congressional districtKentucky 1st Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+26.5
2008R+24.2
2012R+32.0
2016R+44.3
2020R+42.8
2024R+47.3
net swing · 2004→2024R+20.8R+26.5 → R+47.3
vs. U.S. · 2024R+45.8R+47.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 59.6% of 574,757 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
88,128
250,239
4,464
342,831
574,757
59.6%
2020
98,041
248,681
5,261
351,983
572,633†
61.5%
2016
84,441
228,603
12,702
325,746
572,223†
56.9%
2012
103,499
203,262
4,767
311,528
566,830†
55.0%
2008
117,518
194,717
6,554
318,789
563,635†
56.6%
2004
114,242
197,405
2,108
313,755
560,440†
56.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupKY-1KentuckyUnited States
English15.2%14.5%9.5%
American13.8%11.5%5.3%
Irish8.9%11.0%9.4%
German8.9%12.7%12.5%
Scottish1.8%2.0%1.3%
Italian1.3%2.0%4.8%
French0.8%1.1%1.6%
Scotch-Irish0.7%0.8%—
African American†6.4%6.6%9.9%
African0.3%0.5%0.5%
Mexican2.4%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.5%1.8%
Guatemalan0.2%0.3%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
KY-1
Kentucky
United States
Median age
39.7
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
9.2%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.9%
17.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
KY-1
Kentucky
United States
Median household income
$58,027
$63,726
$84,427
Poverty rate
17.0%
16.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
21.1%
27.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
KY-1
Kentucky
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.7%
6.8%
22.3%
Spanish
2.3%
3.4%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.3%
0.6%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
KY-1
Kentucky
United States
Catholic
—
7.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
31.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Kentucky 1st Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−26.5%
2008
−24.2%
2012
−32.0%
2016
−44.3%
2020
−42.8%
2024
−47.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
1
R
25.3%85,524
74.7%252,729
338,253
2022
1
R
25.1%61,701
74.9%184,157
245,858
2020
1
R
25.0%82,141
75.0%246,329
328,470
2018
1
R
31.4%78,849
68.6%172,167
251,016
2016
1
R
27.3%81,710
72.6%216,959
299,001
2014
1
R
26.9%63,596
73.1%173,022
236,618
2012
1
R
30.4%87,199
69.6%199,956
287,155
2010
1
R
28.8%62,090
71.2%153,840
215,930
2008
1
R
35.6%98,674
64.3%178,107
276,786
2006
1
R
40.4%83,865
59.6%123,618
207,483
2004
1
R
32.6%85,229
67.3%175,972
261,387
2002
1
R
34.7%62,617
65.3%117,600
180,217
2000
1
R
42.0%95,806
58.0%132,115
227,921
1998
1
R
44.8%77,402
55.2%95,308
172,710
1996
1
R
46.4%96,684
53.6%111,473
208,157
1994
1
R
49.0%62,387
51.0%64,849
127,236
1992
1
D
60.5%128,524
39.1%83,088
212,574
1990
1
D
86.9%85,323
0.0%0
98,202
1988
1
D
95.0%117,288
0.0%0
123,410
1986
1
D
100.0%64,315
0.0%0
64,332
1984
1
D
100.0%112,180
0.0%0
112,180
1982
1
D
100.0%48,342
0.0%0
48,355
1980
1
D
100.0%118,565
0.0%0
118,565
1978
1
D
100.0%44,090
0.0%0
44,097
1976
1
D
82.0%118,886
18.0%26,089
144,985
Kentucky's 1st covers the rural western and south-central reaches of the state, where the 2024 presidential contest landed at R+52.2 — placing it among the most lopsided congressional districts in the country by that measure.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 47.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.3 points.
A population of 751,362, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,027 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District 4.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kentucky 1st Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Kentucky 1st Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 1st Congressional District voted Republican by 47.3 points (R+47.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 342,831 votes cast, 88,128 went Democratic and 250,239 went Republican.
How many people live in Kentucky 1st Congressional District?
Kentucky 1st Congressional District has a population of 751,362 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 1st Congressional District?
Median household income in Kentucky 1st Congressional District is $58,027 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Kentucky 1st Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Kentucky 1st Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
