- Lead
- 6,313
- Total
- 13,184
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- 73.8%
Osceola County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.8% of 17,973 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,714
- Total
- 12,329
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- 68.9%
- Lead
- 4,631
- Total
- 10,609
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Turnout
- 61.1%
- Lead
- 2,160
- Total
- 10,278
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,118
- Total
- 11,026
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,132
- Total
- 11,188
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,674
- Total
- 9,930
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 230
- Total
- 9,090
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,2272024 5-year
- Population density
- 41 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 566 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,2672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.5 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.8 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oscoda County, MI · twin score 86.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 73.8%13,262 participants ÷ 17,973 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.0 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 63.8%–65.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13,262 | 17,973 ± 68 | 73.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 10,458 | 17,765 ± 77 | 58.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,402 | 18,009 ± 104 | 68.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,536 | 17,863 ± 89 | 53.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,766 | 17,634 ± 90 | 61.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 10,278 | 17,655 | 58.2% | Derived | — | |
| 11,026 | 17,257 | 63.9% | Derived | — | |
| 11,188 | 16,859 extrapolated | 66.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Osceola County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Osceola County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 36 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 13,184 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Hersey Township, Precinct 1Hersey Township, Precinct 1 | 310 | 885 | 17 | 1,212 | 25.6% | 73.0% | R+47.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Reed City, Precinct 1City of Reed City, Precinct 1 | 373 | 718 | 25 | 1,116 | 33.4% | 64.3% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -Richmond Township, Precinct 1Richmond Township, Precinct 1 | 279 | 755 | 12 | 1,046 | 26.7% | 72.2% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Township, Precinct 1Lincoln Township, Precinct 1 | 209 | 675 | 8 | 892 | 23.4% | 75.7% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -Marion Township, Precinct 1Marion Township, Precinct 1 | 207 | 652 | 15 | 874 | 23.7% | 74.6% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -Rose Lake Township, Precinct 1Rose Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 228 | 623 | 11 | 862 | 26.5% | 72.3% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -Burdell Township, Precinct 1Burdell Township, Precinct 1 | 192 | 624 | 8 | 824 | 23.3% | 75.7% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -Evart Township, Precinct 1Evart Township, Precinct 1 | 222 | 573 | 20 | 815 | 27.2% | 70.3% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -City of Evart, Precinct 1City of Evart, Precinct 1 | 216 | 500 | 24 | 740 | 29.2% | 67.6% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Le Roy Township, Precinct 1Le Roy Township, Precinct 1 | 168 | 548 | 12 | 728 | 23.1% | 75.3% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -Sherman Township, Precinct 1Sherman Township, Precinct 1 | 123 | 507 | 10 | 640 | 19.2% | 79.2% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -Highland Township, Precinct 1Highland Township, Precinct 1 | 124 | 484 | 14 | 622 | 19.9% | 77.8% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -Osceola Township, Precinct 1Osceola Township, Precinct 1 | 133 | 462 | 5 | 600 | 22.2% | 77.0% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -Middle Branch Township, Precinct 1Middle Branch Township, Precinct 1 | 120 | 406 | 13 | 539 | 22.3% | 75.3% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -Sylvan Township, Precinct 1Sylvan Township, Precinct 1 | 134 | 377 | 9 | 520 | 25.8% | 72.5% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -Orient Township, Precinct 1Orient Township, Precinct 1 | 114 | 339 | 6 | 459 | 24.8% | 73.9% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -Hartwick Township, Precinct 1Hartwick Township, Precinct 1 | 75 | 267 | 6 | 348 | 21.6% | 76.7% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -Cedar Township, Precinct 1Cedar Township, Precinct 1 | 99 | 244 | 4 | 347 | 28.5% | 70.3% | R+41.8 |
| Burdell Township 00001133-11680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cedar Township 00001133-14040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Evart City 00001133-26640-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Evart Township 00001133-26660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hartwick Township 00001133-37060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hersey Township 00001133-37840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Highland Township 00001133-38100-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Le Roy Township 00001133-47120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Township 00001133-47720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marion Township 00001133-51680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Middle Branch Township 00001133-53660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Orient Township 00001133-61080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osceola Township 00001133-61280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Reed City 00001133-67820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richmond Township 00001133-68440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rose Lake Township 00001133-69760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherman Township 00001133-73280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sylvan Township 00001133-77760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Osceola County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
50.8%
2,891 votes · D+2.0
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 44.9%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
86.7%
3,923 votes · R+73.8
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 80.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
4,855votes
44.0% of the vote · R+10.1
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 4,467 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
9,639votes
73.1% of the vote · R+47.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,928 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
−6.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+2.5 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · −6.4 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+56.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.8 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +55.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Osceola County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.8%2,981 | 76.2%9,558 | 12,539 |
| 2020 | R | 23.3%2,757 | 76.7%9,059 | 11,816 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,350 |
| 2018 | 17,141 |
| 2020 | 18,464 |
| 2022 | 19,079 |
| 2024 | 19,714 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−57 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +347 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,654 in average income, against $58,517 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.1 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Osceola County, MI itself (R+47.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mecosta County, MI129R+30.0
- Wexford County, MI83R+34.6
- Lake County, MI49R+32.2
- Kent County, MI46D+5.4
- Missaukee County, MI27R+56.0
- Newaygo County, MI23R+42.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mecosta County, MI105
- Wexford County, MI69
- Lake County, MI56
- Kent County, MI36
- Missaukee County, MI35
- Clare County, MI32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −60 |
| 2012 | −205 |
| 2013 | −102 |
| 2014 | −122 |
| 2015 | −69 |
| 2016 | +3 |
| 2017 | +76 |
| 2018 | +90 |
| 2019 | +64 |
| 2021 | +311 |
| 2022 | +118 |
| 2023 | +78 |
| 2024 | +222 |
| 2025 | −57 |
Osceola County, a lightly populated stretch of central Michigan's Lower Peninsula, delivered a nearly 48-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in a state that remains fiercely contested at the statewide level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.5 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 73.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.9 points.
A population of 23,227, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,267 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oscoda County and Switzerland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Osceola County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.