- Lead
- 9,988
- Total
- 33,102
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Turnout
- 68.1%
Warrick County, IN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.1% of 49,363 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,403
- Total
- 33,829
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Turnout
- 72.9%
- Lead
- 10,047
- Total
- 29,960
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Turnout
- 67.2%
- Lead
- 7,499
- Total
- 28,427
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,684
- Total
- 28,665
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,950
- Total
- 26,025
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,456
- Total
- 22,309
- vs nation
- R+20.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 64
- Total
- 21,109
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 65,2612024 5-year
- Population density
- 170 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 385 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,8442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Piatt County, IL · twin score 87.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 68.1%33,609 participants ÷ 49,363 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +30.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +5.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 37.6%–51.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33,609 | 49,363 ± 394 | 68.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 20,378 | 48,031 ± 400 | 42.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 33,814 | 46,404 ± 382 | 72.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 29,202 | 45,966 ± 308 | 63.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 30,616 | 45,590 ± 293 | 67.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 28,427 | 43,749 | 65.0% | Derived | — | |
| 28,665 | 42,061 | 68.2% | Derived | — | |
| 26,025 | 40,373 extrapolated | 64.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Warrick County only. The complete district District 8 result is shown below for comparison.
Warrick County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 8 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 112 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
112 precincts · 33,184 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -OHIO 33OHIO 33 | 513 | 837 | 36 | 1,386 | 37.0% | 60.4% | R+23.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -OHIO 26OHIO 26 | 405 | 889 | 24 | 1,318 | 30.7% | 67.5% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -BOON 15BOON 15 | 415 | 794 | 14 | 1,223 | 33.9% | 64.9% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -OHIO 21OHIO 21 | 491 | 704 | 22 | 1,217 | 40.3% | 57.8% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct -OHIO 13OHIO 13 | 452 | 597 | 19 | 1,068 | 42.3% | 55.9% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -OHIO 30OHIO 30 | 316 | 648 | 21 | 985 | 32.1% | 65.8% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -OHIO 01OHIO 01 | 303 | 569 | 18 | 890 | 34.0% | 63.9% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -OHIO 12OHIO 12 | 318 | 545 | 22 | 885 | 35.9% | 61.6% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -OHIO 32OHIO 32 | 318 | 526 | 16 | 860 | 37.0% | 61.2% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct -HARTHART | 252 | 585 | 10 | 847 | 29.8% | 69.1% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -SKELTONSKELTON | 186 | 638 | 9 | 833 | 22.3% | 76.6% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -OHIO 23OHIO 23 | 297 | 506 | 13 | 816 | 36.4% | 62.0% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -OHIO 31OHIO 31 | 304 | 480 | 18 | 802 | 37.9% | 59.9% | R+21.9 |
| Precinct -BOON 03BOON 03 | 251 | 498 | 8 | 757 | 33.2% | 65.8% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -OHIO 19OHIO 19 | 361 | 354 | 6 | 721 | 50.1% | 49.1% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct -CAMPBELLCAMPBELL | 167 | 522 | 10 | 699 | 23.9% | 74.7% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -OHIO 02OHIO 02 | 236 | 451 | 11 | 698 | 33.8% | 64.6% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -OHIO 10OHIO 10 | 280 | 403 | 15 | 698 | 40.1% | 57.7% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -OHIO 15OHIO 15 | 248 | 419 | 22 | 689 | 36.0% | 60.8% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -BOON 09BOON 09 | 181 | 474 | 8 | 663 | 27.3% | 71.5% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -BOON 06BOON 06 | 238 | 399 | 8 | 645 | 36.9% | 61.9% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -ANDERSONANDERSON | 162 | 454 | 9 | 625 | 25.9% | 72.6% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -OHIO 20OHIO 20 | 238 | 370 | 13 | 621 | 38.3% | 59.6% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct -BOON 12BOON 12 | 218 | 373 | 10 | 601 | 36.3% | 62.1% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -BOON 05BOON 05 | 184 | 403 | 7 | 594 | 31.0% | 67.8% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -OHIO 28OHIO 28 | 186 | 379 | 13 | 578 | 32.2% | 65.6% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -OHIO 25OHIO 25 | 175 | 382 | 15 | 572 | 30.6% | 66.8% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -OHIO 05OHIO 05 | 222 | 337 | 11 | 570 | 38.9% | 59.1% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -OHIO 11OHIO 11 | 237 | 310 | 13 | 560 | 42.3% | 55.4% | R+13.0 |
| Precinct -OHIO 27OHIO 27 | 223 | 323 | 12 | 558 | 40.0% | 57.9% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct -GREER 01GREER 01 | 134 | 396 | 11 | 541 | 24.8% | 73.2% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -OHIO 09OHIO 09 | 188 | 312 | 15 | 515 | 36.5% | 60.6% | R+24.1 |
| Precinct -BOON 10BOON 10 | 154 | 351 | 7 | 512 | 30.1% | 68.6% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -OHIO 24OHIO 24 | 175 | 317 | 14 | 506 | 34.6% | 62.6% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -PIGEONPIGEON | 125 | 376 | 4 | 505 | 24.8% | 74.5% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -BOON 11BOON 11 | 122 | 340 | 5 | 467 | 26.1% | 72.8% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -OHIO 14OHIO 14 | 128 | 333 | 6 | 467 | 27.4% | 71.3% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -BOON 07BOON 07 | 146 | 287 | 15 | 448 | 32.6% | 64.1% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -OHIO 03OHIO 03 | 185 | 257 | 5 | 447 | 41.4% | 57.5% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -BOON 08BOON 08 | 130 | 304 | 4 | 438 | 29.7% | 69.4% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -GREER 02GREER 02 | 86 | 343 | 6 | 435 | 19.8% | 78.9% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -OHIO 04OHIO 04 | 173 | 241 | 13 | 427 | 40.5% | 56.4% | R+15.9 |
| Precinct -OHIO 34OHIO 34 | 147 | 254 | 8 | 409 | 35.9% | 62.1% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -OHIO 06OHIO 06 | 114 | 279 | 7 | 400 | 28.5% | 69.8% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -OHIO 17OHIO 17 | 169 | 216 | 13 | 398 | 42.5% | 54.3% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -OHIO 22OHIO 22 | 161 | 208 | 13 | 382 | 42.1% | 54.5% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -OHIO 08OHIO 08 | 131 | 240 | 7 | 378 | 34.7% | 63.5% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -OHIO 16OHIO 16 | 134 | 201 | 5 | 340 | 39.4% | 59.1% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -OHIO 07OHIO 07 | 108 | 208 | 4 | 320 | 33.8% | 65.0% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -OWENOWEN | 71 | 239 | 10 | 320 | 22.2% | 74.7% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -BOON 13BOON 13 | 61 | 220 | 6 | 287 | 21.3% | 76.7% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -BOON 14BOON 14 | 43 | 92 | 0 | 135 | 31.9% | 68.1% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -LANELANE | 30 | 97 | 1 | 128 | 23.4% | 75.8% | R+52.3 |
