Jay County, Indiana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
38 precincts · 8,115 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -REDKEYREDKEY | 189 | 542 | 18 | 749 | 25.2% | 72.4% | R+47.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -WAYNE 04WAYNE 04 | 177 | 498 | 5 | 680 | 26.0% | 73.2% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 07WAYNE 07 | 153 | 451 | 11 | 615 | 24.9% | 73.3% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 03WAYNE 03 | 138 | 443 | 16 | 597 | 23.1% | 74.2% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 02WAYNE 02 | 158 | 389 | 16 | 563 | 28.1% | 69.1% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -WAYNE 01WAYNE 01 | 133 | 382 | 12 | 527 | 25.2% | 72.5% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -GREENEGREENE | 104 | 379 | 16 | 499 | 20.8% | 76.0% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -DUNKIRK 03DUNKIRK 03 | 129 | 337 | 3 | 469 | 27.5% | 71.9% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -PENNPENN | 73 | 383 | 9 | 465 | 15.7% | 82.4% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -PIKEPIKE | 80 | 349 | 7 | 436 | 18.3% | 80.0% | R+61.7 |
| Precinct -BEARCREEKBEARCREEK | 61 | 368 | 6 | 435 | 14.0% | 84.6% | R+70.6 |
| Precinct -DUNKIRK 01DUNKIRK 01 | 114 | 287 | 12 | 413 | 27.6% | 69.5% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -JEFFERSONJEFFERSON | 49 | 277 | 5 | 331 | 14.8% | 83.7% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -JACKSONJACKSON | 54 | 250 | 3 | 307 | 17.6% | 81.4% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -NOBLENOBLE | 45 | 254 | 3 | 302 | 14.9% | 84.1% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -MADISONMADISON | 39 | 238 | 3 | 280 | 13.9% | 85.0% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -WABASHWABASH | 17 | 217 | 1 | 235 | 7.2% | 92.3% | R+85.1 |
| Precinct -KNOXKNOX | 34 | 173 | 5 | 212 | 16.0% | 81.6% | R+65.6 |
| BEARCREEK18_1807500010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| DUNKIRK 118_1807500020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| DUNKIRK 318_1807500030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| GREENE18_1807500040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| JACKSON18_1807500050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| JEFFERSON18_1807500060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| KNOX18_1807500070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| MADISON18_1807500080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| NOBLE18_1807500090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| PENN18_1807500110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| PIKE18_1807500120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| SOUTH REDKEY18_1807500130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| WABASH18_1807500140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| WAYNE 118_1807500150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| WAYNE 218_1807500160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| WAYNE 318_1807500170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| WAYNE 418_1807500180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| WAYNE 518_1807500190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| WAYNE 618_1807500200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| WAYNE 718_1807500210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −1.0% |
| 1896 | +2.8% |
| 1900 | −1.3% |
| 1904 | −13.0% |
| 1908 | +1.6% |
| 1912 | +23.9% |
| 1916 | −0.1% |
| 1920 | −11.7% |
| 1924 | −8.6% |
| 1928 | −11.4% |
| 1932 | +14.3% |
| 1936 | +10.9% |
| 1940 | +0.6% |
| 1944 | −9.0% |
| 1948 | −1.0% |
| 1952 | −20.3% |
| 1956 | −19.2% |
| 1960 | −14.1% |
| 1964 | +20.7% |
| 1968 | −10.9% |
| 1972 | −28.9% |
| 1976 | −5.5% |
| 1980 | −22.7% |
| 1984 | −30.4% |
| 1988 | −25.0% |
| 1992 | −4.5% |
| 1996 | −2.8% |
| 2000 | −18.9% |
| 2004 | −32.6% |
| 2008 | −7.9% |
| 2012 | −20.0% |
| 2016 | −47.5% |
| 2020 | −52.4% |
| 2024 | −55.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,701 |
| 2018 | 12,002 |
| 2020 | 12,421 |
| 2022 | 12,200 |
| 2024 | 11,998 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−170 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,844 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,023 in average income, against $64,130 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.5 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Jay County, IN itself (R+55.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Delaware County, IN71R+15.8
- Adams County, IN40R+52.6
- Randolph County, IN38R+53.6
- Blackford County, IN26R+50.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Delaware County, IN71
- Randolph County, IN47
- Adams County, IN34
- Blackford County, IN31
- Mercer County, OH25
- Wells County, IN24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +29 |
| 2012 | −51 |
| 2013 | −137 |
| 2014 | −196 |
| 2015 | −85 |
| 2016 | −187 |
| 2017 | −174 |
| 2018 | −185 |
| 2019 | −334 |
| 2021 | −201 |
| 2022 | −163 |
| 2023 | −84 |
| 2024 | +94 |
| 2025 | −170 |
Jay County's R+55.2 margin in 2024 places it among Indiana's most heavily one-sided counties, reflecting the rural, small-manufacturing demographic pattern common to the eastern part of the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 55.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.2 points.
A population of 20,229, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,969 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jennings County and Randolph County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jay County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.