- Lead
- 2,315
- Total
- 6,239
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Turnout
- 71.1%
Chickasaw County, IA
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.1% of 8,831 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,075
- Total
- 6,631
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- 73.9%
- Lead
- 1,476
- Total
- 6,518
- vs nation
- R+24.7
- Turnout
- 71.1%
- Lead
- 718
- Total
- 6,484
- vs nation
- D+7.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,366
- Total
- 6,583
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 668
- Total
- 6,806
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 499
- Total
- 6,584
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,164
- Total
- 6,360
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,8072024 5-year
- Population density
- 23 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 504 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,6752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clayton County, IA · twin score 95.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 71.1%6,277 participants ÷ 8,831 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 52.8%–55.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,277 | 8,831 ± 124 | 71.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 5,026 | 9,047 ± 68 | 55.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,676 | 9,037 ± 72 | 73.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,298 | 9,106 ± 65 | 58.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,518 | 9,162 ± 51 | 71.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 6,484 | 9,350 | 69.3% | Derived | — | |
| 6,583 | 9,077 | 72.5% | Derived | — | |
| 6,806 | 8,804 extrapolated | 77.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Chickasaw County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Chickasaw County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 9 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 6,230 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Lawler-FredericksburgLawler-Fredericksburg | 358 | 868 | 16 | 1,242 | 28.8% | 69.9% | R+41.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BradfordBradford | 348 | 842 | 13 | 1,203 | 28.9% | 70.0% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -Chickasaw NorthChickasaw North | 313 | 845 | 18 | 1,176 | 26.6% | 71.9% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -New Hampton Ward 4New Hampton Ward 4 | 198 | 280 | 7 | 485 | 40.8% | 57.7% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -New Hampton Ward 3New Hampton Ward 3 | 178 | 298 | 4 | 480 | 37.1% | 62.1% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -New Hampton Ward 1New Hampton Ward 1 | 177 | 268 | 6 | 451 | 39.2% | 59.4% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -New Hampton RuralNew Hampton Rural | 103 | 330 | 2 | 435 | 23.7% | 75.9% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -New Hampton Ward 2New Hampton Ward 2 | 152 | 229 | 9 | 390 | 39.0% | 58.7% | R+19.7 |
| Precinct -Dayton RichlandDayton Richland | 92 | 274 | 2 | 368 | 25.0% | 74.5% | R+49.5 |
presidential history
Party record book
Chickasaw County, IA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
65.8%
5,047 votes · D+32.1
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 63.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
67.9%
4,234 votes · R+37.1
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 67.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
5,047votes
65.8% of the vote · D+32.1
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 4,545 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
5,022votes
63.2% of the vote · R+26.4
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 4,517 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+23.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.0 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +18.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+35.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +35.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Chickasaw County, IA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 23 points more Republican than the rolls.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 9,357 | 3,424 | 2,210 | 3,722 | 1 |
| 2010 | 9,308 | 3,239 | 2,299 | 3,767 | 3 |
| 2012 | 9,248 | 3,081 | 2,285 | 3,877 | 5 |
| 2014 | 9,107 | 2,852 | 2,335 | 3,911 | 9 |
| 2016 | 9,056 | 2,718 | 2,597 | 3,714 | 27 |
| 2018 | 8,640 | 2,510 | 2,503 | 3,595 | 32 |
| 2020 | 8,658 | 2,528 | 2,850 | 3,243 | 37 |
| 2022 | 8,291 | 2,234 | 2,978 | 3,034 | 45 |
| 2024 | 8,298 | 1,959 | 3,154 | 3,142 | 43 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−63 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,018 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,036 in average income, against $90,238 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+19.3 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Chickasaw County, IA itself (R+37.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Floyd County, IA38R+25.6
- Black Hawk County, IA27D+1.2
- Bremer County, IA24R+22.1
- Howard County, IA20R+31.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Floyd County, IA47
- Bremer County, IA37
- Black Hawk County, IA27
- Howard County, IA22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −5 |
| 2012 | −145 |
| 2013 | +1 |
| 2014 | −44 |
| 2015 | −102 |
| 2016 | −71 |
| 2017 | −83 |
| 2018 | −94 |
| 2019 | −59 |
| 2021 | −65 |
| 2022 | −163 |
| 2023 | −97 |
| 2024 | −28 |
| 2025 | −63 |
Chickasaw County's population hovers near 13,000, concentrated in small agricultural towns like New Hampton. Its presidential margins have shifted decisively rightward over the past four election cycles, tracking a broader rural Iowa trend away from competitive outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 37.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.1 points.
A population of 11,807, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,675 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clayton County and Howard County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chickasaw County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.