Buena Vista County, Iowa: New American county. In 2024, voted R+33%. Republican peak: R+59 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 20,7532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,7192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 29.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marion County, IA · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −24.5% |
| 1896 | −36.6% |
| 1900 | −45.9% |
| 1904 | −57.6% |
| 1908 | −36.2% |
| 1912 | +4.6% |
| 1916 | −16.6% |
| 1920 | −59.4% |
| 1924 | −43.0% |
| 1928 | −31.9% |
| 1932 | +20.4% |
| 1936 | +22.2% |
| 1940 | +2.2% |
| 1944 | +3.4% |
| 1948 | +4.5% |
| 1952 | −39.6% |
| 1956 | −22.6% |
| 1960 | −27.2% |
| 1964 | +16.6% |
| 1968 | −28.2% |
| 1972 | −24.0% |
| 1976 | −9.4% |
| 1980 | −18.6% |
| 1984 | −11.5% |
| 1988 | +4.6% |
| 1992 | −5.3% |
| 1996 | −2.7% |
| 2000 | −13.3% |
| 2004 | −16.1% |
| 2008 | −1.8% |
| 2012 | −10.2% |
| 2016 | −24.4% |
| 2020 | −25.7% |
| 2024 | −33.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,462 | 4,962 | 7,537 | ||
| R | 2,961 | 5,056 | 8,167 | ||
| R | 2,856 | 4,903 | 8,381 | ||
| R | 3,700 | 4,554 | 8,383 | ||
| R | 4,075 | 4,223 | 8,418 | ||
| R | 3,520 | 4,887 | 8,490 | ||
| R | 3,297 | 4,354 | 7,977 | ||
| R | 3,420 | 3,636 | 7,965 | ||
| R | 3,374 | 3,863 | 9,257 | ||
| D | 4,580 | 4,170 | 8,825 | ||
| R | 4,109 | 5,193 | 9,405 | ||
| R | 3,468 | 5,272 | 9,676 | ||
| R | 4,227 | 5,126 | 9,567 | ||
| R | 3,460 | 5,685 | 9,281 | ||
| R | 3,051 | 5,599 | 9,050 | ||
| D | 5,245 | 3,747 | 8,997 | ||
| R | 3,637 | 6,351 | 9,996 | ||
| R | 4,083 | 6,470 | 10,563 | ||
| R | 3,254 | 7,539 | 10,813 | ||
| D | 4,340 | 3,959 | 8,493 | ||
| D | 4,277 | 3,993 | 8,309 | ||
| D | 4,784 | 4,576 | 9,399 | ||
| D | 5,287 | 3,334 | 8,785 | ||
| D | 4,835 | 3,162 | 8,210 | ||
| R | 2,609 | 5,087 | 7,770 | ||
| R | 683 | 3,812 | 7,277 | ||
| R | 1,204 | 4,927 | 6,270 | ||
| R | 1,454 | 2,045 | 3,564 | ||
| O | 921 | 755 | 3,635 | ||
| R | 1,054 | 2,337 | 3,544 | ||
| R | 605 | 2,483 | 3,260 | ||
| R | 936 | 2,632 | 3,694 | ||
| R | 1,178 | 2,568 | 3,797 | ||
| R | 982 | 1,712 | 2,982 | ||
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Demographics
Buena Vista County's population of roughly 20,000 includes a sizable Latino community centered in Storm Lake, creating a demographic mix that has made its shifting margins a closely watched indicator of rural realignment.
Buena Vista County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of twenty-two points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved eight points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $71,719, and a population of 20,753. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marion County and Harrison County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Buena Vista County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
