HarrisDemocratic68.9%1,837TrumpRepublican29.9%799KennedyIndependent0.8%21
D+38.9- Lead
- 1,038
- Total
- 2,668
- vs nation
- D+40.4
- Turnout
- 39.1%
Akashiccounty
Tunica County, MS
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 39.1% of 6,825 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic72.4%2,580TrumpRepublican23.2%826WestIndependent0.8%27
D+49.2- Lead
- 1,754
- Total
- 3,565
- vs nation
- D+44.7
- Turnout
- 52.4%
ClintonDemocratic74.8%2,667TrumpRepublican23.9%853JohnsonLibertarian0.5%18
D+50.9- Lead
- 1,814
- Total
- 3,567
- vs nation
- D+48.8
- Turnout
- 49.9%
ObamaDemocratic79.3%3,475RomneyRepublican20.2%883JohnsonLibertarian0.5%24
D+59.2- Lead
- 2,592
- Total
- 4,382
- vs nation
- D+55.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic75.7%3,279McCainRepublican23.5%1,017OtherAll other candidates0.8%36
D+52.2- Lead
- 2,262
- Total
- 4,332
- vs nation
- D+44.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic68.4%2,140BushRepublican30.4%950OtherAll other candidates1.2%39
D+38.0- Lead
- 1,190
- Total
- 3,129
- vs nation
- D+40.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic65.0%1,539BushRepublican33.5%792NaderGreen0.4%9
D+31.6- Lead
- 747
- Total
- 2,366
- vs nation
- D+31.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic67.0%1,263DoleRepublican29.5%557PerotReform2.9%55
D+37.4- Lead
- 706
- Total
- 1,886
- vs nation
- D+28.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+38.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,4752024 5-year
- Population density
- 21 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 454 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $39,3642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 18.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 79.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+100.0 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Greensville County, VA · twin score 98.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 39.1%2,668 participants ÷ 6,825 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +32.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 6.8%–16.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,668 | 6,825 ± 62 | 39.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 1,405 | 6,979 ± 72 | 20.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 3,628 | 6,918 ± 66 | 52.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 2,619 | 6,932 ± 158 | 37.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 3,567 | 7,146 ± 88 | 49.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 4,382 | 7,228 | 60.6% | Derived | — | |
| 4,332 | 6,795 | 63.8% | Derived | — | |
| 3,129 | 6,362 extrapolated | 49.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Tunica County only. The complete district District 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Tunica County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Bennie G. Thompson0—
Evan Littleton Turnage0—
Pertis Herman Williams III0—
District District 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 24 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 2,667 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TunicaTunica | 130 | 265 | 1 | 396 | 32.8% | 66.9% | R+34.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Dundee Community CenterDundee Community Center | 233 | 95 | 6 | 334 | 69.8% | 28.4% | D+41.3 |
| Precinct -New Sub ParkNew Sub Park | 219 | 46 | 2 | 267 | 82.0% | 17.2% | D+64.8 |
| Precinct -Tunica AuditoriumTunica Auditorium | 232 | 33 | 2 | 267 | 86.9% | 12.4% | D+74.5 |
| Precinct -White Oak Rec. CenterWhite Oak Rec. Center | 200 | 49 | 2 | 251 | 79.7% | 19.5% | D+60.2 |
| Precinct -Tunica Economic ComplexTunica Economic Complex | 123 | 105 | 5 | 233 | 52.8% | 45.1% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct -HambrickHambrick | 207 | 8 | 2 | 217 | 95.4% | 3.7% | D+91.7 |
| Precinct -Verner ParkVerner Park | 173 | 31 | 6 | 210 | 82.4% | 14.8% | D+67.6 |
| Precinct -Robinsonville Community CenterRobinsonville Community Center | 166 | 30 | 3 | 199 | 83.4% | 15.1% | D+68.3 |
| Precinct -Workforce CenterWorkforce Center | 111 | 43 | 3 | 157 | 70.7% | 27.4% | D+43.3 |
| Precinct -Austin ParkAustin Park | 36 | 33 | 0 | 69 | 52.2% | 47.8% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct -Mhoon LandingMhoon Landing | 6 | 61 | 0 | 67 | 9.0% | 91.0% | R+82.1 |
| Banks/Hambrick Voting District28_28143002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courthouse Voting District28_28143008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Evansville Voting District28_28143011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Justice Court Building Voting District28_28143006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mhoon Landing Voting District28_28143005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prichard Voting District28_28143003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Robinsonville Voting District28_28143001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| School Bus Barn Voting District28_28143009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tunica Voting District28_28143007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Two Mile Lake Voting District28_28143012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Watsonville Voting District28_28143004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West End Store Voting District28_28143010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Tunica County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
100.0%
173 votes · D+100.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 99.3%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
90.5%
945 votes · R+81.0
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 62.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
3,475votes
79.3% of the vote · D+59.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,279 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
1,446votes
62.2% of the vote · R+25.3
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 1,109 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+124.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+98.1 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +120.1 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+103.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+81.0 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +3.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DReginald JacksonState Senate · 11
DCedric BurnettState House · 9
Seats representing Tunica County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,890 |
| 2018 | 10,102 |
| 2020 | 10,163 |
| 2022 | 10,003 |
| 2024 | 9,914 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−277 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,837 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $27,813 in average income, against $43,687 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+2.6 on average — 41 points more Republican-leaning than Tunica County, MS itself (D+38.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- DeSoto County, MS96R+24.1
- Shelby County, TN36D+25.4
- Coahoma County, MS25D+39.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- DeSoto County, MS131
- Shelby County, TN49
- Coahoma County, MS33
- Quitman County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −252 |
| 2012 | −271 |
| 2013 | −70 |
| 2014 | −72 |
| 2015 | −332 |
| 2016 | −199 |
| 2017 | −229 |
| 2018 | −131 |
| 2019 | −362 |
| 2021 | −63 |
| 2022 | −186 |
| 2023 | −130 |
| 2024 | −263 |
| 2025 | −277 |
Tunica County, anchored in the Mississippi Delta, is roughly 75% Black and has voted Democratic by double-digit margins in every recent presidential cycle, with its 2024 gap of nearly 39 points ranking among the state's largest.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 81.0 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.9 points.
A population of 9,475, a 18% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $39,364 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greensville County and Sunflower County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Greensville County
Virginia
98.3twin score
% Black2000–2008 trajectory≠ 2012 margin
Sunflower County
Mississippi
98.3twin score
% Black2016–2024 trajectory
Claiborne County
Mississippi
98.0twin score
2012–2020 trajectory% Black≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tunica County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28143/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Tunica County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tunica County, Mississippi voted Democratic by 38.9 points (D+38.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,668 votes cast, 1,837 went Democratic and 799 went Republican.
When did Tunica County, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Tunica County, Mississippi voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Tunica County, Mississippi?
Tunica County, Mississippi has a population of 9,475 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tunica County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Tunica County, Mississippi is $39,364 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Tunica County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tunica County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 30 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.