- Lead
- 2,302
- Total
- 5,192
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 77.7%
Oscoda County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.7% of 6,741 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,124
- Total
- 4,874
- vs nation
- R+48.0
- Turnout
- 77.7%
- Lead
- 1,799
- Total
- 4,092
- vs nation
- R+46.1
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Lead
- 651
- Total
- 4,053
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 433
- Total
- 4,328
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 778
- Total
- 4,409
- vs nation
- R+15.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 530
- Total
- 3,992
- vs nation
- R+13.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 107
- Total
- 3,725
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,4252024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 566 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,5152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montmorency County, MI · twin score 94.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 77.7%5,238 participants ÷ 6,741 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 61.0%–65.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,238 | 6,741 ± 62 | 77.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,048 | 6,630 ± 53 | 61.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,188 | 6,673 ± 66 | 77.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 3,814 | 6,663 ± 67 | 57.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,365 | 6,732 ± 55 | 64.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 4,053 | 6,918 | 58.6% | Derived | — | |
| 4,328 | 7,135 | 60.7% | Derived | — | |
| 4,409 | 7,352 extrapolated | 60.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 14 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 5,192 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Comins Township, Precinct 1Comins Township, Precinct 1 | 253 | 812 | 22 | 1,087 | 23.3% | 74.7% | R+51.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Big Creek Township, Precinct 2Big Creek Township, Precinct 2 | 261 | 688 | 10 | 959 | 27.2% | 71.7% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Greenwood Township, Precinct 1Greenwood Township, Precinct 1 | 233 | 585 | 6 | 824 | 28.3% | 71.0% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -Big Creek Township, Precinct 1Big Creek Township, Precinct 1 | 222 | 543 | 7 | 772 | 28.8% | 70.3% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -Mentor Township, Precinct 1Mentor Township, Precinct 1 | 245 | 517 | 8 | 770 | 31.8% | 67.1% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -Elmer Township, Precinct 1Elmer Township, Precinct 1 | 122 | 339 | 6 | 467 | 26.1% | 72.6% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township, Precinct 1Clinton Township, Precinct 1 | 78 | 232 | 3 | 313 | 24.9% | 74.1% | R+49.2 |
| Big Creek Township 00001135-08220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Creek Township 00002135-08220-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clinton Township 00001135-16540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Comins Township 00001135-17600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elmer Township 00001135-25500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenwood Township 00001135-35200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mentor Township 00001135-53120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Oscoda County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54.0%
930 votes · D+8.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 51.5%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
86.4%
476 votes · R+73.1
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 86.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,887votes
43.6% of the vote · R+10.0
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 1,792 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,716votes
71.6% of the vote · R+44.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,466 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
−5.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+2.9 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · −7.3 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+58.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.3 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +55.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Oscoda County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.9%1,360 | 72.1%3,516 | 4,876 |
| 2020 | R | 24.6%1,157 | 75.4%3,540 | 4,697 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,768 |
| 2018 | 6,768 |
| 2020 | 7,315 |
| 2022 | 7,662 |
| 2024 | 7,850 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+134 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +789 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,909 in average income, against $54,138 for residents who stayed — 13% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.1 on average — 41 points more Democratic-leaning than Oscoda County, MI itself (R+44.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Oakland County, MI24D+10.6
- Montmorency County, MI23R+45.3
- Wayne County, MI20D+29.0
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +56 |
| 2012 | −6 |
| 2013 | −164 |
| 2014 | −7 |
| 2015 | −22 |
| 2016 | +3 |
| 2017 | +37 |
| 2018 | +35 |
| 2019 | +58 |
| 2021 | +182 |
| 2022 | +152 |
| 2023 | +229 |
| 2024 | +102 |
| 2025 | +134 |
Oscoda County's small, rural population and heavy reliance on forestry and agriculture have long correlated with lopsided Republican margins — the 2024 result continued a decades-long pattern of single-party dominance in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 74.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 8,425, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,515 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montmorency County and Crawford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Oscoda County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.