- Lead
- 5,301
- Total
- 12,622
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Turnout
- 74.5%
Ogemaw County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.5% of 17,037 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,778
- Total
- 11,907
- vs nation
- R+44.6
- Turnout
- 70.7%
- Lead
- 3,797
- Total
- 10,440
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- 62.3%
- Lead
- 646
- Total
- 10,394
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 258
- Total
- 10,768
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 239
- Total
- 10,796
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 190
- Total
- 9,855
- vs nation
- D+1.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,821
- Total
- 9,064
- vs nation
- D+11.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 20,8852024 5-year
- Population density
- 37 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 564 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,6662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.4 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gladwin County, MI · twin score 98.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 74.5%12,696 participants ÷ 17,037 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 62.8%–65.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12,696 | 17,037 ± 114 | 74.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,994 | 16,932 ± 107 | 59.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,980 | 16,935 ± 76 | 70.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,377 | 16,946 ± 86 | 55.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,588 | 17,008 ± 83 | 62.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 10,394 | 17,236 | 60.3% | Derived | — | |
| 10,768 | 16,987 | 63.4% | Derived | — | |
| 10,796 | 16,738 extrapolated | 64.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Ogemaw County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Ogemaw County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 34 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
34 precincts · 12,622 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -West Branch Township, Precinct 1West Branch Township, Precinct 1 | 387 | 1,179 | 25 | 1,591 | 24.3% | 74.1% | R+49.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Mills Township, Precinct 2Mills Township, Precinct 2 | 331 | 812 | 12 | 1,155 | 28.7% | 70.3% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -City of West Branch, Precinct 1City of West Branch, Precinct 1 | 401 | 677 | 21 | 1,099 | 36.5% | 61.6% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -Churchill Township, Precinct 1Churchill Township, Precinct 1 | 304 | 753 | 11 | 1,068 | 28.5% | 70.5% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -Hill Township, Precinct 1Hill Township, Precinct 1 | 330 | 612 | 8 | 950 | 34.7% | 64.4% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct -Mills Township, Precinct 1Mills Township, Precinct 1 | 245 | 645 | 14 | 904 | 27.1% | 71.3% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -Edwards Township, Precinct 1Edwards Township, Precinct 1 | 251 | 639 | 6 | 896 | 28.0% | 71.3% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -Rose Township, Precinct 1Rose Township, Precinct 1 | 235 | 580 | 13 | 828 | 28.4% | 70.0% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -Ogemaw Township, Precinct 1Ogemaw Township, Precinct 1 | 220 | 551 | 15 | 786 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -Foster Township, Precinct 1Foster Township, Precinct 1 | 166 | 408 | 4 | 578 | 28.7% | 70.6% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -Horton Township, Precinct 1Horton Township, Precinct 1 | 112 | 427 | 8 | 547 | 20.5% | 78.1% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -Cumming Township, Precinct 1Cumming Township, Precinct 1 | 137 | 346 | 3 | 486 | 28.2% | 71.2% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -Richland Township, Precinct 1Richland Township, Precinct 1 | 136 | 321 | 5 | 462 | 29.4% | 69.5% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -Klacking Township, Precinct 1Klacking Township, Precinct 1 | 97 | 301 | 4 | 402 | 24.1% | 74.9% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -Logan Township, Precinct 1Logan Township, Precinct 1 | 104 | 271 | 7 | 382 | 27.2% | 70.9% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -Goodar Township, Precinct 1Goodar Township, Precinct 1 | 59 | 192 | 5 | 256 | 23.0% | 75.0% | R+52.0 |
| Precinct -City of Rose City, Precinct 1City of Rose City, Precinct 1 | 63 | 165 | 4 | 232 | 27.2% | 71.1% | R+44.0 |
| Churchill Township 00001129-15740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cumming Township 00001129-19260-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Edwards Township 00001129-25020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Foster Township 00001129-29860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goodar Township 00001129-32860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hill Township 00001129-38300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Horton Township 00001129-39320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Klacking Township 00001129-43640-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Logan Township 00001129-49160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mills Township 00001129-54340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mills Township 00002129-54340-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ogemaw Township 00001129-60300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richland Township 00001129-68320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rose City 01001129-69680-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rose Township 00001129-69600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Branch City 01001129-85580-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Branch Township 00001129-85600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Ogemaw County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.5%
2,812 votes · D+27.2
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 52.1%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
79.3%
1,714 votes · R+67.4
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 75.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
5,391votes
50.1% of the vote · D+2.4
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 5,215 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,879votes
70.3% of the vote · R+42.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,253 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
+11.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.1 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · +6.8 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+47.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.6 · U.S. D+7.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +44.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Ogemaw County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 28.3%3,281 | 71.7%8,309 | 11,590 |
| 2020 | R | 26.5%2,977 | 73.5%8,272 | 11,249 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,596 |
| 2018 | 16,439 |
| 2020 | 17,859 |
| 2022 | 18,437 |
| 2024 | 18,897 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+206 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,390 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,711 in average income, against $55,958 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.6 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Ogemaw County, MI itself (R+42.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Iosco County, MI47R+30.6
- Wayne County, MI45D+29.0
- Arenac County, MI42R+40.6
- Macomb County, MI35R+13.7
- Oakland County, MI34D+10.6
- Roscommon County, MI33R+32.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Iosco County, MI58
- Arenac County, MI42
- Roscommon County, MI34
- Bay County, MI30
- Wayne County, MI29
- Oakland County, MI24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −28 |
| 2012 | −58 |
| 2013 | −79 |
| 2014 | −93 |
| 2015 | +40 |
| 2016 | +104 |
| 2017 | +163 |
| 2018 | +85 |
| 2019 | +199 |
| 2021 | +169 |
| 2022 | +324 |
| 2023 | +234 |
| 2024 | +124 |
| 2025 | +206 |
Ogemaw, a lightly populated county in Michigan's Lower Peninsula, delivered a 42-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in the state — reflecting the region's predominantly rural, non-college white demographic profile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 67.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.0 points.
A population of 20,885, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,666 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gladwin County and Arenac County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ogemaw County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26129/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.