Wayne County, Iowa: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+57%. Republican peak: R+57 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 6,5322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,9642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Keokuk County, IA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Wayne CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Wayne County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −7.1% |
| 1896 | +0.3% |
| 1900 | −6.6% |
| 1904 | −20.5% |
| 1908 | −8.4% |
| 1912 | +10.3% |
| 1916 | −0.0% |
| 1920 | −26.6% |
| 1924 | −22.5% |
| 1928 | −20.2% |
| 1932 | +25.0% |
| 1936 | +2.3% |
| 1940 | −1.7% |
| 1944 | −1.2% |
| 1948 | +9.4% |
| 1952 | −23.0% |
| 1956 | −13.3% |
| 1960 | −19.1% |
| 1964 | +21.1% |
| 1968 | −18.2% |
| 1972 | −25.6% |
| 1976 | +9.1% |
| 1980 | −14.5% |
| 1984 | −3.3% |
| 1988 | +15.0% |
| 1992 | +9.3% |
| 1996 | +10.9% |
| 2000 | −12.1% |
| 2004 | −11.3% |
| 2008 | −7.0% |
| 2012 | −11.4% |
| 2016 | −45.2% |
| 2020 | −51.8% |
| 2024 | −57.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 643 | 2,426 | 3,124 | ||
| R | 727 | 2,338 | 3,109 | ||
| R | 719 | 2,069 | 2,989 | ||
| R | 1,251 | 1,583 | 2,900 | ||
| R | 1,357 | 1,565 | 2,980 | ||
| R | 1,379 | 1,733 | 3,133 | ||
| R | 1,300 | 1,666 | 3,021 | ||
| D | 1,650 | 1,295 | 3,267 | ||
| D | 1,632 | 1,299 | 3,584 | ||
| D | 1,988 | 1,467 | 3,477 | ||
| R | 1,927 | 2,061 | 4,021 | ||
| R | 1,627 | 2,221 | 4,104 | ||
| D | 2,145 | 1,781 | 3,995 | ||
| R | 1,574 | 2,681 | 4,324 | ||
| R | 1,723 | 2,553 | 4,573 | ||
| D | 3,062 | 1,994 | 5,062 | ||
| R | 2,307 | 3,401 | 5,715 | ||
| R | 2,553 | 3,340 | 5,897 | ||
| R | 2,497 | 3,995 | 6,525 | ||
| D | 3,314 | 2,738 | 6,123 | ||
| R | 3,025 | 3,098 | 6,158 | ||
| R | 3,625 | 3,748 | 7,401 | ||
| D | 3,778 | 3,609 | 7,452 | ||
| D | 3,896 | 2,311 | 6,328 | ||
| R | 2,579 | 3,911 | 6,578 | ||
| R | 1,826 | 3,322 | 6,648 | ||
| R | 2,434 | 4,234 | 6,773 | ||
| R | 1,935 | 1,936 | 3,977 | ||
| D | 1,581 | 1,193 | 3,771 | ||
| R | 1,756 | 2,092 | 4,016 | ||
| R | 1,452 | 2,290 | 4,081 | ||
| R | 2,001 | 2,294 | 4,430 | ||
| D | 2,115 | 2,101 | 4,294 | ||
| R | 1,561 | 1,825 | 3,737 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.0%
English
17.3%
Irish
12.6%
American
6.4%
Scottish
2.3%
Italian
1.6%
French
1.6%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$61,964
Wayne County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Wayne County$61,964
Iowa$75,059
United States$80,734
Wayne County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.1%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1810.6%
Working age (18–64)10.4%
Seniors (65+)7.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.8%
speak English only
Other Indo-European7.3%
Spanish0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Wayne County's R+57.1 margin in 2024 places it among Iowa's most heavily one-sided counties, reflecting broader rural consolidation across the state's southern tier, where small-town agricultural communities have shifted decisively over the past decade.
The Democratic margin here peaked at twenty-five points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-seven points.
A population of 6,532, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,964 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Keokuk County and Lucas County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wayne County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19185/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Wayne County, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wayne County, Iowa voted Republican by 57.1 points (R+57), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,124 votes cast, 643 went Democratic and 2,426 went Republican.
What is Wayne County, Iowa's political typology?
Akashic places Wayne County, Iowa in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Wayne County, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wayne County, Iowa voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Wayne County, Iowa?
Wayne County, Iowa has a population of 6,532 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wayne County, Iowa?
Median household income in Wayne County, Iowa is $61,964 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Wayne County, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wayne County, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.