† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
6 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDavenport-Moline, IA-ILUnited States
German25.8%12.5%
Irish13.0%9.4%
English9.8%9.5%
American4.1%5.3%
Swedish3.8%—
Italian2.1%4.8%
Polish1.6%2.2%
Norwegian1.1%—
Mexican8.2%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%1.8%
African American†5.7%9.9%
African0.6%0.5%
Asian Indian0.6%1.4%
Burmese0.2%—
Filipino0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL
United States
Median age
40.6
39.1
Age 18–24
8.3%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL
United States
Median household income
$72,194
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.9%
22.3%
Spanish
4.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL
United States
Catholic
13.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
62.3%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
11.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+4.5%
1896
−19.6%
1900
−19.4%
1904
−31.5%
1908
−16.5%
1912
+17.3%
1916
−21.8%
1920
−50.4%
1924
−47.1%
1928
−27.8%
1932
+5.9%
1936
+14.6%
1940
+0.3%
1944
−3.6%
1948
−4.1%
1952
−21.7%
1956
−17.2%
1960
−7.9%
1964
+21.9%
1968
−3.9%
1972
−15.2%
1976
−4.2%
1980
−12.6%
1984
−4.9%
1988
+9.6%
1992
+11.8%
1996
+15.7%
2000
+10.3%
2004
+6.4%
2008
+17.7%
2012
+15.8%
2016
−1.2%
2020
−0.1%
2024
−5.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.2%Harris106,465
51.9%Trump119,727
1.9%
R+5.7
R+5.6
R+4.3
230,659
R
48.8%Biden116,878
48.9%Trump117,188
2.3%
R+0.1
D+1.0
R+4.6
239,519
R
45.4%Clinton103,143
46.5%Trump105,799
8.1%
R+1.2
R+17.0
R+3.3
227,418
D
57.1%Obama133,112
41.3%Romney96,244
1.7%
D+15.8
R+1.9
D+11.9
233,318
D
58.2%Obama135,143
40.5%McCain94,078
1.3%
D+17.7
D+11.2
D+10.4
232,243
D
52.9%Kerry121,746
46.4%Bush106,924
0.7%
D+6.4
R+3.9
D+8.9
230,310
D
53.7%Gore110,469
43.4%Bush89,291
2.9%
D+10.3
R+5.4
D+9.8
205,707
D
52.9%Clinton102,150
37.3%Dole71,940
9.8%
D+15.7
D+3.8
D+7.1
192,932
D
47.4%Clinton105,016
35.6%Bush78,861
17.0%
D+11.8
D+2.2
D+6.3
221,436
D
54.4%Dukakis109,995
44.9%Bush90,625
0.7%
D+9.6
D+14.5
D+17.3
202,017
R
47.2%Mondale104,645
52.1%Reagan115,549
0.7%
R+4.9
D+7.7
D+13.3
221,645
R
38.9%Carter83,069
51.5%Reagan109,993
9.5%
R+12.6
R+8.4
R+2.9
213,419
R
47.1%Carter97,990
51.3%Ford106,791
1.6%
R+4.2
D+11.0
R+6.3
208,147
R
41.8%McGovern82,996
57.0%Nixon113,135
1.2%
R+15.2
R+11.3
D+8.0
198,516
R
44.3%Humphrey84,941
48.3%Nixon92,429
7.4%
R+3.9
R+25.8
R+3.2
191,538
D
60.9%Johnson112,067
39.0%Goldwater71,832
0.1%
D+21.9
D+29.8
R+0.7
184,040
R
46.0%Kennedy87,307
53.9%Nixon102,382
0.1%
R+7.9
D+9.3
R+8.1
189,904
R
41.3%Stevenson73,544
58.5%Eisenhower104,252
0.2%
R+17.2
D+4.5
R+1.8
178,207
R
38.9%Stevenson70,670
60.7%Eisenhower110,102
0.4%
R+21.7
R+17.7
R+11.0
181,508
R
47.4%Truman66,809
51.4%Dewey72,526
1.2%
R+4.1
R+0.5
R+8.5
141,003
R
48.0%Roosevelt74,300
51.6%Dewey79,838
0.3%
R+3.6
R+3.8
R+11.1
154,669
D
49.9%Roosevelt86,623
49.7%Willkie86,160
0.4%
D+0.3
R+14.4
R+9.7
173,482
D
56.2%Roosevelt88,581
41.6%Landon65,507
2.2%
D+14.6
D+8.8
R+9.6
157,505
D
51.8%Roosevelt75,004
45.9%Hoover66,480
2.3%
D+5.9
D+33.7
R+11.9
144,835
R
35.8%Smith48,148
63.6%Hoover85,484
0.5%
R+27.8
D+19.3
R+10.3
134,363
R
14.0%Davis17,395
61.1%Coolidge75,790
24.9%
R+47.1
D+3.3
R+21.9
124,071
R
18.3%Cox20,231
68.7%Harding75,912
13.0%
R+50.4
R+28.5
R+24.2
110,523
R
35.4%Wilson31,373
57.2%Hughes50,717
7.4%
R+21.8
R+39.2
R+25.0
88,612
O
33.3%Wilson19,762
15.9%Taft9,459
50.8%
Roosevelt +17.6
D+33.8
R+2.2
59,422
R
37.7%Bryan22,719
54.2%Taft32,660
8.0%
R+16.5
D+15.0
R+7.0
60,224
R
28.4%Parker16,492
59.9%Roosevelt34,803
11.8%
R+31.5
R+12.1
R+11.8
58,149
R
38.5%Bryan22,641
57.9%McKinley34,071
3.7%
R+19.4
D+0.2
R+11.9
58,878
R
39.1%Bryan21,477
58.7%McKinley32,250
2.2%
R+19.6
R+24.1
R+13.5
54,929
D
50.1%Cleveland23,497
45.6%Harrison21,405
4.3%
D+4.5
—
D+2.8
46,900
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2014D+5.0
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+5.7
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 11-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2008 (partial)
182,654
60,003
47,393
75,225
33
2010 (partial)
185,141
60,033
49,045
75,976
87
2012 (partial)
192,466
61,729
50,495
80,092
150
2014 (partial)
190,881
59,910
50,289
80,184
498
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−683 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −26,910 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−881
2012
−398
2013
−953
2014
−2,433
2015
−2,932
2016
−3,437
2017
−2,981
2018
−2,644
2019
−2,208
2021
−2,364
2022
−3,095
2023
−1,097
2024
−804
2025
−683
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL sits in the Corn Belt. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.
A population of 470,330, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,194 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Burlington-Fort Madison, IA-IL and Duluth-Grand Rapids, MN-WI.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/209/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa voted Republican by 5.7 points (R+5.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 230,659 votes cast, 106,465 went Democratic and 119,727 went Republican.
When did Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa?
Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa has a population of 470,330 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa?
Median household income in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa is $72,194 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Davenport-Moline, IA-IL, Iowa from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.
