HarrisDemocratic17.4%55,269TrumpRepublican81.3%257,617OtherAll other candidates1.2%3,886
R+63.9- Lead
- 202,348
- Total
- 316,772
- vs nation
- R+62.4
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Akashiccongressional district
Kentucky 5th Congressional District
Contests in this Place (64 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic19.7%64,530TrumpRepublican79.0%258,642OtherAll other candidates1.3%4,234
R+59.3- Lead
- 194,112
- Total
- 327,406
- vs nation
- R+63.7
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ClintonDemocratic18.5%55,926TrumpRepublican78.5%237,003OtherAll other candidates3.0%9,152
R+59.9- Lead
- 181,077
- Total
- 302,081
- vs nation
- R+62.0
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ObamaDemocratic24.8%70,236RomneyRepublican73.5%208,491OtherAll other candidates1.8%5,006
R+48.7- Lead
- 138,255
- Total
- 283,733
- vs nation
- R+52.6
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ObamaDemocratic32.9%93,891McCainRepublican65.4%186,767OtherAll other candidates1.8%5,048
R+32.5- Lead
- 92,876
- Total
- 285,706
- vs nation
- R+39.8
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
KerryDemocratic39.9%123,306BushRepublican59.4%183,640OtherAll other candidates0.7%2,279
R+19.5- Lead
- 60,334
- Total
- 309,225
- vs nation
- R+17.1
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
GoreDemocratic42.6%115,510BushRepublican55.8%151,449OtherAll other candidates1.6%4,307
R+13.2- Lead
- 35,939
- Total
- 271,266
- vs nation
- R+13.8
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
ClintonDemocratic47.7%117,100DoleRepublican42.4%104,168OtherAll other candidates9.9%24,394
D+5.3- Lead
- 12,932
- Total
- 245,662
- vs nation
- R+3.3
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+63.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 750,0382024 5-year
- Population density
- 64 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 11,749 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $45,7982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 2, KY · twin score 97.3
current representation
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
2026 election
On the ballot
KY-05 · U.S. House
Republican Hal Rogers holds the seat and is contesting it.
Primary held May 19, 2026. Akashic does not yet carry the nominees for this contest.
How the seat has run
| Year | U.S. House | President | Ran ahead |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R+100.0Harold Rogers | R+63.9 | +36.1 |
| 2022 | R+64.3Harold Rogers | — | — |
| 2020 | R+68.4Harold Rogers | R+59.3 | — |
| 2018 | R+57.9Harold \"Hal\" Rogers | — | — |
“Ran ahead” is how far the winning party’s House candidate ran ahead of that party’s presidential margin in the same district. A dash means the House race and the presidential figure were measured on different district lines, so the two cannot be subtracted — both are still shown unchanged.
U.S. House elections · 25 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Kentucky's 5th covers the coalfield counties of eastern Appalachia, where Republican presidential margins have climbed steadily for two decades and reached 66 points in 2024 — among the widest of any U.S. House district.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.9 points.
A population of 750,038, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,798 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District 8.
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Congressional District 2
Kentucky
97.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Congressional District 8
Missouri
95.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ American ancestry
Congressional District 6
Tennessee
93.8twin score
elasticity% Evangelical% Catholic≠ 2024 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kentucky 5th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Kentucky at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Kentucky 5th Congressional District
counties it covers33
Bath CountyBell CountyBoyd CountyBreathitt CountyCarter CountyClay CountyElliott CountyFloyd CountyHarlan CountyJackson CountyJohnson CountyKnott CountyKnox CountyLaurel CountyLawrence CountyLee CountyLeslie CountyLetcher CountyLincoln CountyMagoffin CountyMartin CountyMcCreary CountyMenifee CountyMorgan County+9 more
Frequently asked questions
How did Kentucky 5th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 5th Congressional District voted Republican by 63.9 points (R+63.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 316,772 votes cast, 55,269 went Democratic and 257,617 went Republican.
When did Kentucky 5th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kentucky 5th Congressional District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Kentucky 5th Congressional District?
Kentucky 5th Congressional District has a population of 750,038 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 5th Congressional District?
Median household income in Kentucky 5th Congressional District is $45,798 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Kentucky 5th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kentucky 5th Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.