HarrisDemocratic28.0%5,911TrumpRepublican70.4%14,848KennedyIndependent0.5%113
R+42.4- Lead
- 8,937
- Total
- 21,089
- vs nation
- R+40.9
- Turnout
- 63.1%
Akashiccounty
Branch County, MI
Contests in this Place (85 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.1% of 33,635 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic30.0%6,159TrumpRepublican68.5%14,064JorgensenLibertarian1.1%216
R+38.5- Lead
- 7,905
- Total
- 20,536
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 64.1%
ClintonDemocratic28.7%5,061TrumpRepublican66.7%11,786JohnsonLibertarian3.3%582
R+38.1- Lead
- 6,725
- Total
- 17,663
- vs nation
- R+40.2
- Turnout
- 54.9%
ObamaDemocratic40.3%6,913RomneyRepublican58.5%10,035SteinGreen0.5%92
R+18.2- Lead
- 3,122
- Total
- 17,147
- vs nation
- R+22.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.0%8,413McCainRepublican52.1%9,534OtherAll other candidates1.8%338
R+6.1- Lead
- 1,121
- Total
- 18,285
- vs nation
- R+13.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.0%7,004BushRepublican60.0%10,784OtherAll other candidates1.0%179
R+21.0- Lead
- 3,780
- Total
- 17,967
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.4%6,691BushRepublican55.4%8,743NaderGreen1.8%279
R+13.0- Lead
- 2,052
- Total
- 15,783
- vs nation
- R+13.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.4%6,567DoleRepublican42.7%6,321PerotReform12.0%1,779
D+1.7- Lead
- 246
- Total
- 14,805
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,3002024 5-year
- Population density
- 89 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 506 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,7242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.7 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Newaygo County, MI · twin score 96.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 63.1%21,240 participants ÷ 33,635 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 48.1%–51.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21,240 | 33,635 ± 327 | 63.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 16,256 | 33,160 ± 328 | 49.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 20,668 | 32,248 ± 257 | 64.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 15,448 | 32,724 ± 259 | 47.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,932 | 32,644 ± 277 | 54.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 17,147 | 33,386 | 51.4% | Derived | — | |
| 18,285 | 34,304 | 53.3% | Derived | — | |
| 17,967 | 35,222 extrapolated | 51.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 43 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
43 precincts · 21,089 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Coldwater Township, Precinct 1Coldwater Township, Precinct 1 | 520 | 1,480 | 17 | 2,017 | 25.8% | 73.4% | R+47.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Quincy Township, Precinct 1Quincy Township, Precinct 1 | 547 | 1,441 | 28 | 2,016 | 27.1% | 71.5% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -Ovid Township, Precinct 1Ovid Township, Precinct 1 | 429 | 1,160 | 9 | 1,598 | 26.8% | 72.6% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 3, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 3, Precinct 1 | 575 | 897 | 34 | 1,506 | 38.2% | 59.6% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -Union Township, Precinct 1Union Township, Precinct 1 | 414 | 1,038 | 29 | 1,481 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 2, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 2, Precinct 1 | 492 | 799 | 19 | 1,310 | 37.6% | 61.0% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -Girard Township, Precinct 1Girard Township, Precinct 1 | 289 | 780 | 20 | 1,089 | 26.5% | 71.6% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -Sherwood Township, Precinct 1Sherwood Township, Precinct 1 | 254 | 773 | 14 | 1,041 | 24.4% | 74.3% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -Algansee Township, Precinct 1Algansee Township, Precinct 1 | 225 | 778 | 7 | 1,010 | 22.3% | 77.0% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 4, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 4, Precinct 1 | 338 | 613 | 32 | 983 | 34.4% | 62.4% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -Kinderhook Township, Precinct 1Kinderhook Township, Precinct 1 | 258 | 690 | 11 | 959 | 26.9% | 71.9% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -City of Coldwater, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Coldwater, Ward 1, Precinct 1 | 298 | 570 | 33 | 901 | 33.1% | 63.3% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -City of Bronson, Precinct 1City of Bronson, Precinct 1 | 261 | 574 | 16 | 851 | 30.7% | 67.5% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -Bronson Township, Precinct 1Bronson Township, Precinct 1 | 146 | 585 | 7 | 738 | 19.8% | 79.3% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -Matteson Township, Precinct 1Matteson Township, Precinct 1 | 217 | 473 | 6 | 696 | 31.2% | 68.0% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -Batavia Township, Precinct 1Batavia Township, Precinct 1 | 171 | 502 | 18 | 691 | 24.7% | 72.6% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -Bethel Township, Precinct 1Bethel Township, Precinct 1 | 138 | 522 | 8 | 668 | 20.7% | 78.1% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -Butler Township, Precinct 1Butler Township, Precinct 1 | 143 | 492 | 12 | 647 | 22.1% | 76.0% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct -Gilead Township, Precinct 1Gilead Township, Precinct 1 | 87 | 261 | 3 | 351 | 24.8% | 74.4% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -California Township, Precinct 1California Township, Precinct 1 | 51 | 221 | 2 | 274 | 18.6% | 80.7% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -Noble Township, Precinct 1Noble Township, Precinct 1 | 58 | 199 | 5 | 262 | 22.1% | 76.0% | R+53.8 |
