Carroll County, Mississippi
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 5,194 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Rays ShopRays Shop | 40 | 569 | 5 | 614 | 6.5% | 92.7% | R+86.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Fire TowerFire Tower | 358 | 244 | 1 | 603 | 59.4% | 40.5% | D+18.9 |
| Precinct -East VaidenEast Vaiden | 212 | 276 | 7 | 495 | 42.8% | 55.8% | R+12.9 |
| Precinct -North CarrolltonNorth Carrollton | 90 | 391 | 1 | 482 | 18.7% | 81.1% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -Gravel HillGravel Hill | 37 | 381 | 1 | 419 | 8.8% | 90.9% | R+82.1 |
| Precinct -West CarrollWest Carroll | 24 | 373 | 4 | 401 | 6.0% | 93.0% | R+87.0 |
| Precinct -McCarleyMcCarley | 118 | 262 | 3 | 383 | 30.8% | 68.4% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -CarrolltonCarrollton | 38 | 312 | 2 | 352 | 10.8% | 88.6% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -West VaidenWest Vaiden | 134 | 213 | 2 | 349 | 38.4% | 61.0% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -430 School430 School | 171 | 100 | 3 | 274 | 62.4% | 36.5% | D+25.9 |
| Precinct -Black HawkBlack Hawk | 49 | 185 | 2 | 236 | 20.8% | 78.4% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -SalemSalem | 134 | 69 | 1 | 204 | 65.7% | 33.8% | D+31.9 |
| Precinct -JeffersonJefferson | 18 | 176 | 0 | 194 | 9.3% | 90.7% | R+81.4 |
| Precinct -CalvaryCalvary | 8 | 179 | 1 | 188 | 4.3% | 95.2% | R+91.0 |
| Black Hawk Voting District28_28015110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Calvary Voting District28_28015103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Carrollton Voting District28_28015106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| East Vaiden Voting District28_28015114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Fire Tower Voting District28_28015108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Gravel Hill Voting District28_28015109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Jefferson Voting District28_28015102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| McCarley Voting District28_28015105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| North Carrollton Voting District28_28015104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Ray's Shop Voting District28_28015101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Salem Voting District28_28015112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 430 School28_28015111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| West Carroll Voting District28_28015107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| West Vaiden Voting District28_28015113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +57.7% |
| 1896 | +86.6% |
| 1900 | +75.0% |
| 1904 | +92.7% |
| 1908 | +85.5% |
| 1912 | +83.3% |
| 1916 | +91.5% |
| 1920 | +56.1% |
| 1924 | +85.5% |
| 1928 | +91.5% |
| 1932 | +98.4% |
| 1936 | +96.3% |
| 1940 | +94.7% |
| 1944 | +91.0% |
| 1948 | +4.9% |
| 1952 | +37.2% |
| 1956 | +54.5% |
| 1960 | +14.8% |
| 1964 | −90.8% |
| 1968 | +24.6% |
| 1972 | −49.4% |
| 1976 | +0.2% |
| 1980 | −2.7% |
| 1984 | −31.7% |
| 1988 | −25.4% |
| 1992 | −16.6% |
| 1996 | −11.9% |
| 2000 | −29.2% |
| 2004 | −31.5% |
| 2008 | −31.3% |
| 2012 | −32.6% |
| 2016 | −38.3% |
| 2020 | −38.5% |
| 2024 | −44.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,088 |
| 2018 | 7,681 |
| 2020 | 7,683 |
| 2022 | 7,494 |
| 2024 | 7,603 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−86 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −765 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,408 in average income, against $61,828 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.7 on average — 63 points more Democratic-leaning than Carroll County, MS itself (R+44.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Leflore County, MS55D+38.4
- Grenada County, MS31R+16.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Leflore County, MS54
- Montgomery County, MS35
- Grenada County, MS28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −170 |
| 2012 | 0 |
| 2013 | −63 |
| 2014 | −64 |
| 2015 | +1 |
| 2016 | +11 |
| 2017 | −58 |
| 2018 | −175 |
| 2019 | +46 |
| 2021 | −28 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | −127 |
| 2024 | −56 |
| 2025 | −86 |
Carroll County's rural Delta-edge geography and small, stable population have produced some of the widest partisan gaps in the state, with the 2024 presidential result landing at R+44.3 in a county of fewer than 11,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 90.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 9,686, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,327 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lincoln County and Miller County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carroll County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.