Nobles County, Minnesota: New American county. In 2024, voted R+36%. Republican peak: R+62 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 22,0412024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,1012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, IA · similarity 1.00
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +11.4% |
| 1896 | −12.7% |
| 1900 | −20.5% |
| 1904 | −45.2% |
| 1908 | −20.1% |
| 1912 | +13.4% |
| 1916 | −4.7% |
| 1920 | −61.9% |
| 1924 | −39.3% |
| 1928 | −12.4% |
| 1932 | +28.2% |
| 1936 | +28.7% |
| 1940 | −13.1% |
| 1944 | −9.7% |
| 1948 | +22.5% |
| 1952 | −30.8% |
| 1956 | −12.6% |
| 1960 | −6.5% |
| 1964 | +29.3% |
| 1968 | +7.1% |
| 1972 | +4.9% |
| 1976 | +14.3% |
| 1980 | −0.0% |
| 1984 | −2.7% |
| 1988 | +6.4% |
| 1992 | +2.1% |
| 1996 | +3.7% |
| 2000 | −11.3% |
| 2004 | −13.7% |
| 2008 | −1.4% |
| 2012 | −9.2% |
| 2016 | −29.7% |
| 2020 | −30.6% |
| 2024 | −35.6% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,599 | 5,541 | 8,275 | ||
| R | 2,933 | 5,600 | 8,715 | ||
| R | 2,733 | 5,299 | 8,632 | ||
| R | 3,793 | 4,581 | 8,520 | ||
| R | 4,244 | 4,368 | 8,813 | ||
| R | 3,898 | 5,159 | 9,204 | ||
| R | 3,760 | 4,766 | 8,872 | ||
| D | 4,106 | 3,769 | 9,061 | ||
| D | 3,756 | 3,548 | 9,930 | ||
| D | 4,953 | 4,348 | 9,394 | ||
| R | 4,619 | 4,876 | 9,605 | ||
| R | 4,703 | 4,706 | 10,365 | ||
| D | 6,034 | 4,503 | 10,735 | ||
| D | 5,464 | 4,951 | 10,525 | ||
| D | 5,171 | 4,451 | 10,107 | ||
| D | 6,431 | 3,517 | 9,960 | ||
| R | 4,947 | 5,636 | 10,594 | ||
| R | 4,036 | 5,196 | 9,241 | ||
| R | 3,351 | 6,340 | 9,717 | ||
| D | 5,090 | 3,203 | 8,382 | ||
| R | 3,413 | 4,149 | 7,597 | ||
| R | 3,919 | 5,104 | 9,059 | ||
| D | 4,919 | 2,601 | 8,072 | ||
| D | 4,343 | 2,417 | 6,838 | ||
| R | 2,862 | 3,676 | 6,563 | ||
| O | 421 | 2,835 | 6,150 | ||
| R | 982 | 4,420 | 5,550 | ||
| R | 1,280 | 1,413 | 2,804 | ||
| O | 994 | 605 | 2,911 | ||
| R | 925 | 1,432 | 2,522 | ||
| R | 622 | 1,732 | 2,456 | ||
| R | 1,101 | 1,709 | 2,963 | ||
| R | 1,204 | 1,568 | 2,859 | ||
| D | 894 | 664 | 2,021 | ||
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Demographics
Nobles County anchors southwest Minnesota's livestock economy, with Worthington's large immigrant workforce creating a demographic tension that hasn't translated into Democratic margins — the county moved roughly 20 points toward Republicans between 2008 and 2024.
Nobles County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of twenty-nine points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved five points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $66,101, and a population of 22,041. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Calhoun County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Nobles County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