| ANDERSON18_1817300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0118_1817300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0218_1817300030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0318_1817300040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0418_1817300050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0518_1817300060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0618_1817300070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0718_1817300080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0818_1817300090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 0918_1817300100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 1018_1817300110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 1118_1817300120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 1218_1817300130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 1318_1817300140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 1418_1817300150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BOON 1518_1817300160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CAMPBELL18_1817300170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREER 0118_1817300180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREER 0218_1817300190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HART 0118_1817300200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HART 0218_1817300210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LANE18_1817300220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0118_1817300230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0218_1817300240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0318_1817300250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0418_1817300260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0518_1817300270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0618_1817300280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0718_1817300290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0818_1817300300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 0918_1817300310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1018_1817300320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1118_1817300330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1218_1817300340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1318_1817300350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1418_1817300360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1518_1817300370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1618_1817300380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1718_1817300390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1818_1817300400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 1918_1817300410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2018_1817300420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2118_1817300430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2218_1817300440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2318_1817300450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2418_1817300460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2518_1817300470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2618_1817300480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2718_1817300490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2818_1817300500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 2918_1817300510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 3018_1817300520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 3118_1817300530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 3218_1817300540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OHIO 3318_1817300550 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OWEN18_1817300560 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PIGEON18_1817300570 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SKELTON 0118_1817300580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SKELTON 0218_1817300590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Warrick County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.0%
7,222 votes · D+24.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 59.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
65.8%
8,520 votes · R+32.6
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 65.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
12,329votes
43.0% of the vote · R+12.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 11,923 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
21,326votes
63.0% of the vote · R+27.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 21,280 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+17.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.4 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +17.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+35.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.5 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +32.3 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Warrick County, IN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.2%10,083 | 67.8%21,271 | 31,354 |
| 2020 | R | 31.7%10,251 | 68.3%22,115 | 32,366 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 49,769 |
| 2018 | 44,753 |
| 2020 | 47,358 |
| 2022 | 47,946 |
| 2024 | 48,992 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+459 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +4,613 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,530 in average income, against $110,209 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.9 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Warrick County, IN itself (R+30.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vanderburgh County, IN959R+12.6
- Spencer County, IN78R+43.2
- Gibson County, IN65R+51.4
- Daviess County, KY48R+31.9
- Posey County, IN39R+43.4
- Henderson County, KY34R+29.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vanderburgh County, IN841
- Spencer County, IN76
- Gibson County, IN61
- Marion County, IN47
- Henderson County, KY39
- Posey County, IN34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +144 |
| 2012 | −93 |
| 2013 | +378 |
| 2014 | −89 |
| 2015 | +397 |
| 2016 | +333 |
| 2017 | +342 |
| 2018 | −16 |
| 2019 | +460 |
| 2021 | +700 |
| 2022 | +664 |
| 2023 | +664 |
| 2024 | +270 |
| 2025 | +459 |
Warrick County's suburban and rural mix along the Kentucky border has shifted steadily toward Republican margins, with the 2024 presidential result landing 30 points to the right — up markedly from a decade ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.2 points.
A population of 65,261, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,844 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Piatt County and Hancock County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Warrick County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18173/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.