Shelby County, Illinois: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+60%. Republican peak: R+60 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+60MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 20,7202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,0952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 96.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Clair County, MO · similarity 1.00
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +17.2% |
| 1896 | +20.7% |
| 1900 | +14.1% |
| 1904 | −3.7% |
| 1908 | +9.6% |
| 1912 | +26.7% |
| 1916 | +11.6% |
| 1920 | −10.5% |
| 1924 | −2.9% |
| 1928 | −27.3% |
| 1932 | +26.5% |
| 1936 | +16.8% |
| 1940 | +3.0% |
| 1944 | −2.3% |
| 1948 | +2.8% |
| 1952 | −15.4% |
| 1956 | −14.0% |
| 1960 | −9.1% |
| 1964 | +24.7% |
| 1968 | −8.6% |
| 1972 | −24.3% |
| 1976 | +8.2% |
| 1980 | −22.5% |
| 1984 | −19.2% |
| 1988 | −7.1% |
| 1992 | +13.2% |
| 1996 | +0.3% |
| 2000 | −18.0% |
| 2004 | −28.4% |
| 2008 | −19.8% |
| 2012 | −33.5% |
| 2016 | −53.8% |
| 2020 | −57.1% |
| 2024 | −60.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,240 | 9,267 | 11,670 | ||
| R | 2,504 | 9,426 | 12,115 | ||
| R | 2,288 | 8,229 | 11,049 | ||
| R | 3,342 | 6,843 | 10,439 | ||
| R | 4,245 | 6,396 | 10,868 | ||
| R | 3,744 | 6,753 | 10,577 | ||
| R | 4,018 | 5,851 | 10,163 | ||
| D | 4,249 | 4,215 | 9,788 | ||
| D | 5,101 | 3,631 | 11,175 | ||
| R | 4,650 | 5,370 | 10,078 | ||
| R | 4,317 | 6,372 | 10,730 | ||
| R | 3,988 | 6,441 | 10,894 | ||
| D | 6,172 | 5,234 | 11,493 | ||
| R | 4,389 | 7,217 | 11,626 | ||
| R | 4,528 | 5,487 | 11,137 | ||
| D | 7,088 | 4,281 | 11,369 | ||
| R | 5,720 | 6,872 | 12,603 | ||
| R | 5,337 | 7,075 | 12,425 | ||
| R | 5,268 | 7,189 | 12,469 | ||
| D | 5,589 | 5,282 | 11,029 | ||
| R | 5,919 | 6,201 | 12,243 | ||
| D | 7,704 | 7,250 | 15,197 | ||
| D | 8,186 | 5,795 | 14,201 | ||
| D | 8,093 | 4,657 | 12,969 | ||
| R | 4,071 | 7,214 | 11,528 | ||
| R | 5,265 | 5,605 | 11,646 | ||
| R | 5,113 | 6,351 | 11,776 | ||
| D | 7,515 | 5,911 | 13,866 | ||
| D | 3,467 | 1,629 | 6,889 | ||
| D | 4,065 | 3,312 | 7,830 | ||
| R | 2,962 | 3,220 | 6,920 | ||
| D | 4,514 | 3,365 | 8,131 | ||
| D | 4,709 | 3,071 | 7,925 | ||
| D | 3,523 | 2,304 | 7,100 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Shelby County's R+60.2 margin in 2024 places it among the most heavily one-sided counties in a state often defined by its Chicago-versus-downstate divide, reflecting the deep rural consolidation seen across central Illinois farmland.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at twenty-seven points in 1912 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2000 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by eighteen points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $72,095 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 9% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Clair County and Vernon County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Shelby County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17173/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
