Marion County, Illinois: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+49 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 37,0002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,2402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Randolph County, IL · similarity 1.00
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +6.6% |
| 1896 | +14.2% |
| 1900 | +9.6% |
| 1904 | −10.4% |
| 1908 | +7.1% |
| 1912 | +24.2% |
| 1916 | +9.7% |
| 1920 | −17.8% |
| 1924 | −8.4% |
| 1928 | −21.8% |
| 1932 | +26.0% |
| 1936 | +12.9% |
| 1940 | +13.7% |
| 1944 | +3.4% |
| 1948 | +6.4% |
| 1952 | −7.4% |
| 1956 | −11.7% |
| 1960 | −9.9% |
| 1964 | +27.3% |
| 1968 | −2.2% |
| 1972 | −21.3% |
| 1976 | +5.9% |
| 1980 | −21.3% |
| 1984 | −19.5% |
| 1988 | −0.6% |
| 1992 | +20.7% |
| 1996 | +11.4% |
| 2000 | −1.0% |
| 2004 | −10.0% |
| 2008 | −2.0% |
| 2012 | −19.1% |
| 2016 | −43.8% |
| 2020 | −46.6% |
| 2024 | −49.5% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,116 | 12,409 | 16,762 | ||
| R | 4,524 | 12,678 | 17,494 | ||
| R | 4,369 | 11,859 | 17,098 | ||
| R | 6,225 | 9,248 | 15,820 | ||
| R | 8,345 | 8,691 | 17,364 | ||
| R | 7,694 | 9,413 | 17,224 | ||
| R | 8,068 | 8,240 | 16,663 | ||
| D | 7,792 | 5,999 | 15,763 | ||
| D | 9,669 | 5,764 | 18,883 | ||
| R | 8,592 | 8,695 | 17,373 | ||
| R | 7,599 | 11,300 | 18,945 | ||
| R | 6,990 | 10,969 | 18,678 | ||
| D | 9,834 | 8,729 | 18,720 | ||
| R | 6,968 | 10,755 | 17,754 | ||
| R | 7,737 | 8,134 | 17,649 | ||
| D | 12,363 | 7,060 | 19,423 | ||
| R | 9,116 | 11,121 | 20,250 | ||
| R | 8,551 | 10,813 | 19,385 | ||
| R | 9,317 | 10,804 | 20,140 | ||
| D | 8,878 | 7,798 | 16,884 | ||
| D | 10,079 | 9,408 | 19,640 | ||
| D | 13,807 | 10,461 | 24,476 | ||
| D | 10,820 | 8,321 | 19,446 | ||
| D | 10,791 | 6,276 | 17,380 | ||
| R | 5,823 | 9,110 | 15,052 | ||
| R | 4,768 | 5,889 | 13,381 | ||
| R | 4,351 | 6,620 | 12,715 | ||
| D | 7,892 | 6,438 | 14,964 | ||
| D | 3,493 | 1,586 | 7,892 | ||
| D | 4,001 | 3,435 | 7,963 | ||
| R | 2,490 | 3,190 | 6,751 | ||
| D | 3,928 | 3,221 | 7,340 | ||
| D | 3,835 | 2,870 | 6,782 | ||
| D | 2,709 | 2,324 | 5,827 | ||
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Demographics
Marion County, anchored by the small city of Centralia, has shifted sharply rightward over the past two decades; its 2024 presidential margin of R+49.5 reflects a pattern common to rural southern Illinois counties with declining manufacturing employment.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at twenty-seven points in 1964 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2000 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by one point. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-nine points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $61,240 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 15% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Randolph County and Jersey County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marion County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17121/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
