- Lead
- 8,593
- Total
- 15,826
- vs nation
- R+52.8
- Turnout
- 64.7%
Jasper County, IN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.7% of 24,815 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,585
- Total
- 15,475
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- 62.4%
- Lead
- 6,053
- Total
- 13,478
- vs nation
- R+47.0
- Turnout
- 55.5%
- Lead
- 3,283
- Total
- 12,920
- vs nation
- R+29.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,625
- Total
- 12,875
- vs nation
- R+27.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,378
- Total
- 11,844
- vs nation
- R+34.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,468
- Total
- 11,167
- vs nation
- R+31.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,619
- Total
- 10,077
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,2342024 5-year
- Population density
- 59 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 560 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,3142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+9.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pulaski County, IN · twin score 87.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 64.7%16,060 participants ÷ 24,815 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 40.0%–49.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16,060 | 24,815 ± 278 | 64.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,413 | 24,970 ± 243 | 37.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 15,778 | 25,288 ± 237 | 62.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 12,211 | 25,006 ± 194 | 48.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,772 | 24,821 ± 186 | 55.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,920 | 24,354 | 53.1% | Derived | — | |
| 12,875 | 23,348 | 55.1% | Derived | — | |
| 11,844 | 22,342 extrapolated | 53.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Jasper County only. The complete district District 4 result is shown below for comparison.
Jasper County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 8 candidates
District District 4 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 58 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 15,846 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -WALKER WESTWALKER WEST | 274 | 1,008 | 14 | 1,296 | 21.1% | 77.8% | R+56.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KEENER 03KEENER 03 | 239 | 907 | 27 | 1,173 | 20.4% | 77.3% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -KEENER 02KEENER 02 | 238 | 900 | 21 | 1,159 | 20.5% | 77.7% | R+57.1 |
| Precinct -WHEATFIELD WEST 02WHEATFIELD WEST 02 | 223 | 849 | 13 | 1,085 | 20.6% | 78.2% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -KEENER 05KEENER 05 | 203 | 816 | 17 | 1,036 | 19.6% | 78.8% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -KEENER 01KEENER 01 | 230 | 708 | 23 | 961 | 23.9% | 73.7% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -KEENER 04KEENER 04 | 253 | 686 | 16 | 955 | 26.5% | 71.8% | R+45.3 |
| Precinct -WALKER EASTWALKER EAST | 134 | 567 | 10 | 711 | 18.8% | 79.7% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -MARION 01MARION 01 | 155 | 460 | 11 | 626 | 24.8% | 73.5% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -WHEATFIELD EASTWHEATFIELD EAST | 140 | 439 | 12 | 591 | 23.7% | 74.3% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -MARION 05MARION 05 | 131 | 377 | 8 | 516 | 25.4% | 73.1% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -WHEATFIELD WEST 01WHEATFIELD WEST 01 | 102 | 372 | 8 | 482 | 21.2% | 77.2% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -KANKAKEEKANKAKEE | 135 | 330 | 9 | 474 | 28.5% | 69.6% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -NEWTONNEWTON | 96 | 343 | 5 | 444 | 21.6% | 77.3% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -UNION NORTHUNION NORTH | 81 | 349 | 3 | 433 | 18.7% | 80.6% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -MARION 02MARION 02 | 117 | 295 | 11 | 423 | 27.7% | 69.7% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -CARPENTER WESTCARPENTER WEST | 89 | 323 | 7 | 419 | 21.2% | 77.1% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -CARPENTER EASTCARPENTER EAST | 85 | 315 | 12 | 412 | 20.6% | 76.5% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -MARION 06MARION 06 | 58 | 271 | 9 | 338 | 17.2% | 80.2% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -MARION 03MARION 03 | 116 | 191 | 5 | 312 | 37.2% | 61.2% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -BARKLEY NORTHBARKLEY NORTH | 70 | 232 | 8 | 310 | 22.6% | 74.8% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -MARION 04MARION 04 | 78 | 220 | 4 | 302 | 25.8% | 72.8% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -GILLAMGILLAM | 40 | 240 | 5 | 285 | 14.0% | 84.2% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -UNION SOUTHUNION SOUTH | 50 | 208 | 5 | 263 | 19.0% | 79.1% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -MARION 07MARION 07 | 41 | 158 | 4 | 203 | 20.2% | 77.8% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -BARKLEY SOUTHBARKLEY SOUTH | 37 | 158 | 2 | 197 | 18.8% | 80.2% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -JORDANJORDAN | 43 | 130 | 2 | 175 | 24.6% | 74.3% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -HANGING GROVEHANGING GROVE | 7 | 123 | 3 | 133 | 5.3% | 92.5% | R+87.2 |
| Precinct -MILROYMILROY | 24 | 107 | 1 | 132 | 18.2% | 81.1% | R+62.9 |
| BARKLEY NORTH18_1807300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BARLEY SOUTH18_1807300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARPENTER EAST18_1807300030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARPENTER WEST18_1807300040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GILLIAM18_1807300050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANGING GROVE18_1807300060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JORDAN18_1807300070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KANKAKEE18_1807300080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEENER 118_1807300090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEENER 218_1807300100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEENER 318_1807300110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEENER 418_1807300120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KEENER 518_1807300130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 118_1807300140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 218_1807300150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 318_1807300160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 418_1807300170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 518_1807300180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 618_1807300190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 718_1807300200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILROY18_1807300210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWTON18_1807300220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION NORTH18_1807300230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION SOUTH18_1807300240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALKER EAST18_1807300250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALKER WEST18_1807300260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHEATFIELD EAST18_1807300270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHEATFIELD WEST 118_1807300280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHEATFIELD WEST 218_1807300290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Jasper County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
54.4%
3,538 votes · D+9.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 46.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76.3%
12,082 votes · R+54.3
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 76.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
5,044votes
39.2% of the vote · R+20.4
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 4,672 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,082votes
76.3% of the vote · R+54.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,383 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
−2.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+21.8 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · −3.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+53.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +52.8 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Jasper County, IN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 24.7%3,733 | 75.3%11,406 | 15,139 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 23,692 |
| 2018 | 21,542 |
| 2020 | 22,556 |
| 2022 | 23,057 |
| 2024 | 23,592 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+136 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +286 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,417 in average income, against $78,082 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.6 on average — 40 points more Democratic-leaning than Jasper County, IN itself (R+54.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lake County, IN193D+5.6
- Newton County, IN111R+56.9
- Porter County, IN110R+10.5
- Cook County, IL33D+41.6
- White County, IN29R+45.0
- Tippecanoe County, IN27R+0.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lake County, IN126
- Porter County, IN87
- Newton County, IN77
- Tippecanoe County, IN61
- White County, IN36
- Marion County, IN23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −171 |
| 2012 | −37 |
| 2013 | −131 |
| 2014 | +25 |
| 2015 | −66 |
| 2016 | −152 |
| 2017 | −10 |
| 2018 | −135 |
| 2019 | +166 |
| 2021 | +272 |
| 2022 | +235 |
| 2023 | +207 |
| 2024 | −53 |
| 2025 | +136 |
Jasper County's flat agricultural landscape and small-town demographic profile have produced some of Indiana's widest presidential margins, with the Republican candidate clearing 54 points in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 54.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.3 points.
A population of 33,234, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,314 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pulaski County and Fulton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jasper County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.