- Lead
- 1,916
- Total
- 3,890
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- 61.2%
Choctaw County, MS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.2% of 6,353 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,816
- Total
- 4,223
- vs nation
- R+47.5
- Turnout
- 66.6%
- Lead
- 1,570
- Total
- 4,065
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Turnout
- 63.6%
- Lead
- 1,384
- Total
- 4,273
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,165
- Total
- 4,128
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,328
- Total
- 4,082
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,120
- Total
- 3,719
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 468
- Total
- 3,227
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,1182024 5-year
- Population density
- 19 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 418 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,9192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 27.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+86.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Miller County, GA · twin score 91.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 61.2%3,890 participants ÷ 6,353 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 33.5%–39.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,890 | 6,353 ± 92 | 61.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 2,512 | 6,469 ± 75 | 38.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,274 | 6,420 ± 11 | 66.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 3,026 | 6,460 ± 36 | 46.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,065 | 6,395 ± 34 | 63.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 4,273 | 6,456 | 66.2% | Derived | — | |
| 4,128 | 6,810 | 60.6% | Derived | — | |
| 4,082 | 7,164 extrapolated | 57.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Choctaw County only. The complete district District 1 result is shown below for comparison.
Choctaw County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 1 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 25 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 3,890 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -District 5District 5 | 143 | 687 | 8 | 838 | 17.1% | 82.0% | R+64.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ChesterChester | 135 | 375 | 3 | 513 | 26.3% | 73.1% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -SherwoodSherwood | 8 | 343 | 0 | 351 | 2.3% | 97.7% | R+95.4 |
| Precinct -ReformReform | 75 | 231 | 2 | 308 | 24.4% | 75.0% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -French CampFrench Camp | 39 | 259 | 8 | 306 | 12.7% | 84.6% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -Southwest AckermanSouthwest Ackerman | 191 | 59 | 4 | 254 | 75.2% | 23.2% | D+52.0 |
| Precinct -KenegoKenego | 8 | 244 | 1 | 253 | 3.2% | 96.4% | R+93.3 |
| Precinct -West WeirWest Weir | 76 | 162 | 5 | 243 | 31.3% | 66.7% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -East WeirEast Weir | 160 | 59 | 5 | 224 | 71.4% | 26.3% | D+45.1 |
| Precinct -PanhandlePanhandle | 75 | 139 | 0 | 214 | 35.0% | 65.0% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -HebronHebron | 20 | 186 | 4 | 210 | 9.5% | 88.6% | R+79.0 |
| Precinct -BywyBywy | 35 | 137 | 4 | 176 | 19.9% | 77.8% | R+58.0 |
| Byway Voting District28_28019010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chester Voting District28_28019009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 528_28019003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Weir Voting District28_28019002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fentress Voting District28_28019005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| French Camp Voting District28_28019007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hebron Voting District28_28019011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kenego Voting District28_28019008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Panhandle Voting District28_28019001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Reform Voting District28_28019013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherwood Voting District28_28019012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SW Ackerman Voting District28_28019004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Weir Voting District28_28019006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Choctaw County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
97.9%
1,110 votes · D+95.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 96.8%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
93.3%
2,096 votes · R+86.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 86.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1980
1,729votes
46.8% of the vote · R+5.4
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 1,520 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
3,001votes
71.1% of the vote · R+43.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 2,881 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+110.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+85.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +96.5 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+109.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+86.6 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +51.2 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Choctaw County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,200 |
| 2018 | 5,820 |
| 2020 | 5,831 |
| 2022 | 5,277 |
| 2024 | 5,392 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−14 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −288 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,257 in average income, against $53,930 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.0 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Choctaw County, MS itself (R+49.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Webster County, MS27R+65.2
- Oktibbeha County, MS25R+0.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oktibbeha County, MS42
- Webster County, MS30
- Winston County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −133 |
| 2012 | −30 |
| 2013 | +20 |
| 2014 | −63 |
| 2015 | −24 |
| 2016 | −51 |
| 2017 | −19 |
| 2018 | +29 |
| 2019 | −28 |
| 2021 | −31 |
| 2022 | −7 |
| 2023 | +17 |
| 2024 | +46 |
| 2025 | −14 |
Choctaw County's roughly 9,700 residents have returned Republican presidential margins above 40 points in every recent cycle, making it a reliable anchor in north-central Mississippi's heavily Republican interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 86.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.3 points.
A population of 8,118, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,919 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Miller County and Henry County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Choctaw County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.