- Lead
- 708
- Total
- 11,665
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Turnout
- 54.7%
Copiah County, MS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.7% of 21,333 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 220
- Total
- 12,883
- vs nation
- R+2.7
- Turnout
- 61.2%
- Lead
- 638
- Total
- 12,982
- vs nation
- D+2.8
- Turnout
- 60.1%
- Lead
- 1,467
- Total
- 14,123
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,009
- Total
- 14,502
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,413
- Total
- 11,393
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 798
- Total
- 10,587
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 277
- Total
- 8,950
- vs nation
- R+5.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,8552024 5-year
- Population density
- 36 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 777 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,0892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 50.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+89.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Madison Parish, LA · twin score 96.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 54.7%11,665 participants ÷ 21,333 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +29.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 25.0%–34.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11,665 | 21,333 ± 154 | 54.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 6,857 | 21,732 ± 141 | 31.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 13,230 | 21,613 ± 116 | 61.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 10,634 | 21,701 ± 172 | 49.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,982 | 21,613 ± 194 | 60.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 14,123 | 21,853 | 64.6% | Derived | — | |
| 14,502 | 21,350 | 67.9% | Derived | — | |
| 11,393 | 20,847 extrapolated | 54.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Copiah County only. The complete district District 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Copiah County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 37 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 11,665 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Crystal Springs EastCrystal Springs East | 529 | 1,102 | 15 | 1,646 | 32.1% | 67.0% | R+34.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -GallmanGallman | 648 | 656 | 6 | 1,310 | 49.5% | 50.1% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct -Crystal Springs SouthCrystal Springs South | 839 | 440 | 12 | 1,291 | 65.0% | 34.1% | D+30.9 |
| Precinct -Hazlehurst WestHazlehurst West | 763 | 236 | 11 | 1,010 | 75.5% | 23.4% | D+52.2 |
| Precinct -CenterpointCenterpoint | 275 | 576 | 7 | 858 | 32.1% | 67.1% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -Crystal Springs WestCrystal Springs West | 268 | 524 | 6 | 798 | 33.6% | 65.7% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -Hazlehurst EastHazlehurst East | 669 | 70 | 11 | 750 | 89.2% | 9.3% | D+79.9 |
| Precinct -BeauregardBeauregard | 120 | 457 | 4 | 581 | 20.7% | 78.7% | R+58.0 |
| Precinct -WessonWesson | 76 | 473 | 3 | 552 | 13.8% | 85.7% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -MartinsvilleMartinsville | 222 | 284 | 5 | 511 | 43.4% | 55.6% | R+12.1 |
| Precinct -Crystal Springs NorthCrystal Springs North | 352 | 85 | 9 | 446 | 78.9% | 19.1% | D+59.9 |
| Precinct -Shady GroveShady Grove | 94 | 316 | 4 | 414 | 22.7% | 76.3% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -Stronghope UnionStronghope Union | 24 | 364 | 2 | 390 | 6.2% | 93.3% | R+87.2 |
| Precinct -Georgetown SouthGeorgetown South | 118 | 204 | 0 | 322 | 36.6% | 63.4% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -Hazlehurst SouthHazlehurst South | 162 | 103 | 3 | 268 | 60.4% | 38.4% | D+22.0 |
| Precinct -Georgetown NorthGeorgetown North | 135 | 84 | 5 | 224 | 60.3% | 37.5% | D+22.8 |
| Precinct -DentvilleDentville | 69 | 131 | 0 | 200 | 34.5% | 65.5% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -CarpenterCarpenter | 63 | 29 | 2 | 94 | 67.0% | 30.9% | D+36.2 |
| Beauregard Voting District28_28029204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carpenter Voting District28_28029401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Centerpoint Voting District28_28029302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Springs East Voting District28_28029501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Springs North Voting District28_28029404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Springs South Voting District28_28029403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crystal Springs West Voting District28_28029502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dentville Voting District28_28029402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gallman Voting District28_28029101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Georgetown North Voting District28_28029103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Georgetown South Voting District28_28029201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazlehurst East Voting District28_28029104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazlehurst North Voting District28_28029304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazlehurst South Voting District28_28029206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazlehurst West Voting District28_28029303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Martinsville Voting District28_28029301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shady Grove Voting District28_28029205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Strong Hope-Union Voting District28_28029202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wesson Voting District28_28029203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Copiah County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
98.7%
2,371 votes · D+97.5
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 98.2%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
95.0%
4,506 votes · R+89.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 73.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
7,749votes
54.9% of the vote · D+10.4
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,710 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
6,701votes
46.2% of the vote · D+7.0
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 6,374 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+121.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+96.0 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +116.4 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+112.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+89.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +26.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Copiah County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,799 |
| 2018 | 20,546 |
| 2020 | 20,503 |
| 2022 | 19,918 |
| 2024 | 20,098 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−209 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,812 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,460 in average income, against $51,499 for residents who stayed — 10% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.1 on average — 1.0 point more Democratic-leaning than Copiah County, MS itself (R+6.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hinds County, MS123D+46.1
- Lincoln County, MS85R+45.4
- Rankin County, MS62R+47.1
- Madison County, MS21R+17.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hinds County, MS128
- Lincoln County, MS77
- Rankin County, MS66
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −263 |
| 2012 | −308 |
| 2013 | −149 |
| 2014 | −48 |
| 2015 | −148 |
| 2016 | −259 |
| 2017 | −144 |
| 2018 | −139 |
| 2019 | −374 |
| 2021 | −270 |
| 2022 | −156 |
| 2023 | −99 |
| 2024 | −246 |
| 2025 | −209 |
Copiah County's population is roughly 55% Black, yet it returned an R+6.1 presidential margin in 2024 — a combination that makes it a closely watched indicator of realignment patterns in southwest Mississippi's rural electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 89.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.1 points.
A population of 27,855, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,089 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Madison Parish and Yazoo County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Copiah County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.