Casey County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 7,080 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -B102B102 | 102 | 880 | 7 | 989 | 10.3% | 89.0% | R+78.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -C102C102 | 61 | 662 | 7 | 730 | 8.4% | 90.7% | R+82.3 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 72 | 577 | 8 | 657 | 11.0% | 87.8% | R+76.9 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 43 | 537 | 2 | 582 | 7.4% | 92.3% | R+84.9 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 64 | 501 | 5 | 570 | 11.2% | 87.9% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 48 | 501 | 7 | 556 | 8.6% | 90.1% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 54 | 397 | 2 | 453 | 11.9% | 87.6% | R+75.7 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 90 | 355 | 3 | 448 | 20.1% | 79.2% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 23 | 347 | 3 | 373 | 6.2% | 93.0% | R+86.9 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 78 | 290 | 1 | 369 | 21.1% | 78.6% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 43 | 300 | 3 | 346 | 12.4% | 86.7% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 38 | 286 | 3 | 327 | 11.6% | 87.5% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 45 | 222 | 3 | 270 | 16.7% | 82.2% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -A104A104 | 16 | 235 | 3 | 254 | 6.3% | 92.5% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -D104D104 | 27 | 126 | 3 | 156 | 17.3% | 80.8% | R+63.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.8% |
| 1896 | −21.1% |
| 1900 | −15.6% |
| 1904 | −16.5% |
| 1908 | −22.1% |
| 1912 | +8.9% |
| 1916 | −17.9% |
| 1920 | −28.8% |
| 1924 | −26.7% |
| 1928 | −42.9% |
| 1932 | −18.2% |
| 1936 | −30.1% |
| 1940 | −35.0% |
| 1944 | −43.4% |
| 1948 | −38.4% |
| 1952 | −43.0% |
| 1956 | −45.2% |
| 1960 | −54.6% |
| 1964 | −29.5% |
| 1968 | −53.8% |
| 1972 | −59.5% |
| 1976 | −35.3% |
| 1980 | −52.2% |
| 1984 | −58.7% |
| 1988 | −51.6% |
| 1992 | −36.0% |
| 1996 | −42.7% |
| 2000 | −57.8% |
| 2004 | −62.3% |
| 2008 | −58.1% |
| 2012 | −62.7% |
| 2016 | −73.2% |
| 2020 | −73.4% |
| 2024 | −76.4% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 14.6%751 | 85.4%4,396 | 5,148 |
| 2020 | R | 14.4%1,027 | 80.7%5,775 | 7,152 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 10.0 points more Democratic.
11,363 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+152 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +641 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,051 in average income, against $48,697 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+64.8 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Casey County, KY itself (R+76.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lincoln County, KY44R+61.2
- Pulaski County, KY26R+65.2
- Russell County, KY20R+72.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lincoln County, KY52
- Russell County, KY30
- Boyle County, KY25
- Pulaski County, KY25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −41 |
| 2012 | +78 |
| 2013 | −13 |
| 2014 | −235 |
| 2015 | −32 |
| 2016 | +36 |
| 2017 | +28 |
| 2018 | +110 |
| 2019 | +254 |
| 2021 | +75 |
| 2022 | +60 |
| 2023 | +61 |
| 2024 | +108 |
| 2025 | +152 |
Casey County's 2024 presidential margin of R+76.4 places it among the most heavily one-sided counties in the state, reflecting a rural Appalachian-adjacent electorate that has shifted decisively away from its historically Democratic roots over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 76.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 76.4 points.
A population of 15,914, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,510 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rockcastle County and Garrard County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Casey County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.