- Lead
- 7,343
- Total
- 130,160
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- 70.9%
Clay County, MO
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.9% of 192,656 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,205
- Total
- 126,569
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Turnout
- 69.3%
- Lead
- 12,172
- Total
- 111,170
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- 72.9%
- Lead
- 8,881
- Total
- 106,043
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 755
- Total
- 109,606
- vs nation
- R+8.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,523
- Total
- 96,460
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1
- Total
- 80,173
- vs nation
- R+0.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,668
- Total
- 69,147
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 258,1222024 5-year
- Population density
- 649 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 398 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,4682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clackamas County, OR · twin score 93.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 70.9%136,586 participants ÷ 192,656 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 53.6%–56.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136,586 | 192,656 ± 1,182 | 70.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 98,052 | 188,703 ± 1,172 | 52.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 126,569 | 182,699 ± 972 | 69.3% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 106,886 | 176,503 ± 881 | 60.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 124,386 | 170,734 ± 808 | 72.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 106,043 | 160,219 | 66.2% | Derived | — | |
| 109,606 | 157,994 | 69.4% | Derived | — | |
| 96,460 | 155,769 extrapolated | 61.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 82 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
82 precincts · 130,160 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Platte 1Platte 1 | 1,624 | 2,786 | 68 | 4,478 | 36.3% | 62.2% | R+25.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Liberty 2Liberty 2 | 1,575 | 1,495 | 46 | 3,116 | 50.5% | 48.0% | D+2.6 |
| Precinct -Liberty 3Liberty 3 | 1,364 | 1,704 | 39 | 3,107 | 43.9% | 54.8% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 2Gallatin 2 | 1,902 | 1,096 | 54 | 3,052 | 62.3% | 35.9% | D+26.4 |
| Precinct -Platte 2Platte 2 | 1,035 | 1,962 | 40 | 3,037 | 34.1% | 64.6% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -Liberty 1Liberty 1 | 1,368 | 1,555 | 52 | 2,975 | 46.0% | 52.3% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 3Gallatin 3 | 1,465 | 1,190 | 59 | 2,714 | 54.0% | 43.8% | D+10.1 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 10Gallatin 10 | 1,368 | 1,230 | 36 | 2,634 | 51.9% | 46.7% | D+5.2 |
| Precinct -Liberty 4Liberty 4 | 1,150 | 1,434 | 37 | 2,621 | 43.9% | 54.7% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -Liberty 9Liberty 9 | 1,057 | 1,519 | 33 | 2,609 | 40.5% | 58.2% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -Liberty 6Liberty 6 | 1,187 | 1,371 | 32 | 2,590 | 45.8% | 52.9% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -Liberty 7Liberty 7 | 1,200 | 1,316 | 38 | 2,554 | 47.0% | 51.5% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 4Gallatin 4 | 1,407 | 1,047 | 55 | 2,509 | 56.1% | 41.7% | D+14.3 |
| Precinct -Liberty 5Liberty 5 | 1,070 | 1,216 | 36 | 2,322 | 46.1% | 52.4% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 6Gallatin 6 | 1,138 | 996 | 45 | 2,179 | 52.2% | 45.7% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 321 Liberty 3 | 862 | 1,222 | 26 | 2,110 | 40.9% | 57.9% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 5Gallatin 5 | 1,026 | 1,029 | 24 | 2,079 | 49.4% | 49.5% | R+0.1 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 221 Gallatin 2 | 1,253 | 790 | 35 | 2,078 | 60.3% | 38.0% | D+22.3 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 1321 Chouteau 13 | 850 | 1,082 | 28 | 1,960 | 43.4% | 55.2% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -Liberty 8Liberty 8 | 695 | 1,175 | 28 | 1,898 | 36.6% | 61.9% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 2621 Chouteau 26 | 951 | 896 | 31 | 1,878 | 50.6% | 47.7% | D+2.9 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 1721 Chouteau 17 | 832 | 988 | 33 | 1,853 | 44.9% | 53.3% | R+8.4 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 3021 Chouteau 30 | 974 | 848 | 26 | 1,848 | 52.7% | 45.9% | D+6.8 |
