | 227 | 370 | 16 | 613 | 37.0% | 60.4% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -CAMBRIDGE 2CAMBRIDGE 2 | 169 | 382 | 26 | 577 | 29.3% | 66.2% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -WESTERN 1WESTERN 1 | 215 | 336 | 11 | 562 | 38.3% | 59.8% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -WETHERSFIELD 2WETHERSFIELD 2 | 218 | 320 | 11 | 549 | 39.7% | 58.3% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -WETHERSFIELD 4WETHERSFIELD 4 | 238 | 288 | 13 | 539 | 44.2% | 53.4% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -ANDOVERANDOVER | 165 | 359 | 7 | 531 | 31.1% | 67.6% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -GALVA 3GALVA 3 | 213 | 291 | 19 | 523 | 40.7% | 55.6% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct -WETHERSFIELD 1WETHERSFIELD 1 | 198 | 295 | 11 | 504 | 39.3% | 58.5% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -COLONA 4COLONA 4 | 187 | 282 | 17 | 486 | 38.5% | 58.0% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -GALVA 1GALVA 1 | 140 | 332 | 12 | 484 | 28.9% | 68.6% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -GENESEO 3GENESEO 3 | 177 | 263 | 19 | 459 | 38.6% | 57.3% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -CLOVERCLOVER | 141 | 299 | 18 | 458 | 30.8% | 65.3% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -COLONA 3COLONA 3 | 164 | 274 | 8 | 446 | 36.8% | 61.4% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -LYNNLYNN | 133 | 299 | 11 | 443 | 30.0% | 67.5% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -WESTERN 2WESTERN 2 | 180 | 241 | 17 | 438 | 41.1% | 55.0% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -EDFORDEDFORD | 118 | 281 | 15 | 414 | 28.5% | 67.9% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 03KEWANEE 03 | 167 | 222 | 6 | 395 | 42.3% | 56.2% | R+13.9 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 02KEWANEE 02 | 149 | 220 | 11 | 380 | 39.2% | 57.9% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 08KEWANEE 08 | 184 | 175 | 11 | 370 | 49.7% | 47.3% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 11KEWANEE 11 | 166 | 170 | 17 | 353 | 47.0% | 48.2% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct -WETHERSFIELD 3WETHERSFIELD 3 | 151 | 183 | 11 | 345 | 43.8% | 53.0% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 10KEWANEE 10 | 160 | 164 | 8 | 332 | 48.2% | 49.4% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 09KEWANEE 09 | 138 | 148 | 16 | 302 | 45.7% | 49.0% | R+3.3 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 07KEWANEE 07 | 126 | 148 | 10 | 284 | 44.4% | 52.1% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 01KEWANEE 01 | 105 | 165 | 10 | 280 | 37.5% | 58.9% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -GALVA 2GALVA 2 | 106 | 164 | 9 | 279 | 38.0% | 58.8% | R+20.8 |
| Precinct -WELLERWELLER | 88 | 170 | 5 | 263 | 33.5% | 64.6% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct -OSCOOSCO | 67 | 179 | 13 | 259 | 25.9% | 69.1% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 06KEWANEE 06 | 121 | 129 | 5 | 255 | 47.5% | 50.6% | R+3.1 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 04KEWANEE 04 | 112 | 102 | 7 | 221 | 50.7% | 46.2% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -MUNSONMUNSON | 46 | 156 | 15 | 217 | 21.2% | 71.9% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -YORKTOWNYORKTOWN | 44 | 147 | 7 | 198 | 22.2% | 74.2% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -LORAINELORAINE | 43 | 131 | 3 | 177 | 24.3% | 74.0% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -BURNSBURNS | 25 | 144 | 5 | 174 | 14.4% | 82.8% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -CORNWALLCORNWALL | 28 | 134 | 3 | 165 | 17.0% | 81.2% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -KEWANEE 05KEWANEE 05 | 61 | 94 | 4 | 159 | 38.4% | 59.1% | R+20.8 |
| Precinct -ALBAALBA | 23 | 91 | 2 | 116 | 19.8% | 78.4% | R+58.6 |
| ALBA Voting District17_1707301001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ANDOVER Voting District17_1707301701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ANNAWAN Voting District17_1707301501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATKINSON Voting District17_1707300901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BURNS Voting District17_1707301901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAMBRIDGE 1 Voting District17_1707301801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAMBRIDGE 2 Voting District17_1707301802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLOVER Voting District17_1707302201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLONA 1 Voting District17_1707300601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLONA 2 Voting District17_1707300602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLONA 3 Voting District17_1707300603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLONA 4 Voting District17_1707300604 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COLONA 5 Voting District17_1707300605 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CORNWALL Voting District17_1707301401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EDFORD Voting District17_1707300701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALVA 1 Voting District17_1707302401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALVA 2 Voting District17_1707302402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALVA 3 Voting District17_1707302403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GENESEO 1 Voting District17_1707300801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GENESEO 2 Voting District17_1707300802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GENESEO 3 Voting District17_1707300803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GENESEO 4 Voting