Lawrence County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 6,574 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -B103B103 | 172 | 831 | 13 | 1,016 | 16.9% | 81.8% | R+64.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -A102A102 | 151 | 726 | 9 | 886 | 17.0% | 81.9% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 63 | 554 | 6 | 623 | 10.1% | 88.9% | R+78.8 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 65 | 377 | 5 | 447 | 14.5% | 84.3% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -D105D105 | 77 | 335 | 4 | 416 | 18.5% | 80.5% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 71 | 232 | 4 | 307 | 23.1% | 75.6% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -D104D104 | 50 | 241 | 3 | 294 | 17.0% | 82.0% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 39 | 251 | 1 | 291 | 13.4% | 86.3% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -A104A104 | 46 | 232 | 1 | 279 | 16.5% | 83.2% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 50 | 218 | 2 | 270 | 18.5% | 80.7% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 38 | 227 | 2 | 267 | 14.2% | 85.0% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 23 | 237 | 4 | 264 | 8.7% | 89.8% | R+81.1 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 32 | 193 | 0 | 225 | 14.2% | 85.8% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -D102D102 | 21 | 199 | 3 | 223 | 9.4% | 89.2% | R+79.8 |
| Precinct -D106D106 | 46 | 175 | 2 | 223 | 20.6% | 78.5% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -D103D103 | 62 | 151 | 5 | 218 | 28.4% | 69.3% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -C105C105 | 18 | 166 | 2 | 186 | 9.7% | 89.2% | R+79.6 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 20 | 119 | 0 | 139 | 14.4% | 85.6% | R+71.2 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +8.7% |
| 1896 | −3.8% |
| 1900 | −2.6% |
| 1904 | −6.9% |
| 1908 | −5.5% |
| 1912 | +10.2% |
| 1916 | −0.5% |
| 1920 | −5.4% |
| 1924 | −2.0% |
| 1928 | −19.3% |
| 1932 | +14.4% |
| 1936 | +3.8% |
| 1940 | +2.0% |
| 1944 | −6.0% |
| 1948 | +5.6% |
| 1952 | −1.9% |
| 1956 | −8.0% |
| 1960 | −9.4% |
| 1964 | +21.5% |
| 1968 | −2.8% |
| 1972 | −21.8% |
| 1976 | +13.2% |
| 1980 | −4.1% |
| 1984 | −9.9% |
| 1988 | −2.1% |
| 1992 | +6.2% |
| 1996 | +8.5% |
| 2000 | −13.4% |
| 2004 | −16.1% |
| 2008 | −26.0% |
| 2012 | −44.3% |
| 2016 | −62.4% |
| 2020 | −63.2% |
| 2024 | −67.2% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 23.0%948 | 77.0%3,179 | 4,127 |
| 2020 | R | 22.0%1,520 | 73.5%5,089 | 6,922 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 44 points more Democratic.
12,477 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+64 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −576 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,726 in average income, against $59,296 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+52.2 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Lawrence County, KY itself (R+67.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Boyd County, KY38R+38.5
- Wayne County, WV37R+53.4
- Johnson County, KY26R+70.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Boyd County, KY37
- Johnson County, KY31
- Wayne County, WV30
- Martin County, KY23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +73 |
| 2012 | −61 |
| 2013 | +10 |
| 2014 | −64 |
| 2015 | −27 |
| 2016 | −20 |
| 2017 | −111 |
| 2018 | −144 |
| 2019 | −210 |
| 2021 | +16 |
| 2022 | −75 |
| 2023 | +25 |
| 2024 | −52 |
| 2025 | +64 |
Lawrence County, tucked into Kentucky's eastern coalfield corner along the Tug Fork, recorded a 67-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the steep partisan shift that has reshaped Appalachian Kentucky over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 67.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.2 points.
A population of 16,077, a 97% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,772 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fentress County and Union County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lawrence County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.