| Precinct -Liberty 13Liberty 13 | 813 | 983 | 35 | 1,831 | 44.4% | 53.7% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 221 Liberty 2 | 934 | 846 | 29 | 1,809 | 51.6% | 46.8% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Kearney 5Kearney 5 | 523 | 1,255 | 26 | 1,804 | 29.0% | 69.6% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 1621 Chouteau 16 | 918 | 823 | 44 | 1,785 | 51.4% | 46.1% | D+5.3 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 9Gallatin 9 | 934 | 804 | 29 | 1,767 | 52.9% | 45.5% | D+7.4 |
| Precinct -Kearney 3Kearney 3 | 508 | 1,235 | 22 | 1,765 | 28.8% | 70.0% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -Kearney 4Kearney 4 | 492 | 1,222 | 31 | 1,745 | 28.2% | 70.0% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 121 Liberty 1 | 747 | 953 | 31 | 1,731 | 43.2% | 55.1% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 2821 Chouteau 28 | 798 | 892 | 32 | 1,722 | 46.3% | 51.8% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct -21 Platte 121 Platte 1 | 742 | 938 | 39 | 1,719 | 43.2% | 54.6% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 2721 Chouteau 27 | 740 | 956 | 20 | 1,716 | 43.1% | 55.7% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 1Gallatin 1 | 1,143 | 539 | 31 | 1,713 | 66.7% | 31.5% | D+35.3 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 1021 Gallatin 10 | 874 | 791 | 22 | 1,687 | 51.8% | 46.9% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 2021 Gallatin 20 | 946 | 699 | 42 | 1,687 | 56.1% | 41.4% | D+14.6 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 1221 Chouteau 12 | 837 | 776 | 20 | 1,633 | 51.3% | 47.5% | D+3.7 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 7Gallatin 7 | 850 | 726 | 31 | 1,607 | 52.9% | 45.2% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct -Fishing River 2Fishing River 2 | 515 | 1,024 | 17 | 1,556 | 33.1% | 65.8% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 2921 Gallatin 29 | 854 | 664 | 36 | 1,554 | 55.0% | 42.7% | D+12.2 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 421 Liberty 4 | 659 | 865 | 20 | 1,544 | 42.7% | 56.0% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 321 Gallatin 3 | 828 | 570 | 29 | 1,427 | 58.0% | 39.9% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -Fishing River 1Fishing River 1 | 488 | 896 | 24 | 1,408 | 34.7% | 63.6% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -Platte 3Platte 3 | 460 | 932 | 15 | 1,407 | 32.7% | 66.2% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 1821 Chouteau 18 | 713 | 642 | 25 | 1,380 | 51.7% | 46.5% | D+5.1 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 11Gallatin 11 | 709 | 642 | 28 | 1,379 | 51.4% | 46.6% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Liberty 11Liberty 11 | 651 | 710 | 18 | 1,379 | 47.2% | 51.5% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 921 Liberty 9 | 654 | 697 | 17 | 1,368 | 47.8% | 51.0% | R+3.1 |
| Precinct -Kearney 2Kearney 2 | 430 | 888 | 15 | 1,333 | 32.3% | 66.6% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -Liberty 10Liberty 10 | 567 | 705 | 17 | 1,289 | 44.0% | 54.7% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 721 Liberty 7 | 518 | 725 | 21 | 1,264 | 41.0% | 57.4% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 521 Liberty 5 | 578 | 665 | 17 | 1,260 | 45.9% | 52.8% | R+6.9 |
| Precinct -Liberty 14Liberty 14 | 550 | 634 | 20 | 1,204 | 45.7% | 52.7% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 2121 Chouteau 21 | 575 | 591 | 29 | 1,195 | 48.1% | 49.5% | R+1.3 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 1121 Chouteau 11 | 566 | 608 | 15 | 1,189 | 47.6% | 51.1% | R+3.5 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 421 Gallatin 4 | 642 | 435 | 33 | 1,110 | 57.8% | 39.2% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 1521 Gallatin 15 | 651 | 440 | 17 | 1,108 | 58.8% | 39.7% | D+19.0 |
| Precinct -21 Platte 221 Platte 2 | 442 | 622 | 19 | 1,083 | 40.8% | 57.4% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 821 Liberty 8 | 439 | 615 | 14 | 1,068 | 41.1% | 57.6% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -21 Liberty 621 Liberty 6 | 463 | 549 | 12 | 1,024 | 45.2% | 53.6% | R+8.4 |
| Precinct -Kearney 1Kearney 1 | 262 | 720 | 22 | 1,004 | 26.1% | 71.7% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 821 Gallatin 8 | 478 | 411 | 16 | 905 | 52.8% | 45.4% | D+7.4 |