District17_1707300804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GENESEO 5 Voting District17_1707300805 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GENESEO 6 Voting District17_1707300806 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANNA 1 Voting District17_1707300201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANNA 2 Voting District17_1707300202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 1 Voting District17_1707302001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 10 Voting District17_1707302010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 11 Voting District17_1707302011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 2 Voting District17_1707302002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 3 Voting District17_1707302003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 4 Voting District17_1707302004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 5 Voting District17_1707302005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 6 Voting District17_1707302006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 7 Voting District17_1707302007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 8 Voting District17_1707302008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEWANEE 9 Voting District17_1707302009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LORAINE Voting District17_1707300401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LYNN Voting District17_1707301601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MUNSON Voting District17_1707301301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OSCO Voting District17_1707301201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OXFORD Voting District17_1707302101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PHENIX Voting District17_1707300301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WELLER Voting District17_1707302301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTERN 1 Voting District17_1707301101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTERN 2 Voting District17_1707301102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTERN 3 Voting District17_1707301103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WETHERSFIELD 1 Voting District17_1707302501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WETHERSFIELD 2 Voting District17_1707302502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WETHERSFIELD 3 Voting District17_1707302503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WETHERSFIELD 4 Voting District17_1707302504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YORKTOWN Voting District17_1707300501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Henry County, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
53.2%
13,181 votes · D+7.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 53.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
79.0%
12,379 votes · R+62.8
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 74.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
13,181votes
53.2% of the vote · D+7.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 12,332 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
16,301votes
65.5% of the vote · R+31.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 15,896 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+8.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+1.0 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +4.3 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+40.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.4 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · +38.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Henry County, IL. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 3 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 19.7%4,421 | 80.3%18,025 | 22,446 |
| 2020 | R | 41.3%10,526 | 58.7%14,963 | 25,489 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 36,494 |
| 2018 | 34,453 |
| 2020 | 35,538 |
| 2022 | 35,119 |
| 2024 | 36,720 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−21 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,975 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,505 in average income, against $81,303 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.9 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Henry County, IL itself (R+24.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Rock Island County, IL278D+9.6
- Scott County, IA92R+3.9
- Knox County, IL44R+9.4
- Bureau County, IL41R+24.3
- Stark County, IL35R+45.6
- Peoria County, IL27D+4.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Rock Island County, IL317
- Scott County, IA103
- Knox County, IL42
- Bureau County, IL36
- Whiteside County, IL33
- Mercer County, IL27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −197 |
| 2012 | −29 |
| 2013 | −384 |
| 2014 | −104 |
| 2015 | −208 |
| 2016 | −158 |
| 2017 | −233 |
| 2018 | −120 |
| 2019 | −88 |
| 2021 | −77 |
| 2022 | −195 |
| 2023 | −83 |
| 2024 | −78 |
| 2025 | −21 |
Henry County's population has declined slowly as its agricultural economy consolidates, and its presidential margins have shifted roughly 20 points toward Republicans over the past four election cycles, reflecting a broader rural realignment across the Illinois River corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.8 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 62.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.4 points.
A population of 48,643, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,911 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mercer County and Knox County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Henry County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.