HarrisDemocratic27.4%1,315TrumpRepublican71.3%3,422KennedyWe The People0.6%31
R+43.9- Lead
- 2,107
- Total
- 4,798
- vs nation
- R+42.4
- Turnout
- 65.8%
Akashiccounty
Emmet County, IA
Contests in this Place (88 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.8% of 7,340 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic31.3%1,520TrumpRepublican67.3%3,265JorgensenLibertarian0.7%36
R+36.0- Lead
- 1,745
- Total
- 4,853
- vs nation
- R+40.4
- Turnout
- 68.8%
ClintonDemocratic28.2%1,357TrumpRepublican64.9%3,124JohnsonLibertarian2.9%139
R+36.7- Lead
- 1,767
- Total
- 4,810
- vs nation
- R+38.8
- Turnout
- 64.2%
ObamaDemocratic44.8%2,099RomneyRepublican53.5%2,507JohnsonLibertarian0.6%27
R+8.7- Lead
- 408
- Total
- 4,687
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic51.2%2,570McCainRepublican47.3%2,373OtherAll other candidates1.4%72
D+3.9- Lead
- 197
- Total
- 5,015
- vs nation
- R+3.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic46.6%2,405BushRepublican52.3%2,697OtherAll other candidates1.0%54
R+5.7- Lead
- 292
- Total
- 5,156
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.8%2,165BushRepublican50.3%2,331NaderGreen2.1%98
R+3.6- Lead
- 166
- Total
- 4,630
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic51.5%2,270DoleRepublican37.2%1,641PerotReform10.7%470
D+14.3- Lead
- 629
- Total
- 4,411
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,2622024 5-year
- Population density
- 23 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 396 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,7302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Calhoun County, IA · twin score 90.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 65.8%4,831 participants ÷ 7,340 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 43.6%–48.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,831 | 7,340 ± 130 | 65.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,430 | 7,367 ± 185 | 46.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,885 | 7,102 ± 157 | 68.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 3,805 | 7,281 ± 124 | 52.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,810 | 7,493 ± 110 | 64.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 4,687 | 7,545 | 62.1% | Derived | — | |
| 5,015 | 7,757 | 64.7% | Derived | — | |
| 5,156 | 7,969 extrapolated | 64.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Emmet County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Emmet County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Rob Sand0—
Write-in0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 11 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 4,786 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -AG-IL-ARMSTRONGAG-IL-ARMSTRONG | 141 | 534 | 3 | 678 | 20.8% | 78.8% | R+58.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -E'VILLE-WARD 1E'VILLE-WARD 1 | 197 | 476 | 5 | 678 | 29.1% | 70.2% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -E'VILLE-WARD 2E'VILLE-WARD 2 | 192 | 385 | 9 | 586 | 32.8% | 65.7% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -E'VILLE-WARD 3E'VILLE-WARD 3 | 214 | 341 | 7 | 562 | 38.1% | 60.7% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -E'VILLE-WARD 4E'VILLE-WARD 4 | 133 | 292 | 3 | 428 | 31.1% | 68.2% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -E'VILLE-WARD 5E'VILLE-WARD 5 | 130 | 270 | 3 | 403 | 32.3% | 67.0% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -EM-ESEM-ES | 60 | 281 | 4 | 345 | 17.4% | 81.4% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -HL-TM-WALLINGFORDHL-TM-WALLINGFORD | 83 | 251 | 7 | 341 | 24.3% | 73.6% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -DM-JC-RINGSTEDDM-JC-RINGSTED | 74 | 237 | 4 | 315 | 23.5% | 75.2% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -CN-SL-GRUVERCN-SL-GRUVER | 45 | 183 | 2 | 230 | 19.6% | 79.6% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -EL-LN-DOLLIVEREL-LN-DOLLIVER | 46 | 172 | 2 | 220 | 20.9% | 78.2% | R+57.3 |
presidential history
Party record book
Emmet County, IA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.1%
3,487 votes · D+14.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 55.9%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
80.1%
1,732 votes · R+63.6
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 76.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
3,487votes
57.1% of the vote · D+14.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 3,158 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
4,935votes
71.5% of the vote · R+43.3
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · 4,284 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
+19.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.2 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +14.7 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+43.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.6 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +42.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDave RowleyState Senate · 5
RHenry StoneState House · 9
Seats representing Emmet County, IA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+19.4
Presidential vote · 2024R+43.9
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 24 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 7,591 | 2,803 | 1,661 | 3,126 | 1 |
| 2010 | 7,622 | 2,525 | 1,787 | 3,309 | 1 |
| 2012 | 7,548 | 2,338 | 1,800 | 3,407 | 3 |
| 2014 | 7,366 | 2,181 | 1,792 | 3,384 | 9 |
| 2016 | 7,404 | 2,057 | 1,988 | 3,343 | 16 |
| 2018 | 6,824 | 1,803 | 1,986 | 3,008 | 27 |
| 2020 | 6,852 | 1,824 | 2,264 | 2,723 | 41 |
| 2022 | 6,744 | 1,640 | 2,368 | 2,692 | 44 |
| 2024 | 6,708 | 1,424 | 2,728 | 2,509 | 47 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,191 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,962 in average income, against $69,597 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+39.9 on average — 4.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Emmet County, IA itself (R+43.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dickinson County, IA28R+39.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Dickinson County, IA40
- Palo Alto County, IA24
- Martin County, MN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −236 |
| 2012 | −136 |
| 2013 | −37 |
| 2014 | −63 |
| 2015 | −123 |
| 2016 | −126 |
| 2017 | −150 |
| 2018 | −137 |
| 2019 | −69 |
| 2021 | +31 |
| 2022 | −87 |
| 2023 | +93 |
| 2024 | −150 |
| 2025 | −1 |
Emmet County's roughly 11,000 residents are concentrated in Estherville, the county seat, and the surrounding agricultural plains. Presidential margins here have shifted sharply rightward over the past four election cycles, reaching R+43.9 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.9 points.
A population of 9,262, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,730 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Calhoun County and Audubon County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Calhoun County
Iowa
90.8twin score
12-yr trendelasticitypopulation scale≠ Norwegian ancestry
Audubon County
Iowa
88.0twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2000–2008 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry
Sargent County
North Dakota
88.0twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2004 margin≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Emmet County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Emmet County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Emmet County, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Emmet County, Iowa voted Republican by 43.9 points (R+43.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,798 votes cast, 1,315 went Democratic and 3,422 went Republican.
When did Emmet County, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Emmet County, Iowa voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Emmet County, Iowa?
Emmet County, Iowa has a population of 9,262 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Emmet County, Iowa?
Median household income in Emmet County, Iowa is $63,730 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Emmet County, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Emmet County, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.