| Algansee Township 00001023-01120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Batavia Township 00001023-05800-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethel Township 00001023-08060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bronson City 00001023-10860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bronson Township 00001023-10880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Butler Township 00001023-12140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| California Township 00001023-12560-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coldwater City 01001023-17020-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coldwater City 02001023-17020-02001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coldwater City 03001023-17020-03001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coldwater City 04001023-17020-04001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coldwater Township 00001023-17040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gilead Township 00001023-32120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Girard Township 00001023-32280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kinderhook Township 00001023-43260-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Matteson Township 00001023-52400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Noble Township 00001023-57860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ovid Township 00001023-61840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Quincy Township 00001023-66660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Quincy Township 00002023-66660-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherwood Township 00001023-73440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Township 00001023-81280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Branch County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.3%
7,858 votes · D+21.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 53.4%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
74.5%
6,818 votes · R+49.7
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 73.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
8,413votes
46.0% of the vote · R+6.1
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 7,858 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,848votes
70.4% of the vote · R+42.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,064 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+11.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.9 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · −1.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+42.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.5 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +42.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJonathan LindseyState Senate · 17
RJennifer WortzState House · 35
Seats representing Branch County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 25.1%5,103 | 74.9%15,266 | 20,369 |
| 2020 | R | 29.4%5,929 | 70.6%14,223 | 20,152 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 31,518 |
| 2018 | 31,382 |
| 2020 | 33,838 |
| 2022 | 34,470 |
| 2024 | 35,394 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−260 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,073 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,134 in average income, against $66,924 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.6 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Branch County, MI itself (R+42.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Calhoun County, MI126R+14.0
- St. Joseph County, MI103R+34.0
- Hillsdale County, MI97R+51.4
- Steuben County, IN41R+42.1
- Kalamazoo County, MI38D+17.7
- Jackson County, MI29R+21.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Calhoun County, MI174
- Hillsdale County, MI95
- St. Joseph County, MI83
- Steuben County, IN55
- Kalamazoo County, MI53
- Allen County, IN27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,423 |
| 2012 | −218 |
| 2013 | −360 |
| 2014 | −30 |
| 2015 | −181 |
| 2016 | −311 |
| 2017 | −190 |
| 2018 | +64 |
| 2019 | −172 |
| 2021 | +269 |
| 2022 | −876 |
| 2023 | +557 |
| 2024 | +58 |
| 2025 | −260 |
Branch County, anchored by Coldwater, posts presidential margins that routinely exceed 40 points Republican — an outlier even within a state where rural counties trend heavily red. Its manufacturing and agricultural base has tracked rightward for more than a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.7 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.4 points.
A population of 45,300, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,724 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Newaygo County and Hillsdale County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Newaygo County
Michigan
96.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated
Hillsdale County
Michigan
88.3twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ English ancestry
Cass County
Michigan
87.1twin score
elasticity% unaffiliatedPolish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Branch County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Branch County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Branch County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Branch County, Michigan voted Republican by 42.4 points (R+42.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,089 votes cast, 5,911 went Democratic and 14,848 went Republican.
When did Branch County, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Branch County, Michigan voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Branch County, Michigan?
Branch County, Michigan has a population of 45,300 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Branch County, Michigan?
Median household income in Branch County, Michigan is $63,724 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Branch County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Branch County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.