Harlan County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 10,388 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -A108A108 | 96 | 696 | 9 | 801 | 12.0% | 86.9% | R+74.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -D101D101 | 78 | 606 | 3 | 687 | 11.4% | 88.2% | R+76.9 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 151 | 507 | 10 | 668 | 22.6% | 75.9% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -E102E102 | 84 | 557 | 6 | 647 | 13.0% | 86.1% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -D106D106 | 40 | 461 | 2 | 503 | 8.0% | 91.7% | R+83.7 |
| Precinct -D104D104 | 39 | 420 | 2 | 461 | 8.5% | 91.1% | R+82.6 |
| Precinct -A112A112 | 32 | 384 | 0 | 416 | 7.7% | 92.3% | R+84.6 |
| Precinct -E106E106 | 37 | 338 | 7 | 382 | 9.7% | 88.5% | R+78.8 |
| Precinct -E107E107 | 23 | 343 | 5 | 371 | 6.2% | 92.5% | R+86.3 |
| Precinct -B106B106 | 21 | 311 | 1 | 333 | 6.3% | 93.4% | R+87.1 |
| Precinct -E104E104 | 26 | 278 | 3 | 307 | 8.5% | 90.6% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -C109C109 | 55 | 249 | 2 | 306 | 18.0% | 81.4% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 33 | 269 | 1 | 303 | 10.9% | 88.8% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -B104B104 | 19 | 276 | 4 | 299 | 6.4% | 92.3% | R+86.0 |
| Precinct -E105E105 | 24 | 268 | 3 | 295 | 8.1% | 90.8% | R+82.7 |
| Precinct -A110A110 | 31 | 252 | 0 | 283 | 11.0% | 89.0% | R+78.1 |
| Precinct -B105B105 | 32 | 249 | 2 | 283 | 11.3% | 88.0% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 17 | 257 | 1 | 275 | 6.2% | 93.5% | R+87.3 |
| Precinct -C111C111 | 71 | 200 | 1 | 272 | 26.1% | 73.5% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 63 | 197 | 2 | 262 | 24.0% | 75.2% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 23 | 222 | 0 | 245 | 9.4% | 90.6% | R+81.2 |
| Precinct -B109B109 | 16 | 225 | 2 | 243 | 6.6% | 92.6% | R+86.0 |
| Precinct -C107C107 | 46 | 187 | 3 | 236 | 19.5% | 79.2% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -E108E108 | 19 | 205 | 4 | 228 | 8.3% | 89.9% | R+81.6 |
| Precinct -B107B107 | 19 | 207 | 0 | 226 | 8.4% | 91.6% | R+83.2 |
| Precinct -D109D109 | 12 | 163 | 2 | 177 | 6.8% | 92.1% | R+85.3 |
| Precinct -C106C106 | 19 | 143 | 1 | 163 | 11.7% | 87.7% | R+76.1 |
| Precinct -D108D108 | 10 | 151 | 2 | 163 | 6.1% | 92.6% | R+86.5 |
| Precinct -A111A111 | 7 | 150 | 0 | 157 | 4.5% | 95.5% | R+91.1 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 17 | 138 | 0 | 155 | 11.0% | 89.0% | R+78.1 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 20 | 119 | 0 | 139 | 14.4% | 85.6% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 19 | 81 | 2 | 102 | 18.6% | 79.4% | R+60.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −46.6% |
| 1896 | −68.0% |
| 1900 | −69.6% |
| 1904 | −66.7% |
| 1908 | −68.6% |
| 1912 | −14.9% |
| 1916 | −57.6% |
| 1920 | −60.8% |
| 1924 | −56.8% |
| 1928 | −51.0% |
| 1932 | −10.0% |
| 1936 | +19.1% |
| 1940 | +28.7% |
| 1944 | +15.8% |
| 1948 | +34.7% |
| 1952 | +15.8% |
| 1956 | −12.1% |
| 1960 | +10.3% |
| 1964 | +40.0% |
| 1968 | +13.9% |
| 1972 | −19.8% |
| 1976 | +22.3% |
| 1980 | +23.1% |
| 1984 | +4.8% |
| 1988 | +17.3% |
| 1992 | +23.2% |
| 1996 | +25.1% |
| 2000 | +3.7% |
| 2004 | −21.0% |
| 2008 | −46.2% |
| 2012 | −64.0% |
| 2016 | −72.1% |
| 2020 | −71.8% |
| 2024 | −76.1% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 17.3%1,333 | 82.7%6,386 | 7,719 |
| 2020 | R | 17.3%1,892 | 79.1%8,637 | 10,922 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 56 points more Democratic.
18,996 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−118 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,566 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $37,889 in average income, against $47,861 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Laurel County, KY26
- Madison County, KY21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −144 |
| 2012 | −442 |
| 2013 | −133 |
| 2014 | −442 |
| 2015 | −462 |
| 2016 | −414 |
| 2017 | −245 |
| 2018 | −256 |
| 2019 | −197 |
| 2021 | −299 |
| 2022 | −244 |
| 2023 | −112 |
| 2024 | −58 |
| 2025 | −118 |
Harlan County's coal-mining identity has anchored dramatic partisan realignment: a county that voted reliably Democratic through the 1990s now posts presidential margins above 75 points Republican, among the widest in the nation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 76.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 76.1 points.
A population of 25,772, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,693 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Claiborne County and Cherokee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Harlan County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.