HarrisDemocratic27.6%1,431TrumpRepublican71.8%3,730KennedyIndependent0.3%18
R+44.3- Lead
- 2,299
- Total
- 5,194
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Turnout
- 65.4%
Akashiccounty
Carroll County, MS
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.4% of 7,940 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic30.3%1,729TrumpRepublican68.8%3,924JorgensenLibertarian0.2%14
R+38.5- Lead
- 2,195
- Total
- 5,701
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Turnout
- 70.9%
ClintonDemocratic30.4%1,680TrumpRepublican68.7%3,799JohnsonLibertarian0.5%29
R+38.3- Lead
- 2,119
- Total
- 5,528
- vs nation
- R+40.4
- Turnout
- 67.4%
ObamaDemocratic33.5%2,007RomneyRepublican66.1%3,960OtherAll other candidates0.4%25
R+32.6- Lead
- 1,953
- Total
- 5,992
- vs nation
- R+36.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic34.1%2,037McCainRepublican65.4%3,902OtherAll other candidates0.4%26
R+31.3- Lead
- 1,865
- Total
- 5,965
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.0%1,900BushRepublican65.5%3,664OtherAll other candidates0.5%28
R+31.5- Lead
- 1,764
- Total
- 5,592
- vs nation
- R+29.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic35.1%1,726BushRepublican64.3%3,165NaderGreen0.4%18
R+29.2- Lead
- 1,439
- Total
- 4,924
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.4%2,041DoleRepublican53.3%2,629PerotReform5.0%245
R+11.9- Lead
- 588
- Total
- 4,934
- vs nation
- R+20.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,6862024 5-year
- Population density
- 15 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 628 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,3272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 34.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+90.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lincoln County, GA · twin score 89.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 65.4%5,194 participants ÷ 7,940 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 40.4%–46.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,194 | 7,940 ± 111 | 65.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,738 | 8,159 ± 35 | 45.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,732 | 8,087 ± 27 | 70.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,377 | 8,148 ± 47 | 53.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,528 | 8,202 ± 85 | 67.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,992 | 8,294 | 72.2% | Derived | — | |
| 5,965 | 8,174 | 73.0% | Derived | — | |
| 5,592 | 8,054 extrapolated | 69.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Carroll County only. The complete district District 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Carroll County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Bennie G. Thompson0—
Evan Littleton Turnage0—
Pertis Herman Williams III0—
District District 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 28 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 5,194 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Rays ShopRays Shop | 40 | 569 | 5 | 614 | 6.5% | 92.7% | R+86.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Fire TowerFire Tower | 358 | 244 | 1 | 603 | 59.4% | 40.5% | D+18.9 |
| Precinct -East VaidenEast Vaiden | 212 | 276 | 7 | 495 | 42.8% | 55.8% | R+12.9 |
| Precinct -North CarrolltonNorth Carrollton | 90 | 391 | 1 | 482 | 18.7% | 81.1% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -Gravel HillGravel Hill | 37 | 381 | 1 | 419 | 8.8% | 90.9% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -West CarrollWest Carroll | 24 | 373 | 4 | 401 | 6.0% | 93.0% | R+87.0 |
| Precinct -McCarleyMcCarley | 118 | 262 | 3 | 383 | 30.8% | 68.4% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -CarrolltonCarrollton | 38 | 312 | 2 | 352 | 10.8% | 88.6% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -West VaidenWest Vaiden | 134 | 213 | 2 | 349 | 38.4% | 61.0% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -430 School430 School | 171 | 100 | 3 | 274 | 62.4% | 36.5% | D+25.9 |
| Precinct -Black HawkBlack Hawk | 49 | 185 | 2 | 236 | 20.8% | 78.4% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -SalemSalem | 134 | 69 | 1 | 204 | 65.7% | 33.8% | D+31.9 |
| Precinct -JeffersonJefferson | 18 | 176 | 0 | 194 | 9.3% | 90.7% | R+81.4 |
| Precinct -CalvaryCalvary | 8 | 179 | 1 | 188 | 4.3% | 95.2% | R+91.0 |
| Black Hawk Voting District28_28015110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Calvary Voting District28_28015103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carrollton Voting District28_28015106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Vaiden Voting District28_28015114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fire Tower Voting District28_28015108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gravel Hill Voting District28_28015109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jefferson Voting District28_28015102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McCarley Voting District28_28015105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Carrollton Voting District28_28015104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ray's Shop Voting District28_28015101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salem Voting District28_28015112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 430 School28_28015111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Carroll Voting District28_28015107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Vaiden Voting District28_28015113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Carroll County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
99.2%
1,189 votes · D+98.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 98.1%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
95.4%
2,043 votes · R+90.8
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 73.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
2,041votes
41.4% of the vote · R+11.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 2,037 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
3,960votes
66.1% of the vote · R+32.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,924 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+112.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+92.7 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +110.7 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+113.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+90.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +43.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RLydia ChassaniolState Senate · 14
RKarl OliverState House · 46
RJason WhiteState House · 48
Seats representing Carroll County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,088 |
| 2018 | 7,681 |
| 2020 | 7,683 |
| 2022 | 7,494 |
| 2024 | 7,603 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−86 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −765 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,408 in average income, against $61,828 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.7 on average — 63 points more Democratic-leaning than Carroll County, MS itself (R+44.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Leflore County, MS55D+38.4
- Grenada County, MS31R+16.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Leflore County, MS54
- Montgomery County, MS35
- Grenada County, MS28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −170 |
| 2012 | 0 |
| 2013 | −63 |
| 2014 | −64 |
| 2015 | +1 |
| 2016 | +11 |
| 2017 | −58 |
| 2018 | −175 |
| 2019 | +46 |
| 2021 | −28 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | −127 |
| 2024 | −56 |
| 2025 | −86 |
Carroll County's rural Delta-edge geography and small, stable population have produced some of the widest partisan gaps in the state, with the 2024 presidential result landing at R+44.3 in a county of fewer than 11,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 90.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 9,686, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,327 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lincoln County and Miller County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lincoln County
Georgia
89.4twin score
median age% Black% Catholic
Miller County
Georgia
87.8twin score
% Black% Catholic% Evangelical≠ American ancestry
Pulaski County
Georgia
87.1twin score
% Black% Catholicelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carroll County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Carroll County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carroll County, Mississippi voted Republican by 44.3 points (R+44.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,194 votes cast, 1,431 went Democratic and 3,730 went Republican.
When did Carroll County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Carroll County, Mississippi?
Carroll County, Mississippi has a population of 9,686 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carroll County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Carroll County, Mississippi is $59,327 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Carroll County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.