Van Buren County, Iowa
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 3,622 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -North PctNorth Pct | 188 | 912 | 20 | 1,120 | 16.8% | 81.4% | R+64.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Central PctCentral Pct | 251 | 708 | 16 | 975 | 25.7% | 72.6% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -East PctEast Pct | 234 | 699 | 10 | 943 | 24.8% | 74.1% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -Southwest PctSouthwest Pct | 105 | 466 | 13 | 584 | 18.0% | 79.8% | R+61.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −8.3% |
| 1896 | −8.7% |
| 1900 | −14.5% |
| 1904 | −26.2% |
| 1908 | −10.2% |
| 1912 | +0.3% |
| 1916 | −6.8% |
| 1920 | −43.4% |
| 1924 | −40.4% |
| 1928 | −33.4% |
| 1932 | +13.6% |
| 1936 | −11.4% |
| 1940 | −25.8% |
| 1944 | −21.4% |
| 1948 | −16.7% |
| 1952 | −41.8% |
| 1956 | −27.6% |
| 1960 | −28.0% |
| 1964 | +20.1% |
| 1968 | −24.9% |
| 1972 | −27.9% |
| 1976 | +0.1% |
| 1980 | −22.6% |
| 1984 | −14.1% |
| 1988 | −2.4% |
| 1992 | +1.2% |
| 1996 | +2.3% |
| 2000 | −16.2% |
| 2004 | −16.8% |
| 2008 | −12.2% |
| 2012 | −18.5% |
| 2016 | −46.8% |
| 2020 | −52.3% |
| 2024 | −55.4% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 24.2%671 | 75.8%2,097 | 2,768 |
| 2020 | R | 28.4%1,065 | 68.9%2,583 | 3,751 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 16 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 5,303 | 1,330 | 2,177 | 1,795 | 1 |
| 2010 | 5,275 | 1,221 | 2,322 | 1,731 | 1 |
| 2012 | 5,303 | 1,175 | 2,325 | 1,798 | 5 |
| 2014 | 5,131 | 1,089 | 2,283 | 1,749 | 10 |
| 2016 | 5,128 | 1,079 | 2,256 | 1,769 | 24 |
| 2018 | 4,948 | 991 | 2,091 | 1,835 | 31 |
| 2020 | 5,040 | 928 | 2,563 | 1,518 | 31 |
| 2022 | 4,977 | 853 | 2,513 | 1,575 | 36 |
| 2024 | 4,958 | 705 | 2,640 | 1,571 | 42 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−50 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −588 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,463 in average income, against $65,476 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, IA26
- Lee County, IA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −60 |
| 2012 | −65 |
| 2013 | −30 |
| 2014 | −34 |
| 2015 | −80 |
| 2016 | −47 |
| 2017 | −86 |
| 2018 | −145 |
| 2019 | +40 |
| 2021 | +37 |
| 2022 | −11 |
| 2023 | +5 |
| 2024 | −62 |
| 2025 | −50 |
Van Buren sits along the Missouri border in Iowa's southeastern corner, where a sparse, agriculture-dependent population has shifted toward overwhelming Republican margins over the past decade, hitting R+55.4 in the 2024 presidential race.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.4 points.
A population of 7,241, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,161 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wayne County and Clark County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Van Buren County, Iowa. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/19177/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.