| Precinct -Washington 2Washington 2 | 299 | 590 | 10 | 899 | 33.3% | 65.6% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 12Gallatin 12 | 458 | 419 | 13 | 890 | 51.5% | 47.1% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 1421 Gallatin 14 | 471 | 386 | 19 | 876 | 53.8% | 44.1% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 621 Gallatin 6 | 451 | 391 | 27 | 869 | 51.9% | 45.0% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 521 Gallatin 5 | 374 | 420 | 9 | 803 | 46.6% | 52.3% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 2521 Gallatin 25 | 414 | 377 | 9 | 800 | 51.7% | 47.1% | D+4.6 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 721 Gallatin 7 | 430 | 351 | 18 | 799 | 53.8% | 43.9% | D+9.9 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 121 Gallatin 1 | 454 | 322 | 17 | 793 | 57.3% | 40.6% | D+16.6 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 2421 Gallatin 24 | 454 | 324 | 13 | 791 | 57.4% | 41.0% | D+16.4 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 2321 Gallatin 23 | 464 | 290 | 15 | 769 | 60.3% | 37.7% | D+22.6 |
| Precinct -Gallatin 13Gallatin 13 | 457 | 297 | 13 | 767 | 59.6% | 38.7% | D+20.9 |
| Precinct -21 Gallatin 921 Gallatin 9 | 435 | 310 | 21 | 766 | 56.8% | 40.5% | D+16.3 |
| Precinct -Washington 3Washington 3 | 176 | 517 | 10 | 703 | 25.0% | 73.5% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -Fishing River 4Fishing River 4 | 232 | 459 | 10 | 701 | 33.1% | 65.5% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 1921 Chouteau 19 | 320 | 361 | 13 | 694 | 46.1% | 52.0% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -Washington 1Washington 1 | 182 | 483 | 9 | 674 | 27.0% | 71.7% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -Chouteau 8Chouteau 8 | 234 | 361 | 16 | 611 | 38.3% | 59.1% | R+20.8 |
| Precinct -Fishing River 3Fishing River 3 | 152 | 280 | 3 | 435 | 34.9% | 64.4% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -21 Chouteau 2221 Chouteau 22 | 44 | 115 | 1 | 160 | 27.5% | 71.9% | R+44.4 |
presidential history
Party record book
Clay County, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
80.4%
4,071 votes · D+62.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · 78.0%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
69.4%
33,017 votes · R+38.9
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 61.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
60,345votes
46.4% of the vote · R+5.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 59,400 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
67,688votes
52.0% of the vote · R+5.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 64,605 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+68.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+62.2 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +65.5 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+15.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.9 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +13.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Clay County, MO. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 5 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 39.7%33,196 | 60.3%50,519 | 83,715 |
| 2018 | R | 40.0%25,840 | 60.0%38,809 | 64,649 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 169,793 |
| 2018 | 163,436 |
| 2020 | 176,936 |
| 2022 | 176,721 |
| 2024 | 188,091 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,211 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +18,474 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,110 in average income, against $91,305 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.5 on average — 7.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Clay County, MO itself (R+5.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jackson County, MO2,250D+19.3
- Platte County, MO1,559R+3.1
- Johnson County, KS537D+8.5
- Wyandotte County, KS275D+23.9
- Ray County, MO235R+48.7
- Clinton County, MO175R+47.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jackson County, MO2,011
- Platte County, MO1,450
- Johnson County, KS561
- Ray County, MO245
- Clinton County, MO222
- Wyandotte County, KS218
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +772 |
| 2012 | +743 |
| 2013 | +1,130 |
| 2014 | +1,143 |
| 2015 | +668 |
| 2016 | +1,992 |
| 2017 | +2,576 |
| 2018 | +2,409 |
| 2019 | +2,231 |
| 2021 | +710 |
| 2022 | +117 |
| 2023 | +1,500 |
| 2024 | +1,272 |
| 2025 | +1,211 |
Clay County hugs the Missouri River north of Kansas City and spent decades as a Democratic anchor in statewide races; by 2024 it had drifted to R+5.6, tracing the broader suburban realignment reshaping Midwestern metro fringes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 38.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.6 points.
A population of 258,122, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,468 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clackamas County and Clark County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clay